Cleveland Indians Fantasy Baseball Positional Breakdown for 2021

C: Roberto Perez 2020 notes

As many of these catchers are, there is a lower BAPIP with a high HR/FB rate, along with a high GB rate. This translates to one of the best catchers hitting in the game potentially.

Won fielder awards in recent years and is an average hitting with good power.

1B: Jake Bauers 2020 notes

Can’t figure out what they will do with Bauers as he’s a lefty that’s not outstanding vs. Righties. It would be unusual it seems to use him vs. lefties instead but he was better vs. the latter last season in a short career.

For 2021: The main thing is improving defensively at the position. He has a reworked swing as an upside wildcard. No need to really draft unless last pick. He does not have the experience in MLB due to the depth chart.

2B: Cesar Hernandez 2020 notes

Provides stolen bases vs. Righties. A switch hitter who can hit righties as a lefty as well, so that’s when we’ll look at playing him daily.

For 2021: More of the same projected unless shipped out for some reason, looks to lead off in the order I would think providing on base and steal potential in many fantasy formats. Great utility guy for your bench.

3B: Jose Ramirez 2020 notes

Batting cleanup in this lineup should set up better for him this season, as these guys get on base and steals nicely for Santana to get on base, and Jose to pop his numbers back up or adjust from his lower Stat Cast, driving in runs. Finished 3rd in MVP voting 2 straight yrs before slumping.

For 2021: Ramirez Stat cast number continued to improve since the slump, as he did enough to finish top 3 in MVP voting. Interestingly sees a lot of pitches at the plate, as that shows for him that his discipline will overcome any future slump before its very long again.

SS: Andres Gimenez/Amed Rosario

For 2021: This combo will provide decent or average fielding which is the main concern for the team here. Rosario traditionally for his career is better for stolen base upside. Gimenez is an average hitter, younger for the future.

OF: Franmil Reyes 2020 notes

Low BAPIP, great ISO, Hard contact, and FB rate, make for a DFS option that will meet or exceed 2019 as long as his salary stays lower then the Big sluggers, as he’s top 1-5% in Stat Cast Power numbers.

OF: Bradley Zimmer: no 2020 notes

For 2021: 16.7 Hard hit rate last year will not do. Look for Oscar Mercado to key in to compete. See below for Mercado notes.

OF: Daniel Johnson: no 2020 notes

Johnson has a few tools, as he has proven to help score runs and get on base, even with extra base hits in ST. Likely sharing time with Luplow mentioned below.

Update: OF Eddie Rosario will take the plate 3rd or 4th in the order despite below average fielding, will rack up 30+ homers giving the Indians exactly what they need in consistent power if nothing else.

OF bench Greg Allen 2020 notes

Always a speed threat. Extra stolen bases leading to Lindor is the DFS key here.

More 2020 bench notes: 

Bench: Domingo Santana: 6’5″ 220, had 21 HR, and career .797 OPS, Tyler Naquin, Delino DeSheilds (no longer with team), and Jordan Luplow. Basically platoon split guys, with pop and DeSheilds with speed, he can lead off if needed.

Prospects: Bobby Bradley. 1B/DH bats L. Tlyer Freeman. Had .306 BA as he has enough physical ability to improve his power as he’s already showed in limited time in majors that he’s a good hitter.

1B/OF reserve or Platoon: Oscar Mercado 2020 notes

As a 25 yr old, he’s ready to improve on his power and speed combo, as he interestingly has hit on his minor league numbers, matching them in his rookie campaign. Stat Cast shows him as a top 20 speed guy.

SP1: Shane Bieber  RHP 24 yr old, R 6’3″ 2020 notes

Went 6.5 innings regularly. ERA of 3.28. 15-8 record, 11 K/9 and 1.3 HR/9 he needs to improve. Named opening day starter, as he was the 5th pitcher to start last yr. and had a 30% SO rate, showing great upside and a 4.7% walk rate, hoping to feature his changeup, as he’s needing to get the HR rate down, which is caused by allowing a 90.4 mph average exit velocity. So that 4% compared to Clevinger makes a big difference in allowing HRs. Velocity being so important as the underlying stat as he hopes to allow less hits off the barrel of the bat this season.

For 2021: Bieber had a historical season in Cleveland Indians history combining for most wins, lowest ERA, and most Strikeouts in a season. He will continue his dominance despite the lackluster results vs. the NYY in the playoffs. His pitch combos are THE best in the American League.

