Best MLB DFS Projection Algorithm for Friday 6/29/18

If your looking for a  large slate of fantasy sports opportunity to win money and do it consistently, the total algorithm system highlighted here today is draftdashboard.

I will give you a feel for the main 14 game slate, which opens up a lot of possibilities in fantasy baseball today.

I will give you some of the best matchups for the day in fantasy baseball.

I will give you some BvP or Batter vs. Pitcher numbers first, just for fun.

Infield DFS Plays

Edwin Encarnacion (Cleve): 1/2, 1HR vs. Blackburn (A’s)

Paul Goldschmidt (Ari) 1/2, 1 HR vs Suarez (SF)

Whit Merriield (KC) 1/3, 1 HR vs Gonzalez (Sea)

Daniel Murphy (Wash) 4/6 0 HR vs Pivetta (Phi)

Jose Abreu (Chi) 4/10, 1 HR vs Gallardo (Tex)

Outfield DFS Plays

 

 

How To Get Ready the Morning of or Day before for a Large Slate of MLB?

Here’s what you can do. Take a look at the matchups including depth charts for the following slate. You can use the drafdashboard as shown in the picture. This will have all of the upcoming matchups for all teams.

Best MLB DFS Projection Algorithm for 6/29/18

As you can see, the Cardinals matchup vs. the Braves info is not up yet. However you can get that info over on MLB.com

However the next morning, all of this info and more will be up on draftdashboard, including the depth charts along with starting picking, and vegas odds. The huge advantage to this depth charts feature is that you can go ahead and watch the players who would be to your advantage to consider for your lineups. This info is stored in your dashboard, even if your logged out, so you can quickly change your starting lineup on the fly, as long as you have enough players per position researched and watched on your dashboard. Shown below:

MLB algorithm dfs 6/29

Notice I am currently watching the projected 1,2,3 hole players for today.

For more info on strategies for DFS MLB see my most recent post:

5 Ways to Profit from MLB DFS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fantasy Football Breakout Candidates for 2018

Everyone and their grandmother are looking for the best 2018 fantasy football breakout candidates. Only a few will find and obtain the real value from them.

When you have the feeling of drafting someone in the last few rounds that turns out to be able to drive your fantasy team to wins every week, that is the ultimate feeling in fantasy football success.

Of course if you are in a 15 round draft, you will need to be spending your last few picks, in my opinion on kicker and defense. That is simply because there is a lot of value at these positions that will not be drafted. So therefore, in basic, fundamental strategy, you will need to have your team drafted by round 13.

What History says

Let’s discuss for a moment, what recent history says about breakout candidates. You could search the internet for what may seem to be reliable information such as the 2017 fantasy football breakout candidates on fantasypros.com and see what is cooking there for this 2018 year. However, when diving into that fantasy football article, you will find that maybe 2 or 3 of those guys had breakout years last year. If you look back to 2016 you could say the same percentage of players were considered breakout. %20-30 percent.

So will these breakout candidates be any better? History will show. While I did not do an article like this last year or the year prior, the closest article I did was my Fantasy Football PPR Sleepers article. This was written in July the 30th 2017.

Other Considerations for Breakouts

In order to consider a breakout, we obviously do not consider money rounds as where breakouts could be taken. What are money rounds?

Money rounds are those rounds of the nfl draft as those where you must hit if you are building your team mainly by the draft. You could come up with some late round or day 3 gems but those are long shots at prospects whom the team feels could be a fit and a legitimate shot, per the measurements and film to fill a role on the team. Anything more is bonus.

Since we have more rounds in fantasy football, let’s consider breakout candidates in fantasy football starting in round 6 to make it interesting. We will go according to FantasyFootballCalculator Standard overal ADP to find these players.

Fantasy Football Breakout Candidates for 2018

Another consideration is that we don’t want to draft any player too early. Therefore a 8th round adp could have a greater upside possibly then a 6th rounder, but as fantasy football calculator says, “Never reach for a player again.”

Lastly, let’s make this a PPR league, or points per reception as I believe to be the more popular or better option for all types of fantasy leagues, from daily leagues to season long scoring systems. Also, let’s make it a 10 team league.

Best Breakout Candidates in Order of Priority (ADP)

#1 Ronald Jones – Buccaneers

Breaking news: Jameis Winston may miss multiple games for suspension for misconduct. The team is investigating.

Jones has already been mentioned multiple time in prior articles and I expect his draft stock to rise out of this official segment. But for now, this is where he stands as reports from camp have him getting 15-20 touches per game, and likely sharing some load of the work of course, but showing nice agility and pass blocking, as well as catching the ball in stride.

