Fantasy Football Standard Deviation Report: Rakings for Week 4

Let’s face it. We all make mistakes when it comes to fantasy football. Anything can happened as we have seen this past week with the upset of the Bills over the Vikings. However, we can correct ourselves and forget about the chalk now, and go with what works; Standard Deviation.

This is an exciting time of year because it is about the time when I start considering this unique stat among others for evaluating my rankings on a weekly basis with better accuracy and less guesswork, based on 3 weeks of data in the NFL.

Here it is:

Running Back	Team	Mean	Standard Deviation	Coefficient of Variation (CV)
Melvin Gordon	SD	22	6.56	.30
Ezekiel Elliott Tevin Coleman Jordan Howard Carlos Hyde Lamar Miller Phillip Lindsay Saquon Barkley Marshawn Lynch Matt Breida Alvin Kamara Todd Gurley	Dal Atl Chi Clev Hou Den NYG Oak SF NO LAR	15.5 12.4 12.2 15.9 10.3 10.3 19.3 13.9 14.1 26.7 25	2.1 2.1 3.6 6.1 2.1 7.6 1.15 2 8.5 12 5.2	.14 .17 .295 .38 .17. .74 .06 .14 .6 .45 .2

Running
Back

Team

Mean

Standard
Deviation

Coefficient of
Variation (CV)

Melvin Gordon

6.56

.30

Dal

Atl

Chi

Clev

Hou

Den

NYG

Oak

LAR

15.5

12.4

12.2

15.9

10.3

19.3

13.9

14.1

26.7

2.1

3.6

6.1

2.1

7.6

1.15

8.5

5.2

.14

.17

.295

.38

.17.

.74

.06

.14

.45

QuarterBack

Patrick Mahomes	KC	30.8	7.4	.24
A. Rodgers M. Ryan P. Rivers A. Dalton E. Manning J Flacco Trubisky Tannehill C. Keenum	GB Atl SD Cin NYG Balt Chi Mia Den	20.3 27.2 23.3 20.7 13.8 19 12.4 19.6 14.8	4.5 15.5 6.5 5.2 6 3.6 4.7 5.5 7.5	.22 .57 .28 .25 .43 .19 .38 .28 .51

Wide Receiver

J Jones	At	14.7	7.4	.5
OBJr K. Allen J. Landry E. Sanders A. Robinson M. Crabtree M. Williams T. Boyd W. Snead D. Thomas S. Shepard K. Stills C. Ridley M. Thomas AJ Green J. Brown	NYG SD Clev Den Chi Balt SD Cin Balt Den NYG Mia Atl NO Cin Balt	13 11.5 13.3 17.3 9.3 9.7 14.1 15 8.7 9.5 9.4 13.6 17.2 24.3 17.3 13.4	5.3 8.6 3.6 6.65 3.2 1.5 6.6 8.8 4 5.5 6.8 11 17.6 6 9.5 3.2	.41 .75 .27 .38 .34 .15 .47 .65 .46 .58 .72 .81 1.0 .25 .55 .24

The DraftDashboard, showing addistional WR’s with the highest Ave Points Per Game Shown. Separate the ones who don’t have good SD, CV, and that may not have enough Targets and/or Snaps per game. Click on the picture to get a free 30 Day Trial.

Tight End

A. Hooper	Atl	8	5.3	.67
M. Andrews E. Ebron T. Burton T. Kelce K. Rudolph OJ Howard G Kittle T. Eifert J. Butt	Balt Ind Chi KC Min TB SF Cin Den	6.9 9.7 6.6 14.3 10.5 11.2 9 6.5 4.2	2 3.5 4.2 12.5 2.5 5.6 5.2 3.5 2.5	.3 .36 .64 .87 .24 .5 .58 .54 .6

Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: With Tournament Bonus Video (2nd Video)

This week 3 has 2 regular season games to take data from, as we must balance that still with regular season data from last season combined with what we have seen on the field. If you notice in my weekly update for season long rankings on my menu page, there are some major changes form top to bottom. This includes Julio Jones ranked above Antonio Brown but below Micheal Thomas as the #1 WR. Thomas is trending up while Jones is gaining much more consistancy throughout the past 2 years, along with the huge upside if M. Ryan can hit him deep, and he has tried. This list will have to be updated daily up to gameday at 1pm with notes added for any changes leading up to kickoff.

Here’s the Video: Also below are the top consensus projections for PPR leagues among top experts and computers in the industry. If any questions about these, please leave a comment below.

