- Matt Olson
I don’t think this is a good spot for him as it may change his number of runs as he had a lot more RBI’s last year then runs. His pure X power numbers are great in the top 95th percentile and top 20 exit velocity.
2. Franlkin Barreto
May not be a regular in this spot unless he can duplicate what he did in the minors, hitting .189 ISO and getting stolen bases upside.
3. Matt Chapman
Average exit velocity and Barrel % is higher even then Olson’s. You have to wonder whether the new ballpark will improve their numbers as the A’s have given the green light to hitting homers more then any team.
4. Khris Davis
Although being a low BAPIP guy we expected him to hit more HR’s last year. If he could get quickly back to his usual form from previous hears, he’s easily a top 10% stat cast guy.
5. Sean Murphy
Has incredible small sample size isolated power or ISO. They MAY have figured something out with the 25 yr old to improve his power hitting as a catcher who did the same in AAA.
6. Ramon Laureano
Another case of if his AAA numbers can turn into real Stat cast numbers, we’ll have ourselves a pure power player. ISO of .233 SLG .521
7. Mark Canha
An even better ISO here posted .244 as he’s in a sweet spot in the order great for DFS value. Nice Xwoba and BB’s as a bonus onto his HR’s. Had 26.
8. Stephen Piscoty
Projected to bounce back with a higher OBP then he did based on numbers prior to last yr. Not outstanding in any particular category, and worth 20 HRs. you don’t get many SB’s out of this lineup.
9. Marcus Semien
47 barrels in 2019 as I was anxious to see if his season could have been real. This is not likely as an obvious outlier to all of his previous years. He was about where his career BAPIP is last year, in 2016 he did have similar HR/FB
P1: Mike Fiers: R 34 yrs
Strong stuff. can pitch a shoutout as his defensive fielding backs him up well. No one to replace J. Profar in the feild. Can allow fly balls but keeps the ball in the park. 5.5-6 IP. Opening day starter last yr.
XFIP was high at 5.2 last yr. compared to a 3.9 ERA. Should drop back down to his usual 4.5 XFIP. XERA of 5 HR/9 1.4. 15-4 record. 39% hard contact last 2 yrs. compared to carrer of 34%. ST: was throwing more of his offspeed stuff effectively, feeling good and of course competing for opening day with Frankie Montas. Was ready to get 90 pitches in on his next outing, dissapointingly we didn’t see that happen due to suspenion of play.
P2: Frankie Montas R 27 yrs
Hard throwing potential ace who can keep ERA down as he did in spring. Unfortunately with most P’s he did not get fully stretched out but should have a chance to do so when MLB ramps back up. Got you 6 innings per outing. Nice ground ball rate keeping it down while elevating his SO’s to almost 10 K/9 so showing nice improvement over 2018. XFIP was only 4.1 even though missing several games with injury. Used a quick pitch in ST, which he did during 2017 unsuccesfully.
Good FB, up to 98, mostly uses the 4 seamer and sinker nice speed on the 2 seamer as well, allows an elite level very low barrel rate of 3%. Has no glaring weakness. Expect well under 1 HR/9 maybe even just .7, very good.
P3: Sean Manaea L
Improved by 3 K/9 to 9 K/9 in his 4th season at 28 yr old. Good Ground ball rate and HR/9 at about 1.1. XFIP was about 4 and ERA kept to 1.2 but could only get 5 games started due to injury, 4-0. Fast ball not good never seeing him towards the upper 90’s. however does not walk batters. showing nice control on changeup and slider. should use more. Worked with Randy Johnson to improve on the slider, getting SO’s with the refined pitch.
P4: Jesus Luzardo L 22 yrs
Needs to improve his slider and command in 6 games pitched last year. Produced a 1.08 ERA and .6 WHIP across 3 cactus league starts. performed like an Ace. Dominated in a win over mariners with 8 SO’s over 3 innings. Consistenty in the 96-97 MPH so velcity is very good which we want to always try and note. His 5+ pitches should anchor the rotation if he stays healthy for the next decade. High end prospect.
P5: Chris Bassett R 31 yrs.
10-5 record, decent at SO’s and HR/9. keeping on the ground. XFIP of 4.6 which is stabalized with 3.8 ERA for his career. 4 seamer is good at 94. Does not show his weaknesses much as he uses mainly sinker for his strengths and hard contact is fine at 37%.
P6: AJ Puk L 24 yrs
Pitched in 10 games last yr showing high GB rate of 48%. Expect maybe 10.3 K/9!. a number 2 prospect for the A’s last yr after Luzardo. Coming back from Tommy John, he stretched himself out throwing 120 f.t Had a shoulder flare up, but has time to get right for start of season. Fast ball thrower at 97 MPM! i’m sure he can get it to 98.