Week 9 NFL Predictive Projections using the DraftDashBoard: Winning Cash and GP lineups Given

If you have not seen or gotten the draftdashboard review, you may do that here: Draftdashboard review to find out more on the basics and benefits of the daily use of it.

Here are the Standard Deviation and Co-Efficient Variables in order of Highest to Lowest Projected points in PPR 1/2 point leagues.

Watch this Video for the Sleeper Plays of the Week for Smaller field Tournaments, to fit in Higher priced players into your lineup to stack the high implied point total games as the best strategy.

 

Week 9 Waiver Claims, NFL Trade Shake ups and Coaching Changes

There is a lot of shakeup in the NFL and fantasy.

I want to give you practical fantasy football help today, so you can stay a successful course in getting to the top of your league.

If you have not already made your waiver wire claims in season long fantasy football, here are the top options out there in most leagues as of today’s writing. These may apply towards 10 man leagues. After your waivers have cleared here on wednesday these guys could very well be left.

You probably will need the help with NFL bye weeks going in full motion this week. This includes: Bengals, Cardinals, Colts, Eagles, Giants, Jaguars

Free Agent Players as of 10/31/18

subject to change up until kickoff

At Quarterback

QB: Andy Dalton: Yes as the #1 option for week 10 and beyond he may be worth stashing with the only tough game being at the Ravens in week 11

Alex Smith: With an easy game for week 9 vs. Atlanta, Smith is a good plug and play for this coming week only. Try to stack him with Jordan Reed if available as well.

If you have no other option, Joe Flacco should be there vs. and easier matchup this week vs. Pittsburgh, even though its a division game.

At Running Back:

Good luck as there are few options here. You may want to check your team and see what you have to offer in a trade unless breaking injury news comes about.

RB: Duke Johnson As the mentioned shake up in coaching change, we could finally receive what was advertised in his signing to a contract this year, to more results on the field, as the play calling should change for the better.

Darren Sproles/Wendell Smallwood: While this isn’t much of an option, the following weeks will help us see which guys will get the most touches and touchdown opportunities moving forward as this will change from week to week, as the eagles get no trade done before the deadline.

Wide Receiver:

Chris Godwin: If you happen to have gotten Ryan Fitzpatrick from waivers already, this could still be a great stack play for you. As M. Evans gets the outside to deep routes, along with D-Jax, and Godwin getting a lot of mid range looks from Fitz.

Calvin Ridley: Don’t sleep a WR2//3 on the Atlanta team that poses heaving offensive targets, and gives them up, calling for great high scoring games coming up the 2nd half.

Christian Kirk: Yes surprisingly, Kirk along with Ridley, these rookie WR’s are still free agents in your league, so get Kirk if still needing someone, as he is a great deep threat, being behind in games, for Josh Rosen.

Effects of Trades in NFL:

D. Thomas to the Texans

If you happened to have picked up Keke Coutee in a league, you now have to contend with D. Thomas from the broncos. Bad news for Coutee Hype, which was well deserved before this. Courtland Sutton gets his opportunity.

Ty Montgomery to the Ravens.

This trade will minimally impact the Packers fantasy players, however largely now effecting the Ravens offense, as it appears they were looking to replace Danny Woodhead, Alex Collins owners are now looking for any other options.

Golden Tate to the Eagles:

Tate is largely affected, as no longer is he the #1 option for Matt Stafford, but now is the #2 or 3 option for Carson Wentz. The QB is not a drop off but the offense is. Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay owners rejoice.

Coaching Change

The reboot for the browns will be interesting even more so the the Cardinals OC change. We should see different splits to get this team on a winning track, and I would expect Mayfeild’s development to be the key. Look for things to open up a bit for Jarvis Landry, Antonio Calloway, and David Njoku, along with Duke Johnson as mentioned.

 

Week 3 NFL DFS Rankings for Fanduel, DraftKings with Standard Deviation and Variance rating

These stats factor in the usual standard deviation and coefficient variable rating that I do on a weekly basis. It easy to figure for yourself a player not on the list. For nfl player rankings using this model, I like to use the past 5 games sample size, so that we don’t go too far back, nor too small of a sample size. Here’s the calculator link if your into fantasy football analytics, here is the calculator. This deviations and variables will be for the Main Sunday NFL Fanduel Slate, so numbers will of course vary on dratkings, mainly because of the 1 point per reception scoring there.

Here’s a video as a brief overview of the Cash Game outlook for week 8:

We’ll add another video at the bottom of this post for the Tournament style lineup considerations, later this week, so check back by saturday.