#2 Brandon Cooks – Rams

While this may not be likely to happen, his upside on becoming a better player in his overall game is there. However he is being drafted this low because there are a lot of options in this offense. The positive part for Cooks is that he has had the time to prepare, unlike Watson, who was traded to the Rams towards mid season, resulting in a player not familiar with the playbook. Cooks never got to his potential in New England but patience could pay off for L.A. and for fantasy owners.

#3 Micheal Crabtree – Ravens

It is not always the easiest thing to define a breakout candidate, but even though Crabtree had a breakout campaign in 2015 and 2016 according to memory, and since he had the down 2017 year, there is reason to believe he could bounce back strong. The switch from the 49ers to the Raiders a few years ago did him a lot of good. Remember when Steve Smith had his breakout revival in Baltimore? Crabtree could get similar results.

#4 Will Fuller – Texans

I am actually surprised here that his ADP here is not higher compared to those above him on this list. With Deshaun Watson balling out, it will come down to how consistent this unsustainable performance from last year can be. A lot of the Touchdowns were short catches towards or at the goal line.

#5 Corey Davis – Titans

If Davis does not break out this year, he will not make it to my list again. They have let a lot of WR’s go to now give him the opportunity, let’s hope he creates something with it going forward as the #1 WR in Tennesse.

#6 Royce Freeman – Broncos

Freeman is actually projected to go higher than a few of the guys on this list, however the Broncos make some weird decisions when it comes to their backfield and this year should be no different, as every time they get someone who could take over the main job, he gets benched out bolted out.

#7 Tevin Coleman – Falcons

While at best this would always project to be a shared RB combo, Freeman has come off some injuries and some wonder if he can carry as much load as he used to, with his smaller frame. Coleman boasts and excellent PPR rating, if he takes over more carries as well.

#8 Kerryon Johnson – Lions

A lot of the media doubt whether the Lions can actually run the ball effectively. It does seem as though the Lions are ready to commit to the running game, and if keeping from falling behind in games, this would prove to be effective, hopefully in the red zone.

#9 Devin Funchess – Carolina

In what appears to be a run heavy offense, they should attempt to open things up and that would include Funchess along with the rookie speedster they drafted to try and open things up when needed. Can he be a #1 wideout for the Panthers?

#10 Trey Burton TE – Chicago

As the #1 TE in a revamped offense, the 2nd year starter should rely on this guy in the redzone, as the QB showed a lot of upside flashes last season.

If you have any questions on how I went about this process in finding the best breakout candidates, leave a comment below or share your own candidates I missed.

Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings; Be Ready for Your Fantasy Draft

When getting ready, a bit early for the 2018 Rookie campaigns for fantasy football rookie rankings, you obviously will want your fantasy draft to go well at the rb position. 

Therefore this is the most critical position to be prepared for, and where you should spend the most time gathering more info on these rookies.

Hopefully you are already familiar through the combine, pro days, and draft process for what these RB’s bring to the table. Also after hopefully watching some of the 2017 college football season. We will also scatter some other positional players to look out for as well.

Here are the guys we are taking a look at if your are in regular daft or franchise type leagues where you are drafting only rookies and free agents on your team.

#1 Overall Pick: Saquon Barkley

As obvious as this move is, hopefully to your, you will hopefully not be wrong on this one. The first pick, will be a high enough caliber player in his class to actually lead the league in rushing. He compares to David Johnson and should have a much better rookie campaign then Johnson as DJ did not start for about the first half of his rookie season.

# 2 Rookie Pick: Ronald Jones

You have likely heard about the comparisons to Jamall Charles. How about the recent news of Jones getting 15-20 touches. This however does not mean that he will get 20 carries per game, but more likely 10-15 as some of these 15-20 touches will be receptions, good for PPR leagues. In any case, he does compare to Charles, hopefully without the injuries which occured later in Charles career.

#3 Rookie Pick: Rashaad Penny

With the surprise of drafting Penny this high, he automatically bolts himself into the top 3 overall in rookie plays for 2018 in fantasy football. 

The underrated Penny will not have much trouble adapting to the pro game despite his smaller school SDST upbringing. He has already made strides in the pass blocking skill set, an essential one for getting playing time and carries in the national football league. 

