Atlanta Braves Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice

For the Atlanta Braves opening day on 7/23 with the NY Mets this fine day in daily fantasy baseball advice as we run down the probable lineup and taking a look at the starter along with relievers set to come out even though we won’t spend a lot of time there.

Possible Lineup vs. Righty Jake DeGrom

  1. Ronald Acuna: R vs. R on the road I like the MU there’s a chance Acuna can use his power and speed in this game together.

2. Ozzie Albies: R an average hitter vs. Righties.

3. Freddie Freeman: L

4. Marcell Ozuna

5. Austin Riley

6. Dansby Swanson

7. Adam Duvall

8. Travis d’Arnud

9. Ender Inciarte

LA Dodgers Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible Batting order and Draft position:

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  1. Mookie Betts: Round: 5, Pick: 21 2011 draft. Considered an MVP candidate in this environment and schedule as well as the contract situation, I would like to see him get back to his 2018 numbers with a wOBA more then .100 higher vs. off-speed pitches. Despite this he was top level elite in XOBA and XBA. If successful by his standards he will really increase value of the team.
  2. Gavin Lux: Round: 1, Pick: 20 2016 draft. As a high draft pick, he’s still considered a prospect with only 75 AB’s as he had a %14.2 BB rate in AAA last yr and SLG .719 with a .490 wOBA as a dominant player in 19′ there.  Quite a bit of power to work with.
  3. Max Muncy: Round: 5, Pick: 11 2012 draft with very near elite level XSLG and wOBA and already at elite level %BB you look to capitalize off a payer in his prime with Excellent pwr u can even play him vs. L as a L.
  4. Justin Turner: Round: 7, Pick: 8 2006 draft: Still top %10 of league in XWOBA so has really not regressed in his career yet despite what standard numbers show. His SO/BB rate went down due to taking too many swings, should come back up to normal.
  5. Cody Bellinger: Round: 4, Pick: 18 2013 draft. 100th Percentile in XWOBA and BA, BAPIP was very low vs. L’s so maybe here’s another guy where it may not matter to play L vs. L other then SB’s.
  6. Joc Pederson: Round: 11, Pick: 27 2010 draft. 36 HR’s resulted last yr from an over inflated %SLG, Only play vs. Righties whether LADs’ do or note.
  7. Corey Seager: Round: 1, Pick: 18 2012 draft Not really playable vs. Lefties. Was down in every category in 19′, let’s wait and see if he will bounce back.
  8. Will Smith: Round: 1, Pick: 32 2016 draft. Has power with over .300 ISO in both AAA and majors last yr. Should split time with A. Barnes.
  9. AJ Pollock: Good exit velocity and decent hitter may not play every day on this team. Possible DH spot.

SP’s:

  1. Kayton Kershaw: Round: 1, Pick: 7 2006: Even though his GB rate was steadily high, his FB rate increased by %5.5. Not as old as you might think at 32, injuries got him. Look for a healthy outlook.
  2. Walker Buehler: Round: 1, Pick: 2015: Allowing .211 BA is about right for his career. 10.6 K/9 last yr. Does a lot of things well, best at curve and fastball spin.
  3. Julio Urias: Not drafted:  We should get enough games started and wins from Urias with this powerful offense and defense that keeps the games low scoring. The Southpaw projects to possibly be an ace this or next yr.
  4. Alex Wood: Round: 2, Pick: 25 in 2012: The big 6’4″ lefty is back in LA after posting a 25-10 record there for 2 years prior to last. Not a fastball pitcher, as he needs the innings and QS’s to be effective.

Closer: Kenley Janson: 33 saves and 5-3 record is what we want to continue into 2020 at that shortened rate. 11.4 K/9s.

Dustin May: Round: 3, Pick: 24 in 2016: Just barely a SO/IP guy as he’s in running for 5th starter role.

Ross Stripling: Round: 5, Pick: 18 in 2012: Started 15 gms but only a 4-4 record. However great GB rate and defiinitely getting 1 SO per inning.

There are a lot more guys to mention including guys who started games, as there is a lot to go around here, in fact too much as the pitching staff as a whole gave up more ER’s last year then they should have. That should be tightened up this year continuing a better tear then last year.

