When considering these key elements in daily fantasy sports, the outdoor element tells a key to the game of baseball games that tell stories as you project the outcome from ballpark measurements, hitter and pitcher friendliness, air density, temperature, wind, and rain.
Let’s first consider rain.
When there is rain chances of 15% or higher, I do not consider the game playable if playing in cash games, or 50/50s, H2H’s, or Double ups. If the slate is smaller and there are not at least 2 viable good weather projected games I can work with, I do not consider the slate for cash at all. These slates and games may be considered for tournaments in order to gain an edge as a lower owned option.
When there is enough wind that is blowing out to center, left, or right field, we will want to use these hitters in decent situations and generally give them a bump up. When the wind is negative or in from left, right, or center, we want to give the hitters a bump down. The opposite is true for pitchers to the opposite effect. A game at Wrigley field for example is historically known for great hitting games that carry the ball farther, crating easily hit home runs. These windy games really tell the story of the night or day for many games. You will want to be in on these stories and take advantage of lower ownership or even fade higher ownership. We will get into this more in another article on ownership and chalk.
When its hot, we love playing lineups in those games. When its hot and humid we love it even more. When it opposite, we love pitchers more as limiting hard contact and preventing home runs. This runs together with air density. When the weather is hot and humid the ball scientifically runs farther along in the atmosphere.
According to widipekia, “Air density, like air pressure, decreases with increasing altitude. It also changes with variation in atmospheric pressure, temperature and humidity” This will really help our contests with the proper understanding of what we want and how to capitalize when others are not buying in as highly or too highly.
Hitter and Pitcher Friendliness
The more you can study about the ball parks the better. One way to get reference easily is to buy the bible, that is street and smith’s fantasy baseball using the data that you need or want to reference. As you familiarize yourself with the ballpark measurements and figure which teams did well in their park the previous year compared to others teams parks and their dimensions. You want to consider left field, center field, and right field. Longer feet walls mean better parks for pitchers, and lesser feet walls mean that the park was designed for hitting.
All ball parks run at different measurements, so we want to have those to easily access. The easiest way to do that along with other metrics such as lefty and righty hitter performance can be found at https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/mlb-park-factors. Not all parks are treated equally. We want to consider the park shifts for each lineup and consider whether we want to bump those players up or down and/or in our out of our player pools.
How do I keep up with all of this information? Well, since I am not holding anything back in transparency, and realizing that baseball season has also been put on hold as of 3/11/20 I would like you to see if you qualify for a free month of the dfs army you can obtain here. This is where you can get the weather station for constant updates, research, spreadsheets, recommended expert picks and much more. Just go under the MLB tab once you are ready to go this 2020 MLB season.