Here it is! the NFL Fantasy football trade value rankings for the year of 2018. These rankings are based on factors such as a player’s age, their past performance in the NFL and/or NCAA as well as their physical ability to carry a team, increasing their value to be worthy of potentially obtaining
the most valuable fantasy football asset that we have; touches and targets. This is how many times a player either carries or potentially catches the ball with targets, or times thrown at by the passer.
While the sport of football is easier to evaluate based off week to week matchups, its difficult to predict which players will truly impact the fantasy football game they way they are projected to by most fantasy football projections and trade analyzers. A lot of preparation goes into building your own fantasy football team, perhaps more so than other sports. Mainly because from week to week, so many objective factors change the value of the player, so hopefully this article will hit on some of the better ones for the top 10 here:
Here are the main factors that go into this potential season long evaluation.
Fantasy Football Trade Value Parameters:
Player age and injury
Physical ability and skill
The Trade Value Rankings
Todd Gurley 25
Ezekiel Elliott 24.5
Kareem Hunt 24.5
Michael Thomas 24.5
Antonio Brown 24
Alvin Kamara 24
Julio Jones 24
Saquon Barkley 23.5
Le’Veon Bell 23.5
Leonard Fournette 23.5
Odell Beckham Jr. 23
Keenan Allen 23
David Johnson 22.5
Mike Evans 22
Jordan Howard 21.5
DeVante Freeman 21.5
Dalvin Cook 21.5
AJ Green 21
Joe Mixon 20.5
LeShean McCoy 18
This list will change as I will be updating further as some players toward the back end of this list could fall off as others are discovered to rank more highly in potential for the top 40, as we approach the top 100 overall, in trade value.
“Henry Thoreau said, ‘All want not something to do, but something to be.’ I’m proud of being part of an elite group.” ~ Todd Christenson
If you can resonate with this, you are on the path to the elite. The elite group of champions. A Fantasy Football Champion!
As far as this article goes, we’re not worried about SEO, to put it politely. This is about hard core football fans, those who suffer and prosper at he mercy of their team, from childhood, who not only surpass their own childhood, but give credit where credit is due. That is what the Raiders fashion is all about. While this would not be considered an epic George “Papa Bear” Hallas Historic Post, or a Bear Bryant ambitious coach up, this post can be considered an undersized linebacker post, a Mike Singletary tackle at the line of scrimmage.
It’s about avoiding embarrassment. Even if your are new, in your first year or two as a beginner.
The Week to Week Gameplan
My goal is to give you solid, info packed, and analytically proven methods, along with hot players from week to week that you have to pick up or start in your lineups.
When you making value based decisions on your fantasy team, you must first have an overall guide in choosing players that will help you in the long run. This means that while some players will help you in the short term, perhaps a long term solution may develop during the in season part of the year, where a player’s value will enhance, with as expected or unexpectanlty. This means that if your had an average to poor draft, you must not hesitate to pick up the guys that no one else bothered to consider drafting, or placed on waivers. The tool, below, is what I use the help you throughout the season, using the exact scoring formats of Draftkings and Fanduel, which is similiar to many Yahoo leagues to get you set up from week to week. Click on the Picture to get a Free Report.
Making the Right Decisions at the Right Time
This also means that in order to win in a 10 team league, logically you only have a %10 odds chance of actually winning. While 2nd and 3rd place is not bad, you will not get the 1st place without taking logical chances, instead of always taking players that get you the minimum of 5 points per game. Must must be able to take risks and let it fly, like a quarterback who is not worried about throwing interceptions.
This does not mean that you have to make any trades with other players at all. However you will need to pick up players from the Free Agent list.
What I’ll do to help you along the path is give you some trade value scenarios so that you can project value for your team, if you are drafting this way. If not, this strategy and trade value will help you to project the upside or risk, along with what you need, so that you can make use of this list coming up in the very next post for reference going into your season and through the end of your trade deadline for your league.
Why Bookmark for upcoming weeks?
Why would you come back to this list after 7 weeks of football? Because from week to week, there will be ups and downs from week to week. You will have a difficult time, if you try to pick up the flavor of the week. whereas, if you check the qualified list of trade value, based on upside from last year, and projected player value, you will know whether to pick up the flavor of the week, or pass for the next guy.
For the best of the best in the top 100 fantasy football players of 2018, you will have to make adjustments to your list. If you are keeping track yourself, or you can check back weekly, as we will set it up for you.
As far as deciding how the scoring would work in with these top 100 players, let’s say that these rankings are for a 1/2 point PPR, (Point per reception) league. This scoring is common with many season long and daily league formats along with 4 points for TD passes and 6 points for Rushing or Receiving TD’s.