Patrick Mahomes	KC
	2	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT
	3	Cam Newton	CAR
	4	Tom Brady	NE
	5	Deshaun Watson	HOU
	6	Aaron Rodgers	GB
	7	Drew Brees	NO
	8	Ryan Fitzpatrick	TB
	9	J. Garropppolo	SF
	10	Russell Wilson	SEA
	11	Kirk Cousins	MIN
	12	Philip Rivers	LAC
	13	Andrew Luck	IND
	14	Jared Goff	LAR
	15	Matt Ryan	ATL
	16	Blake Bortles	JAC
	17	Carson Wentz	PHI
	18	Andy Dalton	CIN
	19	Matthew Stafford	Det
	20	Alex Smith	WAS

1	Alvin Kamara	NO
	2	Todd Gurley	LAR
	3	Ezekiel Elliott	DAL
	4	Melvin Gordon	LAC
	5	David Johnson	ARI
	6	James Conner	PIT
	7	Dalvin Cook	MIN
	8	Christian McCaffrey	CAR
	9	Jordan Howard	CHI
	10	Kenyan Drake	MIA
	11	Kareem Hunt	KC
	12	Saquon Barkley	NYG
	13	Tevin Coleman	ATL
	14	Marshawn Lynch	OAK
	15	Jay Ajayi	PHI
	16	Giovani Bernard	CIN
	17	Adrian Peterson	WAS
	18	Lamar Miller	HOU
	19	Chris Thompson	WAS
	20	Matt Breida	SF
	21	Phillip Lindsay	DEN
	22	Carlos Hyde	CLE
	23	Alex Collins	BAL
	24	P Barber	TB
	25	Dion Lewis	TEN

1	Antonio Brown	PIT
	2	Michael Thomas	NO
	3	Julio Jones	ATL
	4	DeAndre Hopkins	HOU
	5	Mike Evans	TB
	6	A.J. Green	CIN
	7	Tyreek Hill	KC
	8	Brandin Cooks	LAR
	9	JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT
	10	Stefon Diggs	MIN
	11	T.Y. Hilton	IND
	12	Odell Beckham	NYG
	13	Davante Adams	GB
	14	Keenan Allen	LAC
	15	Adam Thielen	MIN
	16	Jarvis Landry	CLE
	17	Emmanuel Sanders	DEN
	18	Golden Tate	DET
	19	Will Fuller	HOU
	20	DeSean Jackson	TB
	21	Kenny Golladay	DET
	22	Nelson Agholor	PHI
	23	Marvin Jones	DET
	24	Amari Cooper	OAK
	25	Demaryius Thomas	DEN
	26	Chris Hogan	NE
	27	Sammy Watkins	KC
	28	Quincy Enunwa	NYJ
	29	Cooper Kupp	LAR
	30	Kenny Stills	MIA

1	Rob Gronkowski	NE
	2	Travis Kelce	KC
	3	Zach Ertz	PHI
	4	Jordan Reed	WAS
	5	Trey Burton	CHI
	6	Evan Engram	NYG
	7	Jimmy Graham	GB
	8	George Kittle	SF
	9	Jesse James	PIT
	10	David Njoku	CLE
	11	Kyle Rudolph	MIN
	12	Jared Cook	OAK
	13	Will Dissly	SEA
	14	O.J. Howard	TB
	15	Eric Ebron	IND
	16	Benjamin Watson	NO
	17	Jack Doyle	IND
	18	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	JAC
	19	Austin Hooper	ATL
	20	Tyler Eifert	CIN

1	Vikings	MIN
	2	Jaguars	JAC
	3	Bears	CHI
	4	Texans	HOU
	5	Rams	LAR
	6	Broncos	DEN
	7	Eagles	PHI
	8	Browns	CLE
	9	Seahawks	SEA
	10	Dolphins	MIA
	11	Cowboys	DAL
	12	Patriots	NE
	13	Panthers	CAR
	14	Falcons	ATL
	15	Giants	NYG
	16	Saints	NO
	17	Chargers	LAC
	18	Bengals	CIN
	19	Ravens	BAL
	20	Packers	GB
	21	Chiefs	KC
	22	Jets	NYJ
	23	Cardinals	ARI
	24	Raiders	OAK

See the DFS Army Research Station for more of what these experts, as they are known for, to provide you the same tools tools the profesionals use.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings, Projections for Fanduel

For this week in the NFL I will go into some basic strategy for this week and go right into the rankings by position, regardless of price. When playing salary cap football, you must have your Core Base Players for your %50/50’s, Double Ups and Head to Head matchups. Pay up for running backs who get a good workload/share with targets to score more points. Find out all of this info and more advice at the DraftDashBoard.com. Then I would suggest waiting and getting a feel for under owned stud and value sleepers, setting those the day of the Sunday main slates, unless playing on another slate, setting sooner.

Also we have some data from last week, however this small sample size is not enough to yet have a standard deviation and co-efficient variable, of interest to cash game and GP players as well, and her’es why, you’ll want that ready for next week and beyond. This is one of my key fantasy football articles for 2018, even though written in 2016. This method really helps you understand how to differentiate the 2 type of players.

Here are the raw rankings for this weeks scoring on fanduel. This does not include potential upside tournament plays. in other words, this list entails which players should actually score the most points on fanduel.

