Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, Advice for Today for 7/19/2019

It would be great if we could easily hand pick players for our daily main slates for MLB DFS on draftkings and/or fanduel, but that’s not possible, as there are too many games and too little time. This cuts to the chase of what you really need to know for today.

Follow A Great Process!

As dosen’t have to be exact for everyone. Whether its writing down your players or keeping track in a virtual setup. I do both many days.

upadte: 6/17: Recommended first line of though: Vegas Odds:

What we are going to do for today is make sure everything is in conjuction with our vegas odds for the day. This is the best cheat code there is. Vegas is right more than half the time in MLB baseball as well, not just football. The odds makers have these games ranked highest today:

Anything over 9 runs total for the game is fine. We don’t need to really consider other stacks with other games unless we still have a high IRT or implied run totoal for a team. Check back at CBSsportsline.com regularly to see the 5 major odds makers lines, consensus O/U’s (Over Unders) as well as some IRT total projections I will show you at a later time. We are especially looking at games over 10 runs as they many times have been running up to 20 runs! These are the teams we want to stack with per below. Another thing you can do to cut to the chase quickly is to check the prop bets for the day in MLB, which can best be found at many sports betting sits for the individual player O/U’s.

Stacks and/or on-offs to consider for today, 7/19/19 in Cash or Tournaments on fanduel on the main slate.

These are the pitcher matchups you want to attack using these teams.

Today there are many weather alerts. For those up to date visit: These are general hitter preference, since we cannot confirm any lineups this early in the day, only the starting pitchers and what teams along with handedness to generally use. There are exceptions to these.. also check weather, wind, and air density as much as you can..

Weather Station Link Here

Here is a video for a basic overall process to keep in mind in choosing batter along with their stacks for a slate: Even though its not for the day, the same principles can be used to find players once you have decided upon your team stacks and the best process to plan out your roster.

Stacks in order of preference

Mil.

TOR Scratch Toronto for Cash, they will be high weather risk.

BOS

LAD

STL

Cleve.

Best Pitcher Advice for today:

The higher up in the list, you can actually use for cash, as the lower down in the list, the risk increases for tournaments.

  • Go for the high K upside with
  • Prioritize in this order: 
  • Verlander
  • DeGrom
  • Bieber
  • Corbin
  • McKay
  • Ryu
  • Stroman
  • Whoever you can afford with your prioritized stacks

How do I come to this conclusion about today’s slate of hitters as being the relative best of the field?

Here’s what we measure. wOPS

Here’s what it looks like basically on screen with the worst pitchers on top, that is reverse optimized order for the day.

This picture does not show today’s slate but rather just an example of what to look for in any type of contest. Click on the picture below to get the DraftDashboard to use in keeping track of the players you want to play, using the optimizer to save lots of time.

Daily fantasy baseball picks advice
Click on the Picture to get the DraftDashboard

The wOPS is the Weighted On base + Slugging % so that you know how well a pitcher and/or batter is expected to perform verses the handedness average lineup of the day. If you hover over the L or R-X% you can also see a breakdown of the amount of lefties, the amount of righties, and swich hitting players they are facing today. It will give you the wOPS for each. Something to play around with and once you get the hang of using it, it becomes a lot easier to sort this information.

Ok, so here’s our hitter we need to try and balance out today, watching those players on our draftdashboard or writing them down.

As for pitchers let’s take a look at something borrowed from the dfsarmy and their research team found here: DFS Army Articles

Trending Players to Watch: Low Cost, Possibly low owned

And lastly,

here’s an early projected optimal lineup for today on Fanduel: to be updated later in the day. For that watch the video:

 

 

6 thoughts on “Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, Advice for Today for 7/19/2019”

  1. Are you a professional gambler? This is a ton of information with quality research to give yourself the best odds to come out on top. Do you offer the same advice for football? I enter a lot of tournaments throughout the season and having this information all ready sorted through would be beneficial for me coming up with my picks.

    1. Absolutely, will give a heads up for NFL and College throughout the season, taking in a lot of data and eye ball test preparation too!

  2. You introduced me to a whole new world of Fantasy Sports. It was interesting that you introduced fantasy baseball in a site created for fantasy football. That caught my attention. 

    I had no idea that this is a huge area of interest. Just for the heck of it I clicked the FanDuel tab and was astounded to see how much money changes hands in this field. Almost 3 million winners and more than $4.5B involved? This is quite amazing.

    There is one aspect that I have a question about. I’m not sure of the odds making process. Since I am ignorant of most players names, can I assume that the players are real people? 

    Thanks for alerting me to something new. I will have to check this out further. 

  3. Great post! You are spot-on when saying that on any given day there are too many games to keep track of so this is definitely is a valuable process for the avid fantasy player. Great link to and consideration about weather as it definitely has an impact. Baseball is filled with so many metrics and I really like your wOPS measurement, Weighted On Base + Slugging Percentage. Not all people take into consideration the impact that a right-handed vs. left-handed pitcher has in any given game, so again thank you for pointed out these metrics and providing a reference point for the reader. I will definitely be bookmarking this page and recommend that others so as well.

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