SP2: Zack Plesac  RHP 25 yr old

ERA 3.81, 6.85 K/9, did a lot better in minors, high A for a couple years. Dosen’t do anything really well, gives you up to a 95 mph fastball. He will start out in the minors, leaving way for the next guy.

For 2021: Plesac had an astronomical improvement, moving in on the SP3 slot, now set to use his highly athletic ability to bring his 4 pitch repertoire as a big strong movement in and out of zone. Love having his fielding ability to help protect against runs and get outs. The Fastball is also in mid 90s.

P3: Aaron Civale R 24 yr old  5.7 IPG, giving you 2.34 ERA, very consistent specializing in the fastball even though its not as fast as other guys topping out about 93-94. specializing also in the curve, changeup and slider. Elite quality in allowing hardly any barrels, resulting in very low SLG allowed. Not a SO guy, about 7 K/9.

For 2021: Has improved now getting up to over 8K/9. He’s very effectively using the cutter and curve to induce soft contact. his 2.34 ERA has balanced out to 3.59, hopefully not dropping any more, allowing value in drafts..

SP4: Triston McKenzie RHP

Another guy in a long list of SP’s who look to build upon success and move up the rotation quickly, using natural fastball tools complimented by a plus curveball. He’s 6’5″, however skinny as a rail if you have not seen him.

SP5: Logan Allen LHP

One of the only lefties on the mound for the team in 2021, he will also employ 4 pitches total to try and feature the changeup. He’ll have to decrease his WHIP and use these to produce SO’s for fantasy upside.

P6: Adam Plutko 28 yr old R 2020 notes

4.86 ERA, given the right splits you can attack these guys with low upside,

Other: Brad Hand all-star quality closer, fans 13+per 9. Terry Francona was the master at using pitchers in certain matchups, however that will not be any advantage this yr. 3rd Best Bullpen.

For 2021: He may start out in the 5th SP spot, and work his way down into the bullpen to be most effective lacking in as many pitches mentioned with these prospects such as McKenzie and Allen.

Emmanuel Clase, who should be groomed as the closer after a couple yrs, throws average of 99.6 mph. He will unfortunately have to wait for that due to PEDs. James Karinchak will handle the closer duties likely for the season. He’s very effective vs. righties and get almost 2 SO/IP. Look for Nick Wittgren to handle a larger role in innings until these flame throwers come in, as a possible RP to use in season long fantasy. He’s also affective vs. lefties even though he’s a righty, to make plenty of SO’s as well.

Overall pitching last year:

6th in opposing BA

4th in ERA

 

 

Fantasy Baseball Advice for Opening Day: Atlanta Braves

For the Atlanta Braves opening day on 4/1/21 with the Philadelphia Phillies this fine day in daily fantasy as we run down the probable lineup and taking a look at the starters along with throwing in a reliever or 2 to think about using.

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Projected Regulars

C. Travis d’Arnud R: With HH contact thru thru the roof in the short sample, he’s a nice short term target if he starts out hot.

1B. Freddie Freeman: L: Rarely striking out, he’s one of the top 2 at the position probably all year in 21′.

2B: Ozzie Albies: R an average hitter vs. Righties. Nice a number 2 hole hitter getting on base and stealing with surprising consistent power.

3B: Austin Riley R: A liability in the outfield or infield but is versatile. It will be interesting to see if he’s a FB or a GB hitter as he flipped in that area from being a FB hitter in 19′ and his K% Rate went way down in 20′.

SS: Dansby Swanson R: Headed for a regression to what he did last yr however, but still a decent player all around that you could stack.

LF: Ender Inciarte L: Not in there for hitting, should get pinched hit for.

CF: Christian Pache R: Looking for power, he’s has elite speed.

RF: Ronald Acuna R: They are gonna walk him a lot, one of the elite at power and speed, continues to get better. His BABIP was only .302 which is a great indicator that this dominance will continue.

SP 1: Mike Soroka RHP: If Drafting him fill in with Kyle Wright as a handcuff like we do in NFL with RB’s. The Big guy displayed great GB rate.

SP 2: Max Fried RHP: Even with very efficient use of his 3 pitches and a low %3 barrel rate, his can get blown up so is not and ACE pitcher despite skills.