Here are the Tournament/Sleeper Plays for week 8 DFS:

Week 6 NFL DFS Plays for 2018

Out of your season long league and need somewhere to turn to get into the game this week? This will prep you for the best plays you can make with the highest projected totals in order as the lower you go down this list, the higher the player, the less risk the play will be. As you work your way down though, depending on which position you want to pay down on, the higher the risk when it comes to the amount you’ll pay in your salary cap on either draftkings or fanduel. This is for the sunday-monday slate of games.

Fantasy Football Peripheral Rankings by Team for Week 6 2018

This week we are getting a bit more advanced, as we must perfect and refine our process for the 2018 season so that we can gain an edge on the competition that so many players are trying to get. This is a very important edge because it is based on the opportunity the player receives on a consistent basis, which is based on the team opportunity.

Teams with most offensive snap opportunities along with their QB’s

Roethlisberger /Steelers: 355

P. Rivers/Chargers 322

Falcons/M. Ryan 354

C. Newton/Panthres 1 more game needed

J. Goff/Rams 333

A Rodgers/Packers 377

T. Brady/Pats 337

P. Mahomes/Chiefs 338

D. Watson/Houston 375

Vikings/K. Cousin 336

A Dalton/Bengals 329

A. Luck/Indy 374

Bortles/Jags 351

R. Wilson/Seahawks 318

Bears/Trubisky 269 – only 4 games

J. Winston – only taken %6 of snaps this season.

A. Smith/Redskins 275 4 games played

Mayfield/Browns – %53 of snaps this season.

S. Darnold – 305 snaps – lowest amount of snaps for any QB/team that has played %100 of teams QB snaps.

J. Rosen/Cards only %48 of snaps this season.

J. Allen/Bills 284 snaps – %90 of snaps so far this season.

C. Beathard/49ers – taken $45  of snaps.

D. Watson/Texans 375 snaps

J. Flacco 375 snaps. Only played %90 of team snaps this year so far.

D. Car/Raiders 359 snaps

M. Mariotta/Titans – Played %68 of snaps

D. Prescott/Cowboys – 309 snaps

C. Keanum/Broncos – 345 snaps

R. Tannehill – 266 snaps Lowest amount of snaps played by any QB who has played all 5 games.

 

Consistency Rakings                 Proj.               Mean              S.D.               C.V

Rams

Falcons

Vikings

Steelers

Bengals

Buccaneers

Seahawks

Chargers

Browns/Ravens

B. Mayfield; 16.9.9 Pts Proj. Potential for much greater in is small sample size. Is making difficult throws and maturing fast!

C. Hyde;

 

Week 5 NFL Fantasy Standard Deviation Rankings Projected for Fanduel

This Report provides the Standard Deviation and Co Efficient Variable for week 5 NFL fantasy action, most Positions on the fanduel slate. For more on the SD, and CV metrics, visit: Wealthy Fantasy Football Keys to Consistency in Fantasy Football for Winning your leagues. Check out the Week 5 Studs you want to play at the bottom for Fanduel

Here’s the Video for a better explanation and understanding:

 

Get the Full List and Matchup Projection for every player by clicking Here for a 30 day free trial run. 

Week 5 NFL Fantasy Standard Deviation Rankings Projected for Fanduel

NHL Rankings for NHL DFS 2018-19 Season

Just doing a DFS Rankings Special Article to get you the help you need before entering your lineups for the 1018-19 NHL Season.