New York Yankees Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

In batting order:

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  1. DJ LeMahieu 2009 2nd pick 30 of Cubs

He has improved his exit velocity, ISO, and is just hitting the ball hard with improvement over the last 5 years. His average exit velocity ranked 19t in MLB last year, so this was better then all of his previous yrs in Col. He has an established track record, and upped his hard contact last year, which was hopefully not only an outlier and still in the top compared to the other hard contact hitters in the league.

2. Aaron Judge: 2013 1st round pick 32 of Yankees

Judge is top of the line in Hard Hit %, Exit Velo, and XSLG, which are all great numbers to be in line with. The ISO I would hope would go back up a bit with a healthy hot start.

3. Gleyber Torres: Not drafted. Came up from Cubs A ball in 2014

Torres has put together 2 solid seasons and showed a lot of improvement over 2018 as he lowered his SO rate, while specializing in Homers.

4. Giancarlo Stanton: 2007 Round 2 pick 12 of Marlins. 

Stanton has had streaks of high BAPIP before in his career with MIA, so this high small sample dosen’t matter for 2019. His HR/FB rate is right in line other then a couple spikes in 15′, and 16′. He’s healthy like all of this roster is putting balls in play for summer.

5. Gary Sanchez: Not drafted. 

For the 2nd year in a row hit as 2nd in all MLB for the Max highest Exit Velocity. Other then being hurt, has produced fine power numbers over his 4 seasons with increased ISO over 2017.

6. Luke Voit: 2013 round 22 pick of STL

It seems he may be able to sustain a high 350+ BABIP. Loved his XSLG in 221 AB’s.

7. Brett Gardner: 2005 round 3 pick 29 of Yankees

The sprint speed specialist had himself a really good XSLG season, interestingly his BABIP was very low for his standards, and is HR/FB rate increased showing nice improvement in his extra base hitting.

8. Gio Urshela: Not drafted been with Indians, and BJ’s. 

Without a lot of history as a rookie, the kid shows a lot of slugging potential. He’s hitting the ball fairly hard with a launch angle comparable to some guys higher up in this order.

DH: Miquel Andujar. Not drfated, only been with Yanks.

Getting HR’s off Garret Cole helps his case during this summer camp in intra squad play.

Reserves when needed:

Thairo Estrada: Certainly the hottest reserve this summer, as he’s hit 3 HR’s that I’m aware of. Fills in nicely in the infield especially at SS when needed.

Aaron Hicks: On a loaded team, he will move up and down this batting order, starting for most teams. Has enough power and speed to get hot early as playing time also permits.

Mike Ford: Another guy that gets line drives and on base with a bit of power.

Matt Duffy: Another guy he fills in nicely when needed, has started on other teams effectively used for value in DFS.

P1: Gerrit Cole 29 R  6.5 IP

ERA right in line with Xfip SOs really increased every year.

Cole has been throwing in the backyard of teammate Adam Ottavino, Brendan Kuty of NJ Advance Media reports. Despite the suspension of spring training and shutdown of team facilities to most players, Cole appears intent on keeping in shape in anticipation of an eventual return to action. The Yankees’ key offseason signing is expected to be the club’s Opening Day starter when the regular season commences. Gave up a few homers but still had an impressive camp as they allowed him to go 5 innings.

P2: Luis Severino 26 R 6 Ip INJURED

GB pitcher giving about 10 K/9

Severino (elbow) is among a group of Yankees eligible to use the Yankees’ facility in Tampa in the midst of Florida’s stay-at-home declaration, George A. King III of the New York Post writes. With Florida’s stay-at-home order set to kick in at 12:01 a. m. ET on Friday, most players will no longer be allowed to gather at George M. Steinbrenner Field. However, the policy makes an exception for players undergoing rehab programs, meaning Severino will be able to continue to use the facility along with a short list of other players including Giancarlo Stanton (calf) and Aaron Judge (rib). Severino underwent Tommy John surgery in late February and is expected to miss the entire 2020 campaign

P2: James Paxton 32 L 5 IP

Should give u 11 K/9 but also 1.3 HR/9 to attack for a sneaky type stack against.