Quarterback Rankings:

Ben Roethlisberger 7.3, 0.4 Dev./CV
Drew Brees 3.48, 0.5 Dev./CV
Alex Smith 9, 0.48 Dev./CV
Deshaun Watson Avg. 23.6 PG flr of 6.7
Patrick Mahomes 19.9 PG flr of 11.4
Jered Goff Avg 14.8 flr of 4.8
Philip Rivers of Avg 18 flr of 6.5
Russell Wilson Avg 20.5 flr of 8.3
Tom Brady 20.8 PG 5.3 flr
Jimmy Garopolo Avg 15.6 flr of 5.1
Case Keenum Avg 14.5 flr of 4.2
M. Stanford Avg 18.1 flr of 8.1

Running Back Rankings:

Todd Gurley Avg 16.6 flr of 1.9
Alvin Kamara Avg 18.8 flr of 4.2
Melvin Gordon Avg 14 flr of .5
James Conner
David Johnson Avg 17.9 flr of 2.2
Zeke Elliott Avg 19.8 flr of 4.2
Dalvin Cook Avg 14.1 flr of 7.4
Kareem Hunt Avg 16.1 flr of 3.1
Christian McCaffrey Avg 11.7 flr of 6.4
Carlos Hyde
Saquon Barkley 1 game of 19.8
Jay Ajayi
Adrian Peterson Avg 11.3 flr of .4
Chris Thompson

Wide Receiver Rankings:

Antonio Brown
Michael Thomas
Keenan Allen
Julio Jones
Odell Beckham
Jarvis Landry
DeAndre Hopkins
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Demaryius Thomas
Golden Tate
Emmanuel Sanders
Tyreek Hill
Allen Robinson
Josh Gordon
Mike Evans
Randall Cobb
Mike Crabtree
Adam Thilen
Stef Diggs
Robby Anderson

Best Game Totals too Take Advantage of:

LA Rams RB, Defense
NO RB, QB, WR
Pit RB, QB, WR
SF QB, RB, WR, TE
Wash QB, RB, TE, Slot
Den QB, WR, RB, Defense
LA Chargers RB, Defense
Atl RB, Defense, #1 WR
Min RB, QB, WR, TE, Defense
KC QB, WR, TE

Fantasy Football Week 1 Projections 2018; Start with these 7 Stud Players

From my research for this week in fantasy football for week 1 of the 2018 season, so far I can say that its best with only a few exceptions to go with some stud players in trying to catch some wins this week.

While rookies and 2nd year unproven commodities will have their day, I don’t think it will be this week.

Here are the fist tier, which includes 7 players that should be your captains heading into week one in Cash, tournament and season long football leagues.

Fantasy Football Week 1 Projections: 7 Must Plays — Click on the Image to Get more!

Its about time to get it started. There is a ton of research to do but no one really knows. To win you have to stay consistent in your process all year long. I have a sure strategy that worked all last year, in making sure, whether the competition is stiff or light, with new people coming into the game, this article will help you stay on top, winning over %50 of your games.See my Standard Deviation Article. This way as long as you beat your head to head opponent, one week at a time, you stay in the mix for the playoffs and championship.

Build some of your lineups around these players if your can, starting with the Brad/Gonk stack. Then try for the Thomas/Brees combo. When you go from there, you will see easy ways of building hundreds of lineups if you like using the draftdashboard. This is an easy to use model, which helps you not only in basic research, but also to sort your priority list such as this one, and sort with whatever you can afford to work with in your DraftKings, Fanduel, or other places to play throughout the 2018 year.

How to get ready for a Fantasy Football Draft in 2018

When you are preparing for your fantasy football draft for 2018 you can make the process very easy by doing just 3 simple steps.

Step 1

First, find out what type of league you are playing in and how many teams will be in your league. Most leagues will be standard scoring unless the site has settings on and the commissioner has set up custom league scoring. In most cases this is not modified.

Also you must find your league setting for wherever you play and determine whether it is setup as PPR or Non-PPR. PPR stands for Point or 1/2 point per reception. You can default your scoring to PPR if it is a 1/2 point PPR. This way, you will be sure to take into accurate consideration the receptions your players will obtain.

How to get ready for a Fantasy Football Draft in 2018

2nd Step

You will then want to go to Sportsline.com for the Site, amount of players you have in your league, and the scoring types mentioned above. This will give you a spreadsheet to go by on draft day. This is really the best place to go compared to other places which may have you confused and charge you a significant amount as well.

3rd Step

Check in with as many reliable and detailed injury reports as possible. Get dialed in with podcasts such as espn’s fantasy football show, which get most detailed compared with others for expert physician tips. The Pick6 Podcast from CBS had a recent interview with a Dr. as well to help keep on top of and get a better understanding of what various types of injuries mean to the prospects of a player having a successful fantasy football season. Once you have the higher risk injuries assessed as much as possible, you can even eliminate those risks altogether. Or if you take one in late rounds that is fine as well.

Its a Season Long Strategy

Remember, in weekly fantasy football you only have to beat 1 opponent. So that means you are not going up against your whole league all at once. Just take it one game at a time and stop worrying about the whole season during a draft. Eliminate risks and take players who have shown to be consistent values all season long. A low standard deviation will help with this as I will help give numbers as the season goes on, giving you valuable insights as to players you could look at picking up during the season so you can beat your opponent and win the next week. See one of my 2017 articles, Beating the standard deviation, As I will get more into detail with this topic this season in coming weeks.