Pittsburgh Pirates StatCast & H2H Points Breakdown

Starring Lineup Overview:

  1. Jerrod Dyson: 2006 Draft – Round: 50; Too high SO rate last yr, needs to bring down or Guillermo Heredia: Not drafted; You can only play him against Lefties.
  2. Bryan Reynolds: 2016 Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 18; His BA and SLG should drop down to normal rate unless he really progresses in this short season.
  3. Gregory Polanco: It may be fairly easy for Polanco to bounce back to his 2018 seasonal type numbers.
  4. Josh Bell: 2011 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 1: We’ll hope he gets hot and stays that way, as he’s way out of his usual numbers. Drop down possible.
  5. Adam Frazier: 2013 June Draft – Round: 6, Pick: 13: The Lefty has average numbers all around.
  6. Colin Moran: 2013 June Draft – Round: 1, Pick: 6 , Another league average hitter which is fine.
  7. Kevin Newman: 2015 June Amateur Draft – Round: 1, Pick: 19, Can get on base and steal so use vs. righties. Should be up more in order.
  8. Stalling, Maile, or Murphy splitting time. This lefty can get some SO’s at a low price kind of similar to Archer.

Universal DH: Unknown at this time.

Starting Pitchers:

Trevor Williams RHP: 2013 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 5; If they can get towards max hitting out of their to 5 hitters which is possible Trevor will get you an above average win % for points, DFS, and if he can get back to his 2018 stats he would be a solid option.

Chris Archer RHP: 2006 June Draft – Round: 5, Pick: 25; A high upside SO pitcher who can be taken as a contrarian perhaps on larger slates for that. Gives up too many walks.

Joe Musgrove RHP: 2011 June Draft – Round: CAs, Pick: 13, Overall: 46Decent pitcher but susceptible to Lefties giving up .334 wOBA against.

Mitch Keller RHP: 2014 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 23; Went well over 1 IP/SO rate getting 12 K/9. Hot prospect now and upside for DFS. 95 mph high end prospect fastball thrower better vs righties by about an earned run so there’s a spot to attack with lefties.

Steven Brault LHP: 2013 June Draft – Round: 11, Pick: 23 Not really a DFS or Points league option.

Keone Kela: Closer with 24 saves 2 yrs ago.

More Starting lineups notes:

  1. Jerod Dyson Lefty but throws R

30 steals last year unfortunately he can’t get on base with much consistency nearing bottom of league numbers in all categories of batting. Does have an above avg walk rate at 10% avg is 8%. Can play him both vs. lefty and righty.

2. Bryan Reynolds S

.387 BAPIP or batting avg for balls in play. not much of a base stealer but showed good pop with .189 ISO and 16 HR in his rookie yr. Expected BA of .296.

3. Greg Polanco L

Needs the AB’s to back into the swing of being a 20 homer 10 steal a yr guy.

4. Josh Bell S

SlG, Woba Exit Velo and hard contact elite last year. What worries me is if he’s a Jesus Agular. Bell fell badly in the 2nd half of season.

5. Colin Moran L

Improved his batting numbers except declined in OBP. Maintains .277 AVG. line drive rate of about 25%.

6. Kevin Newman R

OBP of .353 resulting in .800 OPS despite lack of power. 16 stolen bases. BA .308

7. Adam Frazier

Played a lot with 608 PA, average hitter in all respects. no upside.

8. Stallings, not a good player, no power spent too much time in minors now 30 yr old.

Gerrimo Herredia R

was batting 1st in LU for Rays in 10 games last yr. mostly bottom of order but Good hitter vs. lefties only.

 

LA Dodgers Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible Batting order and Draft position:

  1. Mookie Betts: Round: 5, Pick: 21 2011 draft. Considered an MVP candidate in this enviroonment and schedule as well as the contract situation, I would like to see him get back to his 2018 numbers with a wOBA more then .100 higher vs. off-speed pitches. Despite this he was top level elite in XOBA and XBA. If successful by his standards he will really increase value of the team.
  2. Gavin Lux: Round: 1, Pick: 20 2016 draft. As a high draft pick, he’s still considered a prospect with only 75 AB’s as he had a %14.2 BB rate in AAA last yr and SLG .719 with a .490 wOBA as a dominant player in 19′ there.  Quite a bit of power to work with.
  3. Max Muncy: Round: 5, Pick: 11 2012 draft with very near elite level XSLG and wOBA and already at elite level %BB you look to capitalize off a payer in his prime with Excellent pwr u can even play him vs. L as a L.
  4. Justin Turner: Round: 7, Pick: 8 2006 draft: Still top %10 of league in XWOBA so has really not regressed in his career yet despite what standard numbers show. His SO/BB rate went down due to taking too many swings, should come back up to normal.
  5. Cody Bellinger: Round: 4, Pick: 18 2013 draft. 100th Percentile in XWOBA and BA, BAPIP was very low vs. L’s so maybe here’s another guy where it may not matter to play L vs. L other then SB’s.
  6. Joc Pederson: Round: 11, Pick: 27 2010 draft. 36 HR’s resulted last yr from an over inflated %SLG, Only play vs. Righties whether LADs’ do or note.
  7. Corey Seager: Round: 1, Pick: 18 2012 draft Not really playable vs. Lefties. Was down in every category in 19′, let’s wait and see if he will bounce back.
  8. Will Smith: Round: 1, Pick: 32 2016 draft. Has power with over .300 ISO in both AAA and majors last yr. Should split time with A. Barnes.
  9. AJ Pollock: Good exit velocity and decent hitter may not play every day on this team.

SP’s:

  1. Kayton Kershaw: Round: 1, Pick: 7 2006: Even though his GB rate was steadily high, his FB rate increased by %5.5. Not as old as you might think at 32, injuries got him. Look for a healthy outlook.
  2. Walker Buehler: Round: 1, Pick: 2015: Allowing .211 BA is about right for his career. 10.6 K/9 last yr. Does a lot of things well, best at curve and fastball spin.
  3. Julio Urias: Not drafted:  We should get enough games started and wins from Urias with this powerful offense and defense that keeps the games low scoring. The Southpaw projects to possibly be an ace this or next yr.
  4. Alex Wood: Round: 2, Pick: 25 in 2012: The big 6’4″ lefty is back in LA after posting a 25-10 record there for 2 years prior to last. Not a fastball pitcher, as he needs the innings and QS’s to be effective.
  5. Round: 2, Pick: 25: Round: 1, Pick: 1 in 2007. The old timer need not pitch a lot of innings to get SO’s.

Closer: Kenley Janson: 33 saves and 5-3 record is what we want to continue into 2020 at that shortened rate. 11.4 K/9s.

Dustin May: Round: 3, Pick: 24 in 2016: Just barely a SO/IP guy as he’s in running for 6th starter role.

Ross Stripling: Round: 5, Pick: 18 in 2012: Started 15 gms but only a 4-4 record. However great GB rate and defiinitely getting 1 SO per inning.

There are a lot more guys to mention including guys who started games, as there is a lot to go around here, in fact too much as the pitching staff as a whole gave up more ER’s last year then they should have. That should be tightened up this year continuing a better tear then last year.