1. Alex Ovechkin LW WSH
2. Nikita Kucherov RW TB
3. Connor McDavid C EDM
4. Sidney Crosby C PIT
5. Evgeni Malkin C PIT
6. Brad Marchand LW BOS
7. Blake Wheeler RW WPG
8. Steven Stamkos C TB
9. Tyler Seguin C DAL
10. Auston Matthews C TOR
11. Nathan MacKinnon C COL
12. Taylor Hall LW NJ
13. John Tavares C TOR
14. Patrick Kane RW CHI
15. Patrik Laine LW WPG
16. Connor Hellebuyck G WPG
17. Jamie Benn C DAL
18. David Pastrnak RW BOS
19. Andrei Vasilevskiy G TB
20. Brent Burns D SJ
21. Claude Giroux C PHI
22. Erik Karlsson D SJ
23. Evgeny Kuznetsov C WSH
24. Victor Hedman D TB
25. Vladimir Tarasenko RW STL
26 Phil Kessel RW PIT
27 Dustin Byfuglien D WPG
28 Mitchell Marner RW TOR
29 Jakub Voracek RW PHI
30 Pekka Rinne G NSH
31 Mark Scheifele C WPG
32 Johnny Gaudreau LW CGY
33 Sergei Bobrovsky G CBJ
34 Anze Kopitar C LA
35 Jonathan Quick G LA
36 Joe Pavelski C SJ
37 Braden Holtby G WSH
38 Filip Forsberg LW NSH
39 Tuukka Rask G BOS
40 Jack Eichel C BUF
41 Shayne Gostisbehere D PHI
42 Artemi Panarin LW CBJ
43 Vincent Trocheck C FLA
44 Patrice Bergeron C BOS
45 Aleksander Barkov C FLA
46 Brock Boeser RW VAN
47 Martin Jones G SJ
48 Seth Jones D CBJ
49 Frederik Andersen G TOR
50 Jonathan Marchessault LW VGK
51 Drew Doughty D LA
52 Marc-Andre Fleury G VGK
53 John Carlson D WSH
54 P.K. Subban D NSH
55 John Gibson G ANA
56 Patric Hornqvist RW PIT
57 Mikko Rantanen RW COL
58 Leon Draisaitl C EDM
59 John Klingberg D DAL
60 Roman Josi D NSH
61 Ryan Getzlaf C ANA
62 Rickard Rakell RW ANA
63 Matt Murray G PIT
64 Alexander Radulov LW DAL
66 Tyson Barrie D COL
67 Torey Krug D BOS
68 William Karlsson C VGK
69 Mathew Barzal C NYI
70 Ilya Kovalchuk RW LA
71 Sean Monahan C CGY
72 Sean Couturier C PHI
73 Kristopher Letang D PIT
74 Dougie Hamilton D CAR
75 Nicklas Backstrom C WSH
76 Devan Dubnyk G MIN
77 Carey Price G MTL
78 Sebastian Aho C CAR
79 Ben Bishop G DAL
80 Max Pacioretty LW VGK
81 Jake Allen G STL
82 James Van Riemsdyk LW PHI
83 Brendan Gallagher RW MTL
84 Kyle Palmieri RW NJ
85 Nikolaj Ehlers LW WPG
86 Alex Pietrangelo D STL
87 Cam Atkinson RW CBJ
88 Rasmus Ristolainen D BUF
89 Clayton Keller RW ARI
90 Wayne Simmonds RW PHI
91 Charlie McAvoy D BOS
92 Jaden Schwartz LW STL
93 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D ARI
94 Brayden Schenn LW STL
95 Antti Raanta G ARI
96 Ivan Provorov D PHI
97 Matthew Tkachuk LW CGY
98 Mark Stone RW OTT
99 Ryan Ellis D NSH
100 Rasmus Dahlin D BUF
101 Jeff Carter C LA
102 Keith Yandle D FLA
103 Morgan Rielly D TOR
104 Cam Talbot G EDM
105 Ryan Suter D MIN
106 Logan Couture C SJ
107 Dustin Brown RW LA
108 Jeff Skinner LW BUF
109 Viktor Arvidsson LW NSH
110 William Nylander RW TOR
111 Reilly Smith RW VGK
112 James Neal RW CGY
113 Jeff Petry D MTL
114 Mark Giordano D CGY
115 Mathew Dumba D MIN
116 Mikael Granlund C MIN
117 Jonathan Huberdeau LW FLA
118 Henrik Lundqvist G NYR
119 Corey Crawford G CHI
120 Brayden Point C TB
121 Mike Smith G CGY
122 Jonathan Toews C CHI
123 Zachary Werenski D CBJ
124 Mike Hoffman LW FLA
125 Nico Hischier C NJ
126 Nick Bjugstad RW FLA
127 Duncan Keith D CHI
128 Chris Kreider LW NYR
129 Teuvo Teravainen C CAR
130 Gabriel Landeskog LW COL
131 Eric Staal C MIN
132 T.J. Oshie RW WSH
133 Aaron Ekblad D FLA
134 Ryan Johansen C NSH
135 Jake Guentzel LW PIT
136 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C EDM
137 Semyon Varlamov G COL
138 Nazem Kadri C TOR
139 Cory Schneider G NJ
140 Dylan Larkin C DET
141 Kyle Connor LW WPG
142 Jake Gardiner D TOR
143 Roberto Luongo G FLA
144 Jason Zucker LW MIN
145 Evgeny Dadonov LW FLA
146 Jimmy Howard G DET
147 Mikhail Sergachev D TB
148 Carter Hutton G BUF
149 Tom Wilson RW WSH
150 Alex DeBrincat RW CHI

Fantasy Football Standard Deviation Report: Rakings for Week 4

Let’s face it. We all make mistakes when it comes to fantasy football. Anything can happened as we have seen this past week with the upset of the Bills over the Vikings. However, we can correct ourselves and forget about the chalk now, and go with what works; Standard Deviation.