Top 100 Players for 2018
My goal was not to make this exercise boring, but rather to look to the upside of players who potentially could be steals in the later part of this list. I will be putting this up in my top menu area “Fantasy Football Draft Board”
When you are looking for some wins in MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball, and have not really experienced any consistent winning, you might need the beginners guide. Reason is, its not a simple sport to try and configure projections, and build lineups due to the complexity of the variance with batters.
Overview of Fantasy Sports for Beginners
I will get into fantasy football for beginners in the next article for your own reference, having that up in a few days, if not already after having viewed this article and/or videos. We will however focus on season long in football, since baseball season long is not having as much interest for people who would like to get into the game starting today.
Pitchers are easy to at least establish as low variance players. This means that pitchers are a valuable fantasy baseball asset in any type of league whether daily or otherwise. Batters have a ton of variance, and any batter can be on or off the Studs list daily. For more explanation on the Studs along with balancing your sleepers and what to watch for in MLB Guidance, watch this video.
As you continue along in setting your lineups, always remember to consider a few important, actually VERY IMPORTANT factors because I could give you a lot of analytics and fire you some numbers, but that won’t be comfortable nor effective for you, unless you really do love the numbers side of baseball. While is can be very interesting, the numbers you need are in the Tool Here
When we are speaking of batters, we are talking high variance. To understand Variance numbers and technical sides as well as fundamental sides to fantasy sports you can download the free report here. Since batters are high variance, we want to be sure we are grabbing a couple of possible studs for our lineups and filling out the rest of the lineups with good value plays, as you only need 4 out of 9 players to perform really well. The other 5 can take the 3 or even 0 points as long as the Pitcher and 3 batters give you a home run each and/or good perriphials, which are the BB, 1B,2B, and HBP stats that add up.
In other sports it is simpler, but if you can master these scenarios night to night or day to day, you can make every week turn out to be profitable since that won’t happen every day as long as your are realistic in your expectations.
When you are drafting on draft.com using the best ball format, which is becoming a popular option for drafting in a real world fantasy football scenario, so that all serious about following a draft.com power rankings like this can be competitive in the actual scoring format that follow:
The actual scoring is a lot like scoring on yahoo, fanduel, ect. including .5 points for a reception, 4 points for a passing touchdown, and 0.04 points for a passing yard.
The interesting part of this is that it is no different then the scoring in fanduel. So no need to make any adjustments as far as your usual scoring goes, if you play on fanduel. The only differences is that there is no need for defense or kickers. Only pure offensive skilled positions, which is great!
Next as a brief overview of the actual scoring, since it is not head to head like fanduel, you must count on your total points scored. Those top scoring options will come from the following places:
1 QB’s, 2 RBs, 3 WR’s, 1 TE, and one Flex.
The Flex position will be the greater for the week of the rest of the RB, WR, or TE positions,
So if you have the allowed amount of 18 players on your roster, only 8 players will score from week to week. The advantage of course being, that you have plenty of backups ready in the events of injuries, bye weeks, or poorly
performing players from week to week. There is no free agent or waive wire pickups, or even any trades. Which is sort of a downside. So you have to basically choose a good draft pool of players, as you draft and forget it. No need to make any adjustments during the season, which leaves out that enjoyment of the game altogether. However, its much easier to manage.
So here’s the list for top 100 since when drafting in a 12 team league, this will cover almost half of the players drafted. That’s 12 teams X 18 Players, = 216 total players drafted. So this does get deep.
One note before starting the list. Is that this list takes largely from the top total points scored the previous 3 years, since this is considered a points league and not a head to head, taking that element out of the game as well. However I have adjust according to Rookie projections, past injuries, and players in new offenses and teams.
Best Power Ball Rankings:
Todd Gurley: If making the first overall pick, better not pass on the surest guy according to last year overall fantasy points scored, was the most elite.
2. LeVeon Bell: There should be no surprises here at the 2nd pick overall barring no injuries, but everyone is at risk for injuries.
3. Antonio Brown: As my next pick, he has shown no slow down in production compared to the rest of the pack in Wide Receivers. Far above the others.
4. David Johnson: Banking on Johnson to come back successfully from injury, the Cards will rely on him on all downs.
5. Ezekiel Elliott: Elliott could be taken ahead of Johnson if you prefer him, as he will also be the main workload on the team overall.
6. Alvin Kamara: This superstar stud, had many as many targets as some of the better Wide Receivers in the game, hopefully will do that again.
7. Kareem Hunt: Leading the league in rushing last year was unbelievable to me, as he hit quite a slump last year, not scoring many touchdowns.
8.Julio Jones: Here is where it gets a little tricky; Jones has an overall adp or Average Draft Position of 13.2, but go ahead and be fine with him as your #1
9.DeAndre Hopkins: You may also take Hopkins as your first pick if you pick this late based on his 3rd ranked WR Fantasy Points scored over last 3 years.
