C: A. Nola
Surprsingly he’s managed a .808 OPS over the past 2 yrs. Thats some of the better hitting catchers in the league. He will only sit from what I understand whe Yu Darvish is in the game, so he’ll get plenty of time.
1B: Eric Hosmer LH 2020 notes
Below avg hitter who has not hit .800 OPS in a few yrs. Maybe their holding onto that 2017 .882 OPS 498 SLG %?? Can hit it very hard at 46% contact and with a line drive rate of 22% probably up in the order like this, sometimes you just need a veteran guy to bring in some runs for cash contests. Terrible vs. Lefties but should start out with full playing time based on the contract.
For 2021: Keep in mind he will get lefties vs. him as relievers, although theres so many hitters in this lineup, he could be overlooked, even with a productive barrel rate, however last short season was not his usual.
2B: Ha-seong Kim:
Used Kim a lot in DFS for KIW (South Korea) when I could afford him, as he’s good in all categories, not elite in anything except potentially steals. A low SO former SS must field well in order to stick in this spot. Should be ok.
3B: Mannt Machado 2020 notes:
Pretty even split of GB to FB rate. His BAPIP was only .274 for his first full season away from camden yards. I expect these numbers to bounce back somewhat to what he did in Balt. Remember he was top 92 percentile in all batting categories even in a year of partial run at Camden during the trade. Struggled in ST play going 2 for 23, however his 300 mil contract secures his spot at third base.
For 2021: His consistent value has been highlighted by a lower SO rate and more walks. I wouldn’t be concerned with the drop in Hard % last short season because even if its like that in 21′ his SLG % and ISO showed that he’s just very productive getting extra base quality hits.
SS: Fernando Tatis 2020 notes
With a .410 Bapip I doubt that will stay that high, as well as his 32% fB rate, indicating inflating numbers but Hit for power and ran with real speed. Had a .047 negative expected Woba differential. Doesn’t sound like much but even though all the scouts have said this guy is real and everybody loves him as a fielder as well, we could expect a regression in a sophmore campaign. You never want to rely on one year. Going pretty high in drafts. Showed off his max exit Velocity barrel rate at 21 yrs old. Son of another player.
For 2021: With elite STAT Cast numbers, even defensively, he’s one of best including Outs Above Average as a bonus to his offensive game. He’s easily projected to lead the team in steals, and maybe even in HR’s.
LF: Tommy Pham 2020 notes
We are looking to use Pham for getting on base and OBP vs. Righties. The huge payoff bonus is that if Pham gets back to one of his previous seasons we’re looking at approaching steals of 20-25 per season, he could be a valuable DFS option if the price is right. Didn’t do much in ST, but everything suggests he’ll be healthy and ready to go despite soreness in his side. “Participated in a sand-lot style baseball game organized by Trevor Bauer. Interesting..
For 2021: This is the guy who could come close to Tatis in steals but Tatis is too skilled to be overtaken. A strip club incident de-valued his stock I believe in a disappointing yr for him.
CF: Trent Grisham 2020 notes
Hit 6 HR”s in 156 AB’s in nice ST play.
For 2021: He kept up that pace of homers nicely in the regular season featuring patient hitting. He’s another one with speed to steal.
RF: Will Myers 2020 notes
Big Will Myers profiles similar to Hosmer, can hit line drives, has some power, with 34% rate, thats a killer. But can also steal bases as a savvy veteran which Hosmer did not do much of. Not sure if he’ll be at this cleanup spot. Was HOT in ST going 9 for 22 with 3 HR, 5 RBI’s working his way to everyday at bats.
For 2021: With his career year, we’ll see if he can keep up the Barrel rate, reduced K rate, and once again capable of plenty of steals.
Utility: Jurickson Profar 2020 notes
Afte losing Renfroe and Manuel Margot to a trade, Pham and Profar will seem to work themselves nicely into the lineup at positions of need. Nice production even though batting way down in the A’s order, can steal a base, and Very good avg exit velocity showing consistent surprisinlgy signs of power to add to his GB and line drive rate, even though having a lower BA and OBP. Sneaky coming in perhaps right behind Pham in LU.
Utility: Jake Croneworth
Croneworth seemed like heart and soul of this lineup hitting all over the field with his quick stroke. He is the ultimate meaning of utility as he’s pitched in games, with defensive skills overall.
P1: Yu Darvish RH: 2020 notes
Not quite an ace, first half bad, 2nd half good. Too many walks, high SO upside. ERA under 3 for 2nd half. Despite giving up lot of HR.’s Grounded at better rate then ever before. Was at his career K/9 rate for career at 11-11.5
For 2021: While increasing the SO to walk ratios, his Homeruns allowed dramatically went down. There seems to be some risk that he reverts back to allowing well over 1 HR/9 but he performed like a legit ace during the short term.
SP2: Blake Snell LH
I did not get any 2020 notes from last yr, however as I recall with TB he had a tough time with inning and HRs given up. He is a possible scrub when off his game but when he’s on, he’s a high upside (80 percentile) SP who will give another inning per game this season as they paid him for a reason as he can be solid with about a 3.5 SIERA.
SP3: Chris Paddock: RH
His Actual ERA was backed up nicely by his XERA of right about the same, 3.3 K% of 27% is good, and relies on 3 pitches. Mostly 4 seamer at 60% and Changeup at 28% and a little curve ball. Very adequete at the 2 main pitches and not bad at the curve either staying under .300 Woba. Needs to be more Well rounded and develop into an ace for this team. Has almost 10 k/9’s.
For 2021: The fastball/changeup did not deliver in short sample. However he has a good SO to walk rate. Don’t hesitate to take him in the mid range as he was attempting to be their ace and has tools to do so.
P4: Mike Clevinger R 6’4″ 6 IPG 2020 notes
12 K/9, avg for career is about 10. Kept his HR/9 very low at .7, 0.93 for his career. This is his 5th year. I hope theres no drop off such as what we had with Beiber and Kluber. Last yr had a 2.71 ERA and 1.06 whip
Exit velocity allowed, 86.1 which is in tune with his career, that combined with all-star caliber wOBA allowed, SO % and BA allowed. His curve and slider is most effective pitches, and his 4 seamer gets up above 95 mph.
Says he’s fully healthy already, his partially torn miniscus is all set, he’s gotten strong and should have no restrictions heading into ST, should be working all 4 pitches into his mix and should be really good as long as he mixes it up and is not predictable.
SP5: DiNelson Lamet RH
Actually has a 4 pitch slection. 11.7 K/9!! Really good DFS option at a value price for sure. To 7% of league at 33.5 SO%.
For 2021: A lot of people are excited to draft him a bit early. Held the batters down last year as batting avg. was very low and the slider that strikes out a ton of batters will be likely very effective again. Kind of a wait and see situation in actuality as he’s still recovering, ramping up, and building up innings in SIM games.
Garrett Richards R
Last couple shortened injury seasons he threw over 10 K/9, but that is not real, as his career shows he’s at 7.8-8.8. He does have up to a 96 mph fastball as his specialty, and can get hit hard on this pitch with hard contact over 40% and exit velocity allowed with some of the worst in league so this is an easy spot to attack rather then use him.
Only 6.4 K/9 through his career, however a good GB pitcher, grades out bottome 5% in league in SO’s.
Had a good rookie yr at 10 K/9 and then fell off last year at only 8.7 so his Sinker hits up to just about 90 mph topping out. Most effective pitch is the changup using that less then the Sinker 51 compared to 35% so perhaps that will go up in usage.