Per my previous post, I believe that last article need refined and, basically reviewed from the Beginner Daily Fantasy Baseball and Advice perspective in strategy, especially in Daily Leagues that needed touched on to correct some of the information I had given to show that I am still learning this particular game and not near the expert I am on the Fantasy Football Game, and naturally picking that up in the same way as my studies of the game make me respect the game even more.
However, that expert, professional mentality as Not only a Game, but a Challenge, in pure competition, will now hold sway in this article as we round the bases on the field of the prospects of a Daily Fantasy Game, that we can show you here today.
While I have a lot of questions resulting from the various projection tools used to shorten your valuable time of the day used on this true daily evaluation process based upon the amount of games played throughout the season, I see this as a real opportunity to profit and enjoy doing so while the FanDuel and Draft Kings phenomena at least lasts as long as it does.
When/if it of course is out-ruled or outlawed in my land of play, I am out!
So when it boils down to a few corrections based on learning to write things down as I have learned over the years, this is an excellent way to see where your own current skills are in the daily fantasy sports arena, and how you personally can also evaluate where you are.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Advise #1: The Law of Large Averages
The first thing to try and keep in mind would be to remember to take in large samples of players trends and stats, not short 1 week spans because the law of averages do kick in for better or worse as averages in ERA’s, runs, hit, and so on add up to be a certain consistency when it comes to predicting a daily game. Of course there are variances in this, but the averages will come back down to earth, weather that would be a positive or negative adjustment in a players back down to or going up from earth fantasy numbers.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice Law #2: Choosing the Right Information on Hitters and Pitchers
This gets more tricky but think of it this way: Instead of getting into all of the stats at this time, think about when Michael Jordan attempted to make it in MLB.. Why did he not make it to the next level? Because he quit. He went back to his #1 sport, which is fine, but the continued development and game stats that he corrected and projected with upside, would probably have led him to the majors, and this was according to a current MLB Manager, that was involved in the training of Jordan.
As you look at the basic 3 outcomes of Hitter including Strikeouts, Walks, and Home Runs. These are the usual control factors that are measured in total and averages throughout the year and are a plenty in terms of referenced online sites that can tell you all of this information.
Similarly with Pitchers, they have averages they they go back to unless their progression or regression is at a pivitol point in their particular career, or what we call upside, or downside.
So Basically, look for stats that show the control that the player has over their statistics, showing any variances from the norm that they put up.
Also to be included in this category is their performance specifically against the opposing hitter or pitcher’s handedness, being left or right.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice #3: External Factors
What I mean by external factors is opposite of the #2 rule in that the individual player has control over his own performance to his own extent.
External factors include, some of which are obvious:
- Park Factors
- Weather Conditions
- Opposing Teams Talent
- Lineup Position
- How Good is the Player’s Team
All of these can be broken down in much more detail, but to give yourself an edge, you would need to use a lineup optimizer to give you much more detail and control over trying to reference all of these various factors, at least in one place where a computer can weigh all of the impossible statistical measurables, enabling you to focus on the overall strategy of the Daily Fantasy sports game, leaving a large portion of that to that program.
For more info on getting instant access to a Optimizer that I work with and recommend, visit my DFS Report Site