SP 3: Ian Anderson RHP: As a 2 pitch pitcher, we’ll see if he prevent the catchup by hitters as the upside with SO’s seems massive in DFS.

SP 4: Charlie Morton RHP: Not the solid option he used to be as i’ll take sort of a wait and see approach, coming back from an injury.

SP 5: Drew Smyly LHP: A SO pitcher on a really good defensive team makes this a good pitcher option on a 2 start week in season long formats.

RP’s: Interestingly they don’t have a real Closer with Chris Martin and AJ Minter seemingly going for the same spot, with interesting combos of pitch types, they are both very effective in setups.

 

 

LA Dodgers Starting Roster: Breakdown for 2021

Possible Batting order and Draft position:

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  1. Mookie Betts: Round: 5, Pick: 21 2011 draft. Considered an MVP candidate in this environment and schedule as well as the contract situation, I would like to see him get back to his 2018 numbers with a wOBA more then .100 higher vs. off-speed pitches. Despite this he was top level elite in XOBA and XBA. If successful by his standards he will really increase value of the team.
  2. Gavin Lux: Round: 1, Pick: 20 2016 draft. As a high draft pick, he’s still considered a prospect with only 75 AB’s as he had a %14.2 BB rate in AAA last yr and SLG .719 with a .490 wOBA as a dominant player in 19′ there.  Quite a bit of power to work with.
  3. Max Muncy: Round: 5, Pick: 11 2012 draft with very near elite level XSLG and wOBA and already at elite level %BB you look to capitalize off a payer in his prime with Excellent pwr u can even play him vs. L as a L.
  4. Justin Turner: Round: 7, Pick: 8 2006 draft: Still top %10 of league in XWOBA so has really not regressed in his career yet despite what standard numbers show. His SO/BB rate went down due to taking too many swings, should come back up to normal.
  5. Cody Bellinger: Round: 4, Pick: 18 2013 draft. 100th Percentile in XWOBA and BA, BAPIP was very low vs. L’s so maybe here’s another guy where it may not matter to play L vs. L other then SB’s.
  6. Joc Pederson: Round: 11, Pick: 27 2010 draft. 36 HR’s resulted last yr from an over inflated %SLG, Only play vs. Righties whether LADs’ do or note.
  7. Corey Seager: Round: 1, Pick: 18 2012 draft Not really playable vs. Lefties. Was down in every category in 19′, let’s wait and see if he will bounce back.
  8. Will Smith: Round: 1, Pick: 32 2016 draft. Has power with over .300 ISO in both AAA and majors last yr. Should split time with A. Barnes.
  9. AJ Pollock: Good exit velocity and decent hitter may not play every day on this team. Possible DH spot.

For 2021: With all of these starters back hopefully all in good shape as long as they don’t relax after the championship. Justin Turner won’t get any time at first base, which leaves him with less workload due to the emergence of Edwin Rios. Turner is best left to keep his playing time down due to injuries. Providing needed depth for Viruses we’ll look especially to Rios with his %17 barrel rate, to hit at the right spot on the right day in daily formats like DFS.

SP’s: 2020 notes:

  1. Kayton Kershaw: Round: 1, Pick: 7 2006: Even though his GB rate was steadily high, his FB rate increased by %5.5. Not as old as you might think at 32, injuries got him. Look for a healthy outlook.
  2. Walker Buehler: Round: 1, Pick: 2015: Allowing .211 BA is about right for his career. 10.6 K/9 last yr. Does a lot of things well, best at curve and fastball spin.
  3. Trevor Bauer R goes over 6 innings on a normal basis. 10-11 k/9.1.06 HR/9 allowed. His best quality if the fastball with a high spin rate on it. However thats the pitch he gets blown up on the most. He took to many risks so if he stays with and develops his changeup or re-develops his changeup back to where it was in 18′, he can move forward again instead of backward or the same as 19′ His slider is really good as well but not used enough, only 18% of time. Too many 4 seamers.
  4. David Price: He will play in 2021. Nothing spectacular expected from the 35 yr old coming back.
  5. Julio Urias: Not drafted:  We should get enough games started and wins from Urias with this powerful offense and defense that keeps the games low scoring. The Southpaw projects to possibly be an ace this or next yr.

Closer: Kenley Janson: 33 saves and 5-3 record is what we want to continue into 2020 at that shortened rate. 11.4 K/9s.