10.Melvin Gordon: A good, safe pick here, to get you Points. Remember though, overall, you have to try to win your league, Best out of 12.
11. Saquon Barkley: This is where $Money may come in, if he’s there at this spot late, you have to take him, because the rest carry risk, & limited upside.
12.Leonard Fournette: If you pick at this spot and get one of the prior guys mentioned, Great!, if not you may need to settle for Fournette
13.Odell Beckham: OBJ does have some upside. He just runs into other issues, making him a risk. Taking him here, is a great place to assess that risk.
14. Michael Thomas: Hopefully Thomas has more splash plays than he did last year, increasing his upside for longer plays and more touchdowns
15. AJ Green: At this stage in the draft, expect a run on Wide Receivers, to start filling out the rosters, even though he has a #22 overall adp.
16.Keenan Allen: Even if the Running backs are all taken here, let them be. We have a different plan here at WFF (WealthyFantasyFootball)
17.Mike Evans: Even though Evan’s overall adp is 23.7 here as of now, when this is written, you can start gathering your high scoring Wideout here.
18.Dalvin Cook: Here, if your draft goes right, you are just looking for monster upside from a guy that has the ability if he can take over on 2-3 downs.
19.Devonta Freeman: Here is a safe 2 down pick, you may not want to pass up on if you have already draft a Receiver to balance your roster at the top.
20. LeSean McCoy: You might hope this guy is already gone, as he is aging and injury prone, but is the 2-3 down life blood of the offense.
21. Mark Ingram: Ingram should have no problem in at least providing the Saints backfield with a powerful punch. Will they be able to duplicate?
22. Jordan Howard: Howard, safe to say will continue to carry the workload on 1st and 2nd downs, unless T. Cohen gives more change of pace time.
23. Joe Mixon: Mixon will probably fall farther than 28, but he has the kind of potential upside you need in his sophmore season, without Jeremy Hill.
24. Christian McCaffrey: McCaffrey is an excellent value of a PPR Running Back. A staple in the Panthers offense for years to come.
25. Rob Gronkowski: I probably won’t be taking him in many drafts, as he is going higher, as I am favoring the next guy if I get him.
26. Travis Kelce: Kelce appears to have improved every year. Keeping healthy, he should go well with the new QB, we hope.
27. Tyreek Hill: At this point in the ADP and draft, I hold off on QB’s and RB’s, as there are a few more WR’s worthy of consistent play.
28. Davante Adams: A lot of this has to do with Aaron Rodgers, probably the best Fantasy QB, when he’s healthy, as his #1 option.
29. Adam Thielen: Theilen fell off towards the end of the season, but had a very good year. Maybe with Cousins at QB, he will be even more consistent.
30. Zack Ertz: If Ertz is available here, take him as the most consistent TE from week t week. Set it and forget it.
Now that your all set to start drafting, click one of the pics above to get started drafting your own team with a free entry!
There is a lot of things to talk about during the best time of year, including the NFL Draft, so here is a brief post nfl draft review today:
I will give a per team summary of how they did in layman’s terms., including of course, the historical implication and fantasy impact:
One very viable issue that I am seeing with the state of franchises is the short term vs. long term building that GM’s are deploying. I will get into this per term as well.
The Cards took into account the long term and even short term, as their offense is instantly upgraded per the moves they made all over the board. They are helping to protect and equip the best pure pocket passer in the draft, as someone will also make an immediate fantasy impact besides just David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald. With Christian Kirk, one of the better WR options in this draft, will be given opportunity to pick up some targets and Chase Edmonds, drafted in the 4th round should be able to project a viable handcuff option for Johnson.
While Calvin Ridley their 1st round draft pick may not out targeting Mohammed Sanu for the 2nd most targets on the team, his slot receiving skills should provide another target with good upside on the roster. Ito Smith, drafted in the 4th round, would only be a third option for depth.
While the Ravens are maybe the worst team in evaluating NFL WR talent, the TE position does much better, as they have drafted 2 in this year’s draft. Hayden Hurst may not make any impact this year. Lamar Jackson will be on the bench, and Orlando Brown, will need some work to step in as well, but they are making definitive moves for next year. The weird thing is the late round TE could be better than the one taken in the first round.
The Bills are another team in need of WR’s but did not draft one until the 6th and 7th rounds, taking Austin Proehl and Ray-ray McCloud who have good pedigrees. Josh Allen has an aging Fantasy RB, whenever he is ready to step up, using his awesome arm and athleticism.
Taking the best receiver in the draft, D.J. Moore, the Panthers have depth at the position, and Ian Thomas is a great fit for the offense, in awaiting Greg Olsen’s retirement.