Paxton (back) recently completed his fifth bullpen session since resuming a throwing program in March, Brendan Kuty of NorthJersey.com reports. Yankees manager Aaron Boone provided a positive update about Paxton on Thursday, indicating that he’s “really encouraged” by the southpaw’s progress and that the recovery process from February back surgery has “gone pretty smoothly.” Paxton remains on track to be ready to pitch in games by late May or early June barring any setbacks.

P3: Masahiro Tanaka 31 R 5.8 IP

High GB with 1.3 HR/9  should get back up to 9 K/9 instead of 7 last yr

Tanaka returned to Japan with his family late in March, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports. Many foreign-born players are returning to their countries of origin, so this is not surprising or cause for alarm. The Yankees are not keeping close tabs on Tanaka, as he usually dictates his own preparations during the offseason.

P4: HA Happ 37 L 5.3 IP

Attack with Righties, gave up 28 homers last year very inconsistent

Happ turned heads within the Yankees organization for his performance this spring, Brendan Kuty of NJ Advance Media reports. Yankees vice president of baseball operations Tim Naehring raved about Happ’s showing in Grapefruit League play in an interview with Meredith Marakovits of the YES Network on Wednesday. “Thought he picked up where he left off the last six or seven weeks of last season,” Naehring said. “Thought he came in with what looked to be great laser focus, crisp stuff.” The accolades are no surprise given Happ’s numbers this spring: a 2-0 record, 1.38 ERA and 16:1 K:BB over 13 innings. The southpaw is a lock for a spot in the Yankees’ rotation when the 2020 season gets underway.

Jordan Montgomery: P5 Looks to continue his Summer league play dominance as he performed vs. the Mets not allowing any runs, with a 5/6 IP/SO game. Is an average pitcher who can easily get above average numbers with runn support on this team.

WSH Nationals Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible batting order, changes day to day anyway.

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  1. Adam Eaton: 2010 Draft round 19 pick 6 of Ariz.

I like his numbers as they are reverting back to 15, 16, and 17′ season. Has speed and can get on base. Can do it vs. Lefties as well even though he is a lefty the numbers don’t change. Base stealing better vs. R’s of course. Gets on base .360+ runner and good fielder.

2. Trea Turner: 2014 draft round 1 pick 13 of SD

Had his best hitting season since 16′, as his caliber of player stealing bases as a righty in this lineup is always playable in DFS at the right price. Spring speed maybe best in the league with power for a small lengthy guy at 6’2″. Has green light to steal 3rd creating 10 FP easily. The mindset of possibly in 3 hole instead, shaking this LU up.

3. Juan Soto: Free agent signed to Nats in 2015

Elite at getting on base, SLG, ISO, and nice speed. Can walk with the best of them already, as he should get even better. He is in range with the best hitters in game with 51 barrels. 20% SO rage is fine.

4. Victor Robles: 2014 Free agent with Nats

Got a full season in as a bit more of a ground ball hitter, displaying good speed and base stealing skills. He might be able to improve his power this year. If not he’ll hope to get on base and walk better. Great upside. 23 years old. Great Power/speed potential.

Also having Starline Castro as an option. Decent hitter.

5. Howie Kendrick: 2002 draft round 10 pick 12 of Angels

The savvy veteran jumped up his ISO with the same Bapip. I couldn’t believe his STAT Cast numbers jumping off the screen in X SLG, Xwoba, Hard contact, and SO% along with Velocity. There is no way to go but down.

6. Carter Kieboom : 2016 draft round 1 pick 28 of Nats

Looks like they think he can be a Trau Turner some day, as he would have to develop a lot more power to go along with his potential base steals. Was not a high draft pick but a first rounder several years ago. Not much opportunity. Was a top 10 prospect.

7. A mix of Wilmer Difo, Kurt Suzuki, and Michael Taylor look to try to get on base, and/or pop up a HR every now and then.

8. Swing Option: Eric Thams, looking to hit 5th. Trying to get him in every day.

Astubrel Cabrera. Depding on the split can also use him in DFS. Trying to get the 5th 6th spots in LU here.

9. Yan Gomes: 2009 draft round 10 pick 19 The Catcher had some batting average numbers a lot better vs. Lefties then righties. That’s where he has his power as well at .217 ISO.