Dustin May: Round: 3, Pick: 24 in 2016: Just barely a SO/IP guy as he’s in running for 5th starter role.

Ross Stripling: Round: 5, Pick: 18 in 2012: Started 15 gms but only a 4-4 record. However great GB rate and defiinitely getting 1 SO per inning.

There are a lot more guys to mention including guys who started games, as there is a lot to go around here, in fact too much as the pitching staff as a whole gave up more ER’s last year then they should have. That should be tightened up this year continuing a better tear then last year.

For 2021:

a KEY guy in the playoffs as was not metioned here was Tony Gonsolin. He seems like a guy to come out of the bullpen or start in a 6th spot. Mixes power, speed, and mixes it up for nasty stuff.

Kershaw should be fine but could get overtaken from the #1 spot due to regression based off of BAPIP which was too low.

Buehler was one of the most effective all around in game at limiting contact. He however is not expected to get prime inning. Too bad. Needs to get more consistent during regular season to be considered an ace.

Bauer comes in with much control over his arsenal, improving spin rate, and as always providing plenty Strike outs to go with these limited innings.

Urias provided one of best curveballs in league. He has quite a few other pitches that work as well with a mid 90’s fastball. Nice to have as a 4th or 5th SP.

 

 

New York Yankees Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

C: Gary Sanchez: 2020 notes

For the 2nd year in a row hit as 2nd in all MLB for the Max highest Exit Velocity. Other then being hurt, has produced fine power numbers over his 4 seasons with increased ISO over 2017.

For 2021: I went back some time ago to get those numbers previously mentioned. Since 2019 there has been a decline, as an undrafted player, there is not much to live up to as he’s solely in the lineups for power.

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1B: Luke Voit: 2013 round 22 pick of STL; 2020 notes

It seems he may be able to sustain a high 350+ BABIP. Loved his XSLG in 221 AB’s.

For 2021: For a guy that spent so many years in the minors he is what he is as a HR producer for about 1 out of every 9 at bat. He’s an expert at in barrel in the zone as a big strong guy with lack of speed but can hit all over field.

2B: Tyler Wade: no 2020 notes

For 2021: I didn’t expect this guy to get in the rotation last yr but injuries helped his case. Not much of a hitter as he should platoon with Thairo Estrada. Estrada: Certainly was the hottest reserve in ST of 20′, as he’s hit 3 HR’s that I’m aware of. Fills in nicely in the infield especially at SS when needed.

UPDATE LeMahieu signed as he’ll play 2nd base. 

2B: DJ LeMahieu 2009 2nd pick 30 of Cubs 2020 notes

He has improved his exit velocity, ISO, and is just hitting the ball hard with improvement over the last 5 years. His average exit velocity ranked 19t in MLB last year, so this was better then all of his previous yrs in Col. He has an established track record, and upped his hard contact last year, which was hopefully not only an outlier and still in the top compared to the other hard contact hitters in the league.

For 2021: He’s been solid in grapefruit league play with a .308 BA, also he is expected to get some time in at 1st and 3rd base because he can play.

3B: Gio Urshela: Not drafted been with Indians, and BJ’s. 2020 notes

Without a lot of history as a rookie, the kid shows a lot of slugging potential. He’s hitting the ball fairly hard with a launch angle comparable to some guys higher up in this order.

For 2021: His metrics sustained in short sample season, as he’s a sure handed fielder, solidified at the position with bat to ball skills.

SS: Gleyber Torres: Not drafted. Came up from Cubs A ball in 2014 2020 notes

Torres has put together 2 solid seasons and showed a lot of improvement over 2018 as he lowered his SO rate, while specializing in Homers.

For 2021: Graded out about last in some advanced metric categories last year, but should bounce back from the 157 pt. OPS drop.

LF: Clint Frazier no 2020 notes

For 2021: The crafty veteran gets pitchers to play into his crushing the ball along with a %16 walk rate and low chase rate. Having a more then solid ST, he could easily hit 30 homers or be a risk if drafting him to high. There is depth here to challenge if pitchers figure him out, if slumping.

RF: Aaron Judge: 2013 1st round pick 32 of Yankees

Judge is top of the line in Hard Hit %, Exit Velo, and XSLG, which are all great numbers to be in line with. The ISO I would hope would go back up a bit with a healthy hot start.

DH: Giancarlo Stanton: 2007 Round 2 pick 12 of Marlins. 