The Bears are doing what they do: Build up the defense, and Lines on both sides, traditionally. Anthony Miller adds an interesting prospect, to help light up the air, with Mitch Trubiskey in hopes of Carson Wentz like production. When the injuries hit, like they do, Miller will be in great fantasy position.
The Bengals did not have an impressive draft, with their only splash player perhaps being Mark Walton, who won’t see the field much unless there are major injuries. Their focus was on the defense.
I hope Cleveland proves everyone wrong by selecting Baker Mayfield. I still would have taken the safer #1 QB option. Their moves on offense indicate they must rely on their coach to bring in players that could cause some off the field trouble. If that can be done, there is a lot of talent around Mayfield in this draft.
With the need at WR, the have to rely on Gallup, so the fantasy opportunities will be there for Michael Gallup. They appear to be re-tooling instead of rebuilding for the future with moves for Conner Williams at G and Dalton Schultz at TE, to support Zeke and Dak long term.
I like the move to obtain Courtland Sutton whom I believe was underrated in this draft class. He has the size and ball skills to make an immediate impact, if he can be utilized as the 3rd WR. Royce Freeman also has a chance to outperform his draft status as a 3rd round pick. Dashean Hamilton added to the mix adds depth.
The Lions show a commitment to the running game, as they add 2 offensive linemen, and Kerryon Johnson a back with impressive size, speed, and tape. He could be a steal, and help Matt Safford’s value in fantasy.
With their late round selections, the Packers, who do a good job of drafting WR’s drafted 3. We don’t know which one has the best chance to break out, but their first one taken has good size at 6’3″, J’mon Moore.
The Texans are still looking for the slot receive, a position teams are utilizing more than ever. The TE pick was another need filled as well with Jordan Adkins. However they failed to get enough help along the OLine, to protect Watson, which should have been a top priority.
Adding 2 guards and 2 RB’s were great moves for this team, shoring up the line and running game potential. Hines could be the next Terik Cohen.
This will be a dominating team, but not a fantasy team. The defense dominates, and only got stronger on both sides of the ball. DJ Chark could develop later into a deep threat.
With no offensive players taken, look to their defense, in fantasy drafts. Always a good choice anyway along with Jax.
Los Angeles Chargers:
As one of the best sleepers of the draft, Justin Jackson, taken in the 7th round, could actually play if/when their #1 option gets hurt. Look out, as the rest of their draft was mostly defense.
Los Angeles Rams:
The Rams took a potential staring tackle someday in Joe Noteboom. Also a center to add depth for help for their fantasy studs.
The Dolphins defintiely took the most athletic TE in the draft. That was also a need, following that up with D. Smyth from N.D. and Kelem Ballage, who could provide fantasy value next year, or even this year.
The Vikes took no one of any real fantasy football impact.
The Pats took Sony Michel as a potential starting back. However their system does not allow any one runner
As a head scratching draft, no one knows why they ended up doing all that trading to get an edge rusher with the 14th pick. However, the WR they picked up in the 3rd round, may replace Willie Snead just fine, Tre’quan Smith with decent combine numbers.
New York Giants:
The Giants questionable moves in the real world, became a slam dunk for future fantasy owners of Saquon Barkley. Will Hernandez provides the muscle up front for him.
New York Jets:
Darnold surprisingly did not get a lot of help in this draft. The whole team needs a lot, so will this coaching staff be a good fit for Darnold in the coming years?
The Raiders did a great job potentially shoring up the O’line. This helps the fantasy value of Derek Carr, Marshawn Lynch, Doug Martin, and Amari Cooper and Jordy Nelson. I don’t see the trade for Martavis Bryant making much of an impact.
The Eagels pick up a TE they don’t really need. But they don’t need anything. Dallas could potentially be in play for the 2nd TE to trusty Zack Ertz, which could put him in fine position in fantasy football.
James Washington and Mason Rudolph could very well be in play this year and beyond. When Ben gets hurt, hopefully Mason will be ready to play this year. Washington seems in line to replace M. Bryant, but that does not provide enough targets unless someone gets hurt for relevancy.
Offensively the 49ers made some solid moves in the first 2 rounds. McGlinchey and Pettis should help right away, and provide fantasy relevancy to Goropollo and co.
Many people question the drafting of Rashaad Penny because of the other RB’s on the board. However moving on, this is their guy, with excellent size and speed. The starting job is his to lose.
Tampa should get a huge instant fantasy impact from Ronald Jones. Strikingly similar to Jamall Charles, this is a great move using the 38th pick for the bucks, and overall production for their offense.
With no offensive player taken, look forward to Mariota, Corey Davis, and Derrick Henry should make big fantasy value this year.
The redskins drafted Darrius Guice and something weird happened to his draft stock after being widely viewed as one of the best 1st round picks in the draft. The also took a OT from Louisville to help out the running game, increasing the fantasy value.