#4 Rookie Pick: Sony Michel

While I have been hesitant to put Michel on the rookie map this year, it appears the patriots have their man at RB this year. The problem in fantasy football drafts has always been the sharing of workloads in the backfield. Will the likes of Rex Burkhead, Mike Gelislee, Jeremy Hill, and James White interrupt his progress, making it annoying for Michel owners. It could be at least at first. But as the season progresses, he should get more than his fair share of opportunities as THE best blocking back in the draft, making sure he does not fumble as well. 

# 5 Rookie Pick: Calvin Ridley

Rounding out our list of guys to look out for and make an immediate impact in their rookie year, Ridley is the best candidate to make the #2 or #3 wideout spot for the Falcons work for his fantasy value during the 2nd half of the season, if not sooner. He can beat a corner in various ways, being down field short, or intermediate routes. 

Want to join a live draft, have a lot of fun, and possibly win some cash over your opponents? Join Draft.com and receive a free $3 entry.

Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for Beginners 2018

When going into a nfl fantasy football draft, if you want to excel at your draft, you will need a strategy in place as well as practice.

We will first discuss some main strategies, which you can use as the core of your drafts, and then I will explain why you need to practice and how along with where you can do so. Leave any comments please if you have had experience in these subjects.

Draft Strategy #1 Best Available Player

While this probably should be the #1 and most popular strategy, many people traditionally in standard leagues will go ahead and place more emphasis on getting the stud running back in the first round. However, while this may be ok in a 10 team league, you may get a much better value in your 2018 draft, even in a standard scoring league, if you look else ware after a certain number of stud guys have been taken off the board.

 

Fantasy football draft strategy

For example, if you realize that with the 10 pick overall ADP, or Average Draft Position if all players selected running back for whatever reason you could end up with LeSaun McCoy or Dalvin Cook as your first round pick and #1 running back.

Would not this sound much better in a snake draft, or draft that run with the person with the 10th pick also having the 11th pick, and then going backwards?

You could actually pick the best Wide Receiver in the draft, and the pick Cook if you believe he is worthy of that pick with the #11 pick.

Or let’s say, more realistically that Antonio Brown as the overall adp WR usually taken first comes off the board and you have the 9th pick overall. While Cook and Brown would maybe both be taken, you could certainly make due with the potential of Devonte Freeman and Jordan Howard with the 12th pick, while grapping DeAndre Hopkins, who is at times, being drafted as the #1 overal WR in many draft formats. 

Draft Strategy #2 Favor WR’s for low risk

Let’s face it, all RB’s are high risk when it comes to drafting them high. While the same could happen to a WR, there is much more significant risk for the RB position, so you could certainly to a WR with your #1 pick, and if you feel there is not a guy worth it at your 2nd pick at the WR position, you could look to see if the best 2 TE’s are perhaps available off the board. Who would those be? Rob Gronkowski as a higher injury risk with great upside, or the safer option in Travis Kelce. But in a 10 team league, you might be able to grab Kelce in the 3rd round and get another really good WR. Just see how your draft goes. You can take many guys at running back who are rookies, 2nd year players, fill in players when guys get hurt, and over the hill runners who could see significant playing time. 

Draft Strategy # 3 Drat RB’s High and often

This 3rd strategy is one that I could recommend but I won’t Simply because even in standard scoring leagues there is simply too much value at other positions, as mentioned to ignore and just draft RB’s with your top 3 or 4 picks. Also, most leagues allow you to play only RB’s with maybe a flex. While it may be fine to take 2 running backs in the fist 2 rounds, your 3rd rounder should then hopefully another position of value, unless you are able to utilize a flex spot, which allows usually a RB, WR, or TE. 

How to Practice your Draft? 

The only free way to practice drafting is through a free site draft such as yahoo. I don’t really know if other sites offer free practice draft rooms, since I do not play on espn, or others. If you intend to use Draft.com This site has an adjuster similar to Yahoo, in which you can pre-rank your top players. 

Fantasy Football running back draft strategy

Its an excellent format and place to play for special discounted free play by clicking on the link provided above, including the best ball games, allowing you to draft players where all of the players you draft score from week to week, without having to worry about benching. Just draft, and hopefully win Cash!

Fantasy Football Guide: What is a Waiver and How Does the Wire Work?

On today’s fantasy football guide, when working on building your fantasy football team throughout the season after your draft, you may want to head quickly to the waiver wire after week one is completed.

To obtain the best players, using their potential, perhaps by following the guides I have on this fantasy football site, or by using your own modified systematic approach, you can be successful on the waiver wire.