Stanton has had streaks of high BAPIP before in his career with MIA, so this high small sample dosen’t matter for 2019. His HR/FB rate is right in line other then a couple spikes in 15′, and 16′. He’s healthy like all of this roster is putting balls in play for summer.

For 2021: When playing the power is still very well there. Keeping him at DH to get more AB’s should be the plan for Manager Boone.

OF/UTIL: Miquel Andujar. Not drfated, only been with Yanks.

Getting HR’s off Garret Cole helps his case during this summer camp in intra squad play.

For 2021: Able to play 3rd base and OF, remember he slammed 27 HR”s in 2018 as he’ll fill in when the injuries start. I would love to see him start at OF

Reserves when needed:

Brett Gardner: 2005 round 3 pick 29 of Yankees

The sprint speed specialist had himself a really good XSLG season, interestingly his BABIP was very low for his standards, and is HR/FB rate increased showing nice improvement in his extra base hitting.

Aaron Hicks: On a loaded team, he will move up and down this batting order, starting for most teams. Has enough power and speed to get hot early as playing time also permits. He’s a terrible fielder. He’ll get some starts because of the way he draws walks, switch hitting.

Mike Ford: Another guy that gets line drives and on base with a bit of power.

P1: Gerrit Cole 29 R  6.5 IP

ERA right in line with Xfip SOs really increased every year.

Cole has been throwing in the backyard of teammate Adam Ottavino, Brendan Kuty of NJ Advance Media reports. Despite the suspension of spring training and shutdown of team facilities to most players, Cole appears intent on keeping in shape in anticipation of an eventual return to action. The Yankees’ key offseason signing is expected to be the club’s Opening Day starter when the regular season commences. Gave up a few homers but still had an impressive camp as they allowed him to go 5 innings.

For 2021: Got bombed a few times in 2020 but it was difficult for most aces.

P2: Luis Severino 26 R 6 Ip INJURED Reserved. Should return this season.

GB pitcher giving about 10 K/9. Severino (elbow) is among a group of Yankees eligible to use the Yankees’ facility in Tampa in the midst of Florida’s stay-at-home declaration, George A. King III of the New York Post writes. With Florida’s stay-at-home order set to kick in at 12:01 a. m. ET on Friday, most players will no longer be allowed to gather at George M. Steinbrenner Field. However, the policy makes an exception for players undergoing rehab programs, meaning Severino will be able to continue to use the facility along with a short list of other players including Giancarlo Stanton (calf) and Aaron Judge (rib). Severino underwent Tommy John surgery in late February and is expected to miss the entire 2020 campaign

P3: Masahiro Tanaka 31 R 5.8 IP RETURNED TO JAPAN. not playing in 2021

High GB with 1.3 HR/9  should get back up to 9 K/9 instead of 7 last yr

Tanaka returned to Japan with his family late in March, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports. Many foreign-born players are returning to their countries of origin, so this is not surprising or cause for alarm. The Yankees are not keeping close tabs on Tanaka, as he usually dictates his own preparations during the offseason.

SP4: Jordan Montgomery:  2020 notes

Looks to continue his Summer league play dominance as he performed vs. the Mets not allowing any runs, with a 5/6 IP/SO game. Is an average pitcher who can easily get above average numbers with runn support on this team.

For 2021: This strike thrower had an impressive 1.9 Walk/9 rate. Good control pitcher as his 5+ ERA will come down.

SP5: Domingo German no 2020 notes due to domestic case. 

For 2021: Should be rusty out of gate for a while. Has a good curve/changeup combo. In ST he seems to be securing a spot in the rotation however earlier then expecting actually dominating with a 13:1 K:BB so far.

SP5: Deivi Garcia: Not 2020 notes

For 2021: The smallest guy on the Yankees has postseason confidence with his low 92 mph fastball and other good offering with control. He’s their top prospect.

WSH Nationals MLB Positional Breakdown for 2021

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C: Yan Gomes: 2020 notes

2009 draft round 10 pick 19 The Catcher had some batting average numbers a lot better vs. Lefties then righties. That’s where he has his power as well at .217 ISO.

For 2021: Average hitting catcher with average power. He’s a bit older as well over 30.

1B: Josh Bell: 2011 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 1:  2020 notes

We’ll hope he gets hot and stays that way, as he’s way out of his usual numbers. Drop down possible. SLG, Woba Exit Velo and hard contact elite last year. What worries me is if he’s a Jesus Agular. Bell fell badly in the 2nd half of season.