This is an exciting time of year because it is about the time when I start considering this unique stat among others for evaluating my rankings on a weekly basis with better accuracy and less guesswork, based on 3 weeks of data in the NFL.

Here it is:

QuarterBack

 

Wide Receiver

Fantasy Football Week 4 Standard Deviation RankingsThe DraftDashboard, showing addistional WR’s with the highest Ave Points Per Game Shown. Separate the ones who don’t have good SD, CV, and that may not have enough Targets and/or Snaps per game. Click on the picture to get a free 30 Day Trial.

Tight End

Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: With Tournament Bonus Video (2nd Video)

This week 3 has 2 regular season games to take data from, as we must balance that still with regular season data from last season combined with what we have seen on the field. If you notice in my weekly update for season long rankings on my menu page, there are some major changes form top to bottom. This includes Julio Jones ranked above Antonio Brown but below Micheal Thomas as the #1 WR. Thomas is trending up while Jones is gaining much more consistancy throughout the past 2 years, along with the huge upside if M. Ryan can hit him deep, and he has tried. This list will have to be updated daily up to gameday at 1pm with notes added for any changes leading up to kickoff.

Here’s the Video: Also below are the top consensus projections for PPR leagues among top experts and computers in the industry. If any questions about these, please leave a comment below. 

 

Patrick Mahomes
KC
2
Ben Roethlisberger
PIT
3 Cam Newton CAR
4 Tom Brady NE
5
Deshaun Watson
HOU
6 Aaron Rodgers GB
7 Drew Brees NO
8 Ryan Fitzpatrick TB
9
J. Garropppolo
SF
10 Russell Wilson SEA
11 Kirk Cousins MIN
12 Philip Rivers LAC
13 Andrew Luck IND
14 Jared Goff LAR
15 Matt Ryan ATL
16 Blake Bortles JAC
17 Carson Wentz PHI
18 Andy Dalton CIN
19
Matthew Stafford
Det
20 Alex Smith WAS
1 Alvin Kamara NO
2 Todd Gurley LAR
3 Ezekiel Elliott DAL
4 Melvin Gordon LAC
5 David Johnson ARI
6 James Conner PIT
7 Dalvin Cook MIN
8
Christian McCaffrey
CAR
9 Jordan Howard CHI
10 Kenyan Drake MIA
11 Kareem Hunt KC
12 Saquon Barkley NYG
13 Tevin Coleman ATL
14
Marshawn Lynch
OAK
15 Jay Ajayi PHI
16 Giovani Bernard CIN
17 Adrian Peterson WAS
18 Lamar Miller HOU
19 Chris Thompson WAS
20 Matt Breida SF
21 Phillip Lindsay DEN
22 Carlos Hyde CLE
23 Alex Collins BAL
24 P Barber TB
25 Dion Lewis TEN
1 Antonio Brown PIT
2 Michael Thomas NO
3 Julio Jones ATL
4
DeAndre Hopkins
HOU
5 Mike Evans TB
6 A.J. Green CIN
7 Tyreek Hill KC
8 Brandin Cooks LAR
9
JuJu Smith-Schuster
PIT
10 Stefon Diggs MIN
11 T.Y. Hilton IND
12 Odell Beckham NYG
13 Davante Adams GB
14 Keenan Allen LAC
15 Adam Thielen MIN
16 Jarvis Landry CLE
17
Emmanuel Sanders
DEN
18 Golden Tate DET
19 Will Fuller HOU
20 DeSean Jackson TB
21 Kenny Golladay DET
22 Nelson Agholor PHI
23 Marvin Jones DET
24 Amari Cooper OAK
25
Demaryius Thomas
DEN
26 Chris Hogan NE
27 Sammy Watkins KC
28 Quincy Enunwa NYJ
29 Cooper Kupp LAR
30 Kenny Stills MIA
1 Rob Gronkowski NE
2 Travis Kelce KC
3 Zach Ertz PHI
4 Jordan Reed WAS
5 Trey Burton CHI
6 Evan Engram NYG
7 Jimmy Graham GB
8 George Kittle SF
9 Jesse James PIT
10 David Njoku CLE
11 Kyle Rudolph MIN
12 Jared Cook OAK
13 Will Dissly SEA
14 O.J. Howard TB
15 Eric Ebron IND
16 Benjamin Watson NO
17 Jack Doyle IND
18
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
JAC
19 Austin Hooper ATL
20 Tyler Eifert CIN
1 Vikings MIN
2 Jaguars JAC
3 Bears CHI
4 Texans HOU
5 Rams LAR
6 Broncos DEN
7 Eagles PHI
8 Browns CLE
9
Seahawks
SEA
10 Dolphins MIA
11 Cowboys DAL
12 Patriots NE
13 Panthers CAR
14 Falcons ATL
15 Giants NYG
16 Saints NO
17 Chargers LAC
18 Bengals CIN
19 Ravens BAL
20 Packers GB
21 Chiefs KC
22 Jets NYJ
23 Cardinals ARI
24 Raiders OAK