DH: Depending on the MU a few guys to use such as

P1: Max Scherzer: 2006 draft round 1 pick 11 of Ariz.

lowest numbers of recent career. Missed a few starts, needs to stay healthy. perrenial Cy young Ace. Hitting upside. still on top of his game. Gave up a couple HR’s vs. the Phillies incl. B. Harper, but lots of swinging strikes, nasty stuff!

P2: Stephen Strausberg: 2009 draft round 1 pick 1 overall of Nats

Healthy world series MVP season. Top 12 Ace in league. injuries have plagued him.

P3:Patrick Corbin: 2009 draft round 2 pick 31 of Angels

The Lefty I recall got really good and consistent with SO upside in the latter half of year. Good K/BB rate at 3.4 despite his SO% down and walks up from 2018 when he had a 5.13 K/BB rate. Expected to be fully stretched out for July 26th start against Yanks at home.

P4: Anibal Sanchez

P5: Erick Fedde

SF Giants Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

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  1. Mike Yastrzemski

An interesting late blooming prospect that has impressive rookie xWOBA, SLG, and pure power. Could be best hitter on the team.

2. Buster Posey Will Not Play this Season.

His SO% went up last year as he provides no value in DFS.

3. Brandon Belt Starting season on injured list.

I was surprised he had a full season of healthy plate appearances and put up this dissapointing season as the prior years he did better in X stats. Has maintained his good walk numbers getting on base.

4. Evan Longoria

Lost his power in recent years, then had a bit of a resuregence in 2019 as he’s improved his xWOBA numbers significantly to .352. SLGing is also well along which is why is getting back up to higher ISO.

5. Alex Dickerson

When a guy who has not played much has high hard contact and strikes out below 20% you may have something if he can keep healthy.

6. Brandon Crawford

Does not exceed anywhere. The savvy veteran is a decent ground ball hitter and fielder. Not much for DFS.

7. Mauricio Dubon

Seemed like he would be a good raw power and speed combo, but not been around too long. We’ll see what he does with an opportunity.

8. Billy Hamilton4

Still a speed sprinter, which shows on his stat cast rankings as #20

9. Jaylin Davis

Has a bit of pop off his bat in only 42 AB’s.

SP1: Johnny Cueto:

Opening day starter should be stretched out to 80 pitches for opening night. We have to remember this was a high GB SP for the Giants in 16′ few HR’s allowed and almost a SO per Inning. Could not keep his HR’s allowed number down in small sample seasons since then.

SP2: Jeff Samardza

An innings guy will get you what you need as the #2 starter in leagues and DFS. Still a decent pitcher overall as he kept his WHIP down to 1.18 and and BB% down to 6. and a 3.5 K/BB over last 3 yrs.

SP3: Kevin Gausman

It looks like Gausman may never develop into and effective pitcher for fantasy other then stacking against on any consistent basis. Has 10K/9 upside for however many innings he can manage before blowup.

SP4: Tyler Beede on 60 day injured. Will miss season.

SP5: Derek Rodriquez

Potential RP spot as nothing has yet been solidified.

 

How to determine Win/Loss record in DFS?

If profiting in cash on a site such as Draftkings or Fanduel, its considered a win. Based on one main lineup. Cash lineups are considered contests where %25-50 of the field are to be paid out a profit from the entry of the contest.

For GPP, because the return is so volatile, if hitting any in being profitable, then that’s win. However the winning percentage is much lower, minimizing the importance of win/loss ratio. What is important is simply profitability, therefore no record is needing to be kept in GPP’s, rather the profitability for the season.

My personal win/loss record as well as any other coaches who put their percentages in resulting from their contests will be recorded here after releasing those same lineups prior to tip off, first pitch, kickoff, drop puck or whatever is required in any other sport in our WFF Discord. Using this app daily will not only give your WFF’s winning record and percentage but will help you daily with lineups for Cash, GPP, Lastest relevant news, Resources, and the important back and forth talk to tweak your process, lineups, and anything else to bring up daily in sports.

You are only as good as your team is.

Sign up for a Subscription to WFF for daily Tips from Coaches who have Strategies that you will want to tap into daily to Boost your win/loss record with insights into DFS.

Here are some Lineups along with some results from Slates on the WFF Discord Community.

Results from 7/18/20

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