For 2021: While he was very average as well documented with other mlb writers, his bounce back is imminent as long as he can get more lift for fly balls this season. You just can’t rely on him all season likely because of slumps.

2B: Luis Garcia

For 2021: Garcia is not worth mentioning much offensively. He should stick in the lineup for his defense for lack of depth options, you hope for a good batting average, offensively comparable to a Amed Rosario. He appears to have the big body control to be able to handle the SS position.  Josh Harrison is a veteran 10 yr guy worth mentioning here with 819 hits in his career if Garcia slides over to SS at times as Trea Turner will likely get hurt.

LF: Kyle Schwarber 2020 notes

Schwarber has established himself as a MLB slugger but his slugging percentage could rise a lot more.

For 2021: Schwarber may not have lived up to his expectation since he came on in 2017 however he still may develop further I believe with a fresh start.

SS: Trea Turner: 2014 draft round 1 pick 13 of SD 2020 notes

Had his best hitting season since 16′, as his caliber of player stealing bases as a righty in this lineup is always playable in DFS at the right price. Spring speed maybe best in the league with power for a small lengthy guy at 6’2″. Has green light to steal 3rd creating 10 FP easily. The mindset of possibly in 3 hole instead, shaking this LU up.

For 2021: While I don’t want to draft him too high, I would love to use him as much as possible in points league formats, just have someone waiting behind him to clean up his missed game, or as in football a handcuff.

RF: Juan Soto: 2020 notes

Elite at getting on base, SLG, ISO, and nice speed. Can walk with the best of them already, as he should get even better. He is in range with the best hitters in game with 51 barrels. 20% SO rage is fine.

For 2021: Contrary to the speed he has, he is not a good base stealer. However as he led the league in SLG, Walks, and OPS. Incredible for his age.

CF: Victor Robles: 2020 notes

Got a full season in as a bit more of a ground ball hitter, displaying good speed and base stealing skills. He might be able to improve his power this year. If not he’ll hope to get on base and walk better. Great upside. 23 years old. Great Power/speed potential.

For 2021: Robles did not do a whole lot in the pwr dpt. as he started hot with a couple HR’s in 2020 but then cooled way off and missed time due to injury. He has to lower his strikeout rate as his strengths are really fielding and speed.

Also having Starline Castro as an option. Decent hitter.

5. Howie Kendrick: 2002 draft round 10 pick 12 of Angels

The savvy veteran jumped up his ISO with the same Bapip. I couldn’t believe his STAT Cast numbers jumping off the screen in X SLG, Xwoba, Hard contact, and SO% along with Velocity. There is no way to go but down.

3B Carter Kieboom : 2016 draft round 1 pick 28 of Nats 2020 notes

Looks like they think he can be a Trau Turner some day, as he would have to develop a lot more power to go along with his potential base steals. Was not a high draft pick but a first rounder several years ago. Not much opportunity. Was a top 10 prospect.

For 2021: With only 165 plate appearances so far, its tough to evaluate his sample, but has not shown anything yet. 18′ and 19′ were good slash line yrs at plate in single and triple A with almost .500 slugging those yrs. There is some sign of him having good OBP at the ML level.

P1: Max Scherzer: 2006 draft round 1 pick 11 of Ariz. 2020 notes

Lowest numbers of recent career. Missed a few starts, needs to stay healthy. perrenial Cy young Ace. Hitting upside. still on top of his game. Gave up a couple HR’s vs. the Phillies incl. B. Harper, but lots of swinging strikes, nasty stuff!

For 2021: There seems to be a decline here setting in, I would look to get him for value as people are basing this off of a small sample of 20′ season. There are valid concerns regarding his velocity, healthy, and age.

P2: Stephen Strausberg: 2009 draft round 1 pick 1 overall of Nats 2020 notes

Healthy world series MVP season. Top 12 Ace in league. injuries have plagued him.

For 2021: The big righty is fine vs. both Lefties and Righties as long as he stays healthy he’s only 32. Nice SO/BB ratio.

P3:Patrick Corbin: 2009 draft round 2 pick 31 of Angels 2020 notes

The Lefty I recall got really good and consistent with SO upside in the latter half of year. Good K/BB rate at 3.4 despite his SO% down and walks up from 2018 when he had a 5.13 K/BB rate. Expected to be fully stretched out for July 26th start against Yanks at home.

