Toronto Blue Jays Positional Fantasy Breakdown for 2021

C: Danny Janson

The BAPIP was very low as well as the HR/FB ratio. Maybe an average catcher. Good pipeline player, having on radar.

For 2021: Has upside as evidenced by a multi homer game in October.

1B: Vladimir Guerrero 2020 notes

Looking like a DH spot guy due to poor fielding. Looking back at his Father’s stats which you can do with any of these BJ’s, I found that he was a great power hitter. He has Great ISO, SLG, and BABIP was .316. The son stands out as of course potentially reaching that some day, but I believe it will take a couple years, as his minor league numbers also implied, not swing up to a great level out of the gate.

For 2021: People probably put too much emphasis on his stat cast numbers from last year’s small sample. Give him more time to develop.

2B: Cavan Biggio 2020 notes

He throws Right but Bats Left only. Seems much better vs. Righties as he showed some power there. Also has good speed and plate discipline. avg .234

For 2021: His 20 for 20 base steal attempts is eye popping, of course not sustainable. He is good at the plate, not chasing. All of the latter still applies to his good but not elite upcoming season.

3B: Santiago Espinal no 2020 notes

I have not heard anything from him in the spring, which if anything is a bad sign. He’s not scheduled to be a long term solution.

SS: Bo Bichette 2020 notes

200 PA performed well, power 30 HR upside, good eye at the plate  20 SB upside. Bichette made his anticipated major league debut last year in a big way. I thought we would get more steals from him as I would expect more this season. I also think his ISO will regress as his BABIP was high.

For 2021: Gets a lot of extra base hits, increasing his value but is being drafted a bit too high for me.

OF: Lourdes Gurriel Jr.2020 notes

A decent player. Does not stand out in any way. Decent XSLG and Hard contact. Did not get enough playing time last year.

For 2021: His batting average too a big jump, due to the look of his performace. This is not based on metrics, except that he can hit both lefties and righties just fine.

OF: Randal Grichuk 2020 notes

Nice Isolated power numbers along with low BAPIP that stand out to me here, he could be the most productive hitter on the team. Has proven potential for better SLG per his XSLG then he did last year.

1B: Rowdy Tellez 2020 notes

With just about benchmark for Exit Velocity, Tellez could power his way into a Decent amount of RBI’s. I would like to see him hit more vs. Lefties, as it appears he had better numbers even though he’s a Lefty himself.

OF: Teoscar Hernandez 2020 notes

Hernandez had a 7% increase in HR/FB rate over the previous year. A large increase in XSLG vs. the fast ball should have teams throwing the other stuff vs. him. He has the good exit velo though.

IF: Marcus Semien

47 barrels in 2019 as I was anxious to see if his season could have been real. This is not likely as an obvious outlier to all of his previous years. He was about where his career BAPIP is last year, in 2016 he did have similar HR/FB

For 2021: Not sure how he’ll perform out of the gate, perhaps a slow starter, as he should take over 3B.

P1: Jin-Ryu 34 yr olf RHP 2020 notes

6.2 IP impressive for being with the dodgers. 14-5 as starter projecting as best starting pitcher. 8 K/9 for career. Career ERA just under 3 3.2 xfip last yr

His pitch mix will keep him somewhat dominant like over his last 300 innings. He’s more like a SP2.

SP2: Nat Pearson: RHP no 2020 notes

High upside if he can stay healthy with great results in the postseason.

SP3: Robbie Ray 2020 notes

Good SO pitcher who does gave up decent exit velocity last yr after allowing a lot of velo and hard contact in his previous 2 seasons . 70% of his balls are 4-seamer and slider. These are also his best 2 pitches. The Ray plans to pitch with an over-the-top motion out of the windup this season — a Max Scherzer, Jack Flaherty-esque movement that he hopes will help him create better timing and a more direct finish to the plate. The genesis of the change began in part with a recent consultation with former D-backs ace Zack Greinke.

For 2021: He was one of the worst in recent 2019 at allowing HR’s and barrels according to saber metrics. Risky business. Only excels in K’s.

P4: Tanner Roark; 34 yr old R 2020 notes

had 8.6 K/9 with 1.5 HR/9 susceptible to lefties with .502 slug allowed but gave up plenty of homers to righties as well. Gives you 5.3 IP per game.

P:5: Trent Thornton 27 yr olf righty.

At 5.3 IP per game we are looking to attack with all batters. 1.4 hr/9 and is a fly ball pitcher. Era for career 4.8. However he’s retooled for a nice spring.

 

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