Today, we will improve on our nba cash cash game rankings, taking out a few higher risk players and trying to fit in players with a higher floor and ceiling. We will take a more advanced approach for today, 1/30/19 as this is an early look with updates, and adjustments marked here around 30 minutes before the 7:30pm tipoff on a 8 game slate, giving us plenty of options.
Plan ahead for NBA DFS Cash
Yesterday, I explained the simple methods here for generating cash using this model for cash game plays. Remember to confirm starting lineups before games, as you can use the roto grinders page here to get a clear picture of that. Just be aware you may get conflicting information out there on twitter media. Also, I will more than likely use the late breaking news, as there is a lot of lineups changes per projected ones you might see, using those for tournaments instead of cash. These would be fine for 100+ player contests.
|Player||Min./Game, Usage||X Value|
|Luca Doncic||32, %29||4.39|
|Trey Young||30, %27||4.37|
|Al Horford||28, %18||4|
|Lauri Markkanen||31, %24||5.35|
|H. Whiteside||26, %22||5.03|
|Nicola Jokic||31, %28||4.48|
|Willie Cauley-Stein||29, %19||5.17|
|DeAndre Jordan||31, %15||5.04|
|Buddy Hield||32, %25||4.82|
|Darren Collison||28, %16||4.73|
|Rudy Gobert||32, %17||4.82|
|Mike Conley||34, %27||4.83|
|D’Aaron Fox||32, %25||4.38|
|John Collins||30, %23||4.11|
|Miles Turner||28, %20||4.66|
|Bradley Beal||37, %28||4.66|
|Donovan Mitchell||33, %31||4.57|
#1 Focus for 1/30/19
UPdate as of 6:29pm:
Jokic should get a nice bump in usage, (+7.1) as long as Gary Harris is out.
Focus on value as the #1 parameter, as all stats matter, however, being advanced about it, we also want to avoid chalk in some cases. You can look to gauge chalk, and avoid the mistakes that others will make by checking in on the ownership projections. Here is the DFS Army Domination station and what that looks like here before submitting your slate.
As always on my posts you can get the Optimizer by simply clicking on the screen shot above. Here you will be to sort through the highest projections of the day as shown in my video, after scrolling down a bit.
In Advanced Strategy Summary:
Its not really all that advanced. Follow the basic elimination process from yesterday and today, and focus on the values in the simulations, and keep up to date on real news and lineups NBA teams put out there.
Here is the breakdown in order:
- Look at the minutes and usage such as show above on my chart.
- Look at how much value the player can create and FP per Min.
- Get the Vegas Over Under and Implied Team Total
- Pace up or Pace down game? Total Pace?
- Consistency, based on how often the player reaches X score and/or value
- Deployment: In the starting lineup today?
Make sure you have watched the video to the end to see the simulation model in work.