For 2021: 2020 did not go according to plan as his lack of pitch arsenal resulting in way too many Homers given up. He may just not have been able to adjust to the conditions of the short season. He should be able to resemble his 2019 numbers again, in which had a %29 BB/SO ratio.

P4: Jon Lester

Too old, cannot pitch long into games.

P5: Erick Fedde and/or Autsin Voth

Neither of these guys are really worth a 5th pitcher spot.

SF Giants 2021 MLB Fantasy Positional Breakdown

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Catcher: Buster Posey 2020 notes

Buster Posey Will Not Play this Season.

His SO% went up last year as he provides no value in DFS.

For 2021

Posey is an old player that has proven to lose strength, batting skill, and defensive backstop ability. Don’t think he’ll be worth trying to squeeze anything out of as there are higher upside options unless you really don’t have any other option. Curt Casali will be in the mix with limited upside as well as the prospect Joey Bart is one of the most talented young prospects in the majors for the future.

1B: Brandon Belt 2020 notes

Starting season on injured list. I was surprised he had a full season of healthy plate appearances and put up this dissapointing season as the prior years he did better in X stats. Has maintained his good walk numbers getting on base.

For 2021

As another older guy also with competition behind him, he’s hardly being targeted in fantasy. Even though you won’t get the kind of production worth a pick in leagues, he does have +95 percentile rakings in many categories such as xwOBA and BB%. If he plays smart and consistent he COULD be a pleasant surprise. IF not Wilmer Flores and Darin Ruf have MLB experience to give some power hitting in addition to fielding skills.

2B: Donavan Solano 

I didn’t happen to get any notes prior to 2021 on Solano as he was relatively unknown. He has a low barrel rate, and is ok for hits and singles. We could also see someone like Flores slide in here and be a value piece in lineups.

3B: Evan Longoria 2020 notes

Lost his power in recent years, then had a bit of a resurgence in 2019 as he’s improved his xWOBA numbers significantly to .352. SLG% is also well along which is why he’s getting back up to higher ISO.

For 2021:

He proved true to his xSLG prowess of the 89 percentile. He saw a lot of breaking balls in the short season of which he hit only .254 wOBA.

SS: Brandon Crawford 2020 notes

Does not exceed anywhere. The savvy veteran is a decent ground ball hitter and fielder. Not much for DFS. I did a write up last year on the next guy who I will also feature here under the SS position as he has a nice looking future.

Mauricio Dubon 2020 notes also plays CF

Seemed like he would be a good raw power and speed combo, but not been around too long. We’ll see what he does with an opportunity.

LF Alex Dickerson 2020 notes

When a guy who has not played much has high hard contact and strikes out below 20% you may have something if he can keep healthy.

For 2021 

Kind of the same theme as last year, its been hard to believe he’s had so few at bats over the years he’s been around. (his nickname is grandpa), but has a career .265/.359/.490/ slash with a .849 OPS is nice.

CF/RF: Mike Yastrzemski

An interesting late blooming prospect that has impressive rookie xWOBA, SLG, and pure power. Could be best hitter on the team.

For 2021: 

He proved to be just that as he’s kept on track as a patient persistent major league hitter. Improved greatly last season vs. off speed pitching with a .513 xwOBA.

OF: Austin Slater provides value punch in the outfeild for the Giants with impressive xwOBA and hard contact even though the launch angle is low.

SP1: Kevin Gausman 2020 notes

It looks like Gausman may never develop into and effective pitcher for fantasy other then stacking against on any consistent basis. Has 10K/9 upside for however many innings he can manage before blowup.

For 2021

As the best option he has been able to now use other pitches other then the fastball. He’s not a #1 pitcher on most other rosters.

SP2: Johnny Cueto:

Opening day starter should be stretched out to 80 pitches for opening night. We have to remember this was a high GB SP for the Giants in 16′ few HR’s allowed and almost a SO per Inning. Could not keep his HR’s allowed number down in small sample seasons since then.

For 2021

Not much to expect from an older guy that has lost velocity and can’t perform like he used to.

SP3: Anthony DeSclafani: no 2020 notes

Seemed like prospect last year but he’s been around more then a few years, he put up a 4.4 SIERA and 4.6 ERA so nothing outstanding.