To begin with, here are the mainstream rules:

Waiver Wire Basic Rules

To get the best players coming off of any finished week, there is usually a time table set up by the league owner. Many owners go for the standard 3 am finish time for making claims. This is many times decided upon per the league rules more or less reward based. In other words, the player with the worst record or points gets to take the player(s) of their choice before the others in order of priority

Who gets the claim for a Waiver?

From my experience the most popular way to decide in determining who will get a super stud player in the potential making, or a 1 hit wonder in the nfl is to give the player the team owner (hopefully not you) who has had the

Fantasy Football Guide: Waiver Wire

least amount of success so far. This would be based on overall record of wins and losses. When 3 owners are tied, for example for the same 0-1 record to begin with, going for the same player, then the team owner with the fewest amount of points scored during week 1 should obtain the player.

shown above is how you get to league setting in yahoo fantasy football. Click on the picture to check your yahoo league setting now. 

No Waivers?

What if you have the league setting that says “No Waivers?”

Well, you have an advantage if you are quick to pick up players. If you are not due to in experience or hesitation, you will not gain the best players, excluding yourself from a rolling, any time first come, pick up system.

This is where it is critical to know who is actually on waivers and who is not, along  with picking the desired player up before the games even end!

This does take out the possibility of someone being up at 3 am for whatever reason, if the league rules are set at such a default time, and abusing the advantage.

How To Find Good/Great Waiver Wire Adds

You may want to look at my Fantasy Football Trade Value Evaluation Rankings to help before and/or during the season for making good player evaluations from the waiver wire because usually you will have to drop someone of some value, if not injured beyond being able to return during the 2018 season. Also if you want to get straight to the source of much of my week to week evaluation, given the #1 Low Cost Tool that Professional Fantasy Footballers use, look at the Youtube Video on the Site to Find out more on how it works, as there is a ton of insider information built into the system that works for the Pros

Depending on how deep your league is, you may have to go deeper into the list, as I will build it out deeper in upcoming articles.

I hope you enjoy your fantasy football season using the waiver wire effectively in 2018.

NFL Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer: 20-39

In my previous article I explained in detail the reasons behind, as well as the actual trade value points in nfl trade value evaluations, driven by these main factors in nfl fantasy football. So here are the trade value rankings as they currently stand, subject to change. If you want a full chart breakdown, you could go to fantasypros for that. However, this list continues on from last week, this article also factors in the useful consideration of upside on the season, with this quote: 

“While the sport of football is easier to evaluate based off week to week matchups, its difficult to predict which players will truly impact the fantasy football game they way they are projected to by most fantasy football projections and trade analyzers. A lot of preparation goes into building your own fantasy football team, perhaps more so than other sports. Mainly because from week to week, so many objective factors change the value of the player,”

NFL Fantasy Football Reference

Here is an easy way to reference, for this list or on your own, as a simple method by which you can indicate the trade scale value.

  • Player age and injury

If the player has optimal health, with no nagging injury history along with decent age for their position, you may give the player a full 5 points. If the player is very old and is coming off of a serious career threatening injury, you may give a player a 0 in this instance.

  • Past performace

If the player is coming off of a top five fantasy performance the previous year, you may give him a 5. If the player performed very poorly, you may give him a 0. If the player had a fine college career, this may help the player.

  • Physical ability and skill

If the player has great physical ability, highlighted by talent and skill. Skill means, that the player has grown his talents into consistent ability to perform at a pro bowl level. Great combine results can also contribute to physical ability.

  • Usage potential

The usage potential is based upon being the offenses #1 option, obtaining a 5 score for that scenario. You may give the player a 4 for being potentially considered the # 2 option, also depending on whether the player plays in a run heavy or pass heavy offensive system.

  • Team Success

Team success while more difficult to predict, can help you calibrate the usage potential on a bad team, and lesson the points given based on a poor performing unit. A potential 12 win season may contribute to a 5 score for example as well.

20. Deshaun Watson: 23.5

21.Aaron Rodgers: 23

22. Russell Wilson: 22.5

23. DeAndre Hopkins: 22

24. Alshon Jeffrey: 22

25. Joe Mixon: 21.5

26. Melvin Gordon: 21

27. Stef Diggs: 21

28. Zack Ertz: 20.5

29. Adam Thielen: 20.5

30. Brandon Cooks: 20.5

31. Jay Ajayi: 20.5

32. Christian McCaffrey: 20

33. Tyreek Hill: 20

34. DeVante Adams: 19.5

35. Rob Gronkowski: 19

36. Travis Kelce: 18.5

37. Mark Ingram: 17.5

38. Ju Ju Smith Schuster: 19

39. Carlos Hyde: 16