See the DFS Army Research Station for more of what these experts, as they are known for, to provide you the same tools tools the profesionals use.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings, Projections for Fanduel

For this week in the NFL I will go into some basic strategy for this week and go right into the rankings by position, regardless of price. When playing salary cap football, you must have your Core Base Players for your %50/50’s, Double Ups and Head to Head matchups. Pay up for running backs who get a good workload/share with targets to score more points. Find out all of this info and more advice at the DraftDashBoard.com. Then I would suggest waiting and getting a feel for under owned stud and value sleepers, setting those the day of the Sunday main slates, unless playing on another slate, setting sooner.

Also we have some data from last week, however this small sample size is not enough to yet have a standard deviation and co-efficient variable, of interest to cash game and GP players as well, and her’es why, you’ll want that ready for next week and beyond. This is one of my key fantasy football articles for 2018, even though written in 2016. This method really helps you understand how to differentiate the 2 type of players.

Here are the raw rankings for this weeks scoring on fanduel. This does not include potential upside tournament plays. in other words, this list entails which players should actually score the most points on fanduel.

Quarterback Rankings:

  1. Ben Roethlisberger 7.3, 0.4 Dev./CV
  2. Drew Brees 3.48, 0.5 Dev./CV
  3. Alex Smith 9, 0.48 Dev./CV
  4. Deshaun Watson Avg. 23.6 PG flr of 6.7
  5. Patrick Mahomes 19.9 PG flr of 11.4
  6. Jered Goff Avg 14.8 flr of 4.8
  7. Philip Rivers of Avg 18 flr of 6.5
  8. Russell Wilson Avg 20.5 flr of 8.3
  9. Tom Brady 20.8 PG 5.3 flr
  10. Jimmy Garopolo Avg 15.6 flr of 5.1
  11. Case Keenum Avg 14.5 flr of 4.2
  12. M. Stanford Avg 18.1 flr of 8.1

Running Back Rankings:

  1. Todd Gurley Avg 16.6 flr of 1.9
  2. Alvin Kamara Avg 18.8 flr of 4.2
  3. Melvin Gordon Avg 14 flr of .5
  4. James Conner
  5. David Johnson Avg 17.9 flr of 2.2
  6. Zeke Elliott Avg 19.8 flr of 4.2
  7. Dalvin Cook Avg 14.1 flr of 7.4
  8. Kareem Hunt Avg 16.1 flr of 3.1
  9. Christian McCaffrey Avg 11.7 flr of 6.4
  10. Carlos Hyde
  11. Saquon Barkley 1 game of 19.8
  12. Jay Ajayi
  13. Adrian Peterson Avg 11.3 flr of .4
  14. Chris Thompson

Wide Receiver Rankings:

  1. Antonio Brown
  2. Michael Thomas
  3. Keenan Allen
  4. Julio Jones
  5. Odell Beckham
  6. Jarvis Landry
  7. DeAndre Hopkins
  8. JuJu Smith-Schuster
  9. Demaryius Thomas
  10. Golden Tate
  11. Emmanuel Sanders
  12. Tyreek Hill
  13. Allen Robinson
  14. Josh Gordon
  15. Mike Evans
  16. Randall Cobb
  17. Mike Crabtree
  18. Adam Thilen
  19. Stef Diggs
  20. Robby Anderson

Best Game Totals too Take Advantage of:

  1. LA Rams RB, Defense
  2. NO RB, QB, WR
  3. Pit RB, QB, WR
  4. SF QB, RB, WR, TE
  5. Wash QB, RB, TE, Slot
  6. Den QB, WR, RB, Defense
  7. LA Chargers RB, Defense
  8. Atl RB, Defense, #1 WR
  9. Min RB, QB, WR, TE, Defense
  10. KC QB, WR, TE