SP4: Tyler Beede Will miss some of the season, as they will welcome him back at almost a strikeout per inning mostly relying on the 4 seam fastball, which he will have to diversify.

SP potentially:

Alex Wood: Round: 2, Pick: 25 in 2012: The big 6’4″ lefty is back in LA after posting a 25-10 record there for 2 years prior to last. Not a fastball pitcher, as he needs the innings and QS’s to be effective.

SP5: Derek Rodriquez

Potential RP spot as nothing has yet been solidified.

 

How to determine Win/Loss record in DFS?

If profiting in cash on a site such as Draftkings or Fanduel, its considered a win. Based on one main lineup. Cash lineups are considered contests where %25-50 of the field are to be paid out a profit from the entry of the contest.

For GPP, because the return is so volatile, if hitting any in being profitable, then that’s win. However the winning percentage is much lower, minimizing the importance of win/loss ratio. What is important is simply profitability, therefore no record is needing to be kept in GPP’s, rather the profitability for the season.

My personal win/loss record as well as any other coaches who put their percentages in resulting from their contests will be recorded here after releasing those same lineups prior to tip off, first pitch, kickoff, drop puck or whatever is required in any other sport in our WFF Discord. Using this app daily will not only give your WFF’s winning record and percentage but will help you daily with lineups for Cash, GPP, Lastest relevant news, Resources, and the important back and forth talk to tweak your process, lineups, and anything else to bring up daily in sports.

You are only as good as your team is.

Sign up for a Subscription to WFF for daily Tips from Coaches who have Strategies that you will want to tap into daily to Boost your win/loss record with insights into DFS.

Here are some Lineups along with some results from Slates on the WFF Discord Community.

Results from 7/18/20

Make sure to get the to the signup page here: JOIN WFF DISCORD HERE. Take a 7-day free ride before you start now during sports return from pandemic! 

** After you have gone to the signup page in paypal look for the Copy/Past link for the WFF Discord. If you have any problem accessing that, send an email to gallaghersolutions@gmail.com for support requesting your WFF Discord link. **

 

STL Cardinals 2021 Fantasy H2H Points Breakdown

Starting Lineup Projected:

C: Yadier Molina

AT 40 years old, we don’t get a lot of hitting value out of him anymore.

1B: Paul Goldschmidt

Goldy still gives us a floor though his upside is now limited due to his average exit velocity decline. He still gets on base for his average career numbers.

2B: Tommy Edman

If he can get his hard contact back up to 2019 levels he would see a high upside with his extra base hits rate and line drives. Rounds out as an above average all around player with base running speed, and instincts.

3B: Nolan Aernado

Great homerun distance in 2019 as He always performs better in Woba then in xWOBA. I don’t expect any changes with this flyball productive hitter. Matt Carpenter slides platoon or DH spot if available.

SS: Paul DeJong 

Had a down year, but hopefully will get back on track for a .211 ISO resulting in 30 HRs its just that he feels old, but only 27. There is a lot of depth at the position this year for the H2H points format to go else ware.

LF: Dylan Carlson

Carlson has some tools to make a long career as a switch hitter. I would wait for him to get hot to use him with the .611 SLG % in the final 12 games.

CF: Harrison Bader

The only part of his game you can look to for upside is the steals. The rest of it is volatile with the high SO rate, not making hard contact.

RF: Dexter Fowler

At 34 he dosen’t get the base steals anymore he’s never had a high FB/HR rate in his career, and his exit velocity is down.

Starting Pitching and Relievers:

SP1: Jack Flaherty

With almost a 5 ERA, he had a few blowup games, as it makes it difficult to go back to him for his average ADP. He seemed to be bad on the road. When he’s on his game, he can give you a high %30 SO rate.

SP2: Kwang-Hyun Kim

His slider/fastball combo keeps them off balance. %30 K rate vs. Lefties but only %12 vs. Righty won’t make the cut as a #2 SP.

SP3: Carlos Martinez

Not sure why they have him in the starting rotation, unless its just out of lack depth or farm system.

SP4: Adam Wainwright

More likely the SP 3 worthy guy, his veteran savvy makes him a value on some nights. Had 2 complete games.

SP5: Miles Mikolas

Leading the NL in losses does not bode well for much upside in fantasy leagues.

Dakota Hudson is out for the season likely for the 2021 campaign.