Fantasy Football Strategies: Divisional Playoffs

Whether your taking gpp shots or cash shots in your DFS fantasy football strategies for this weekend, here the main slate breakdown as far as safe plays goes. Will also give some tips on some risks that I would take in tournaments.

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I will break this down by most important position to take first. Unconventionally I choose to pick my defense first and then work my skill position lines around the defenses that I think will have success tomorrow.

Here’s some game theory pointers in my Video.

Go to Sportsline for the NFL game picks

Cash Defense:

Rams; At decent ownership expected around %14 the Rams are a safe bet for a 0 non-negative score that you can get from other defenses. Even if the efficiency of GB can lower their score their Defensive to offensive line matchup is most likely to find a way to wreak havoc.

GPP Defense:

While the Bills are the highest owned defense, the Ravens look to prove then can force turnovers from the young Allen as they pressured and intercepted one of the most efficient QB’s last week.

Best Bets at skilled positions:

QB:

Lamar Jackson. I am very inclined to take advantage of the best matchup. To think Jackson is the 7th highest QB on this DK slate is ludicrous. He can do it best of all with his legs in the best MU for his strength. I’ll take the 2nd highest salaried for this kind of potential production. If someone knows someone I don’t about this Bills rush D, like they would actually stop this guy then please respond and warn me right away! There is nothing that would prove the Bills can do so for me.

RB:

Alvin Kamara fits the bill for the RB most likely to succeed. I’ve heard people taking Devon Singletary as their best value back. That sounds gross to me vs. this Ravens defense that is not getting the respect they now deserve. Also Kareem Hunt is almost full proof game script with the extra juicy revenge narrative at low ownership for the slate. JK Dobbins is a guy you can take easily in GPP’s for low ownership as well.

WR:

I am by no means a Ravens fan. Let’s make that clear I am a Browns fan. Both teams actually have good options at QB and I’ll tell you why. Both running or 2 read type quarterbacks don’t give themselves a lot of options when it comes to receivers unlike Brady or Bress who will throw the ball to literally anyone who’s open. I want guys like Jackson for cash and Mayfield for GPP, (Allen could fit into this category but he’s the 2nd highest owned QB). I would say you can plug in M. Brown and M. Andrews both stacked with Jackson here but it depends on your build type whether you lean cash or chalky type or low owned gpp type. You have your highest owned options Steph Diggs, Tyreek Hill, and Michael Thomas also good in their own respect.

TE:

I mentioned Andrews as a good pick if you can fit him in. I don’t normally go high price at TE as a practice. There are a few good matchups to go with in terms of DVP or defense vs. position: Kelce, Andrews, Tonyan, Cook, and Hooper in that order. Pretty much in order from most to least expensive. You could look at some punt plays such as either of the Bills TE’s especially if the have trouble running on the Ravens at all, or Gronk or even one of the backup TE’s for Cleveland I can see one of the getting a TD tomorrow.

In Summary:

Start with your defense and and your TE last as the range of TE options on DK make sense wherever you land in terms of pricing. To get different large field Gpp’s don’t worry about correlating. There is plenty of offensive fire power we’ll see in multiple games, especially from KC, GB, NO, and Tampa. Also don’t worry about using a player or 2 vs. the defense they are playing against. This will also differentiate yourself for large tournaments. There are some other nice options for Cash or GPP we’ll give out in our WFF Discord chat tonight and tomorrow up to the big kickoffs. Cheers.

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Fantasy Football Strategies: NFL Wild Card Week

When you look at a fantasy football slate including NFL wild card week, there are many layers to it.

NFL Wild Card Week

What you get is many layers, all of which are important to the onion but not all of which are as important to the one digesting the food.

Similar it is in fantasy football, likely daily fantasy football for your chance to win this week in wild card week. Your fantasy football strategies covered in this site off more for beginners such as my article: Daily fantasy football strategies for beginners: Wild card. This article featured last year’s overall consideration of the slate of wild card games.

This week gets interesting because you can break it up by days of 3 game slates or in total 6 games! That’s a lot for the playoffs.

Fantasy Football Strategies

So what layers are we considering for the playoffs????????????????????????????????

We are only considering the layer of matchups combined with the preferential plays for each game. This way if you wanted to even play a single game showdown slate you could with the help of these options:

Indy/Buff:

Josh Allen  Proj. 24/36 274 yds and  2.10 TD’s.

Allen is the big boss in this offense that still has no traditional sense of a running game which won’t matter anyway when it comes to this matchup vs. a stout run Defense. Take Allen for passing and rushing upside/floor.

Stefon Diggs Proj. 8.2 Rec. 95 yds 0.50 Td’s.

Its playoff Diggs time and you cannot go completely wrong her unless he gets hurt. He’s still their number #1 option and best deep to mid range option for Allen. Use them together as Aleen zips throws to him.

John Brown Proj. 4.4 Rec. 58 yds 0.35 Td’s

Brown is another deep threat to talk about as he’s back and productive already after missing games. When covering Diggs, go to Brown.

Jonathan Taylor  Proj. 19.2 Car. 92 yds 0.63 Td’s

Taylor should get fed in a good matchup vs. the Bills run defense. The only problem is it may be a shootout to try and keep up with Allen.

T.Y. Hilton Proj. 4.7 Rec. 61 yds 0.41 Td’s

In case of the shootout or not, Hilton is the best option to go to at any range of the field for Phillip Rivers. While we don’t have to use Rivers, we could.

Rams/Sea

Chris Carson Proj.  13.4 Car 55 yds 0.42 TD’s

Carson figures to be a main option as the Hawks try to deliver on being favored in this game probably due to the Rams QB seemingly out. The best way to keep the great Rams D off balance is to balance the attack with Run.

Russell Wilson Proj. 21/32 219 yds 1.80 Td’s 

Wilson with rushing flr/upside will get you there I believe even with this tough defense. This would prove to me that matchup can be over-estimated, take the steady QB points as the 2nd option in this game.

Robert Woods Proj. 5.6 Rec. 62 yds 0.31 Td’s

Usually you can add in a couple touches on the ground for Woods, as he would figure to continue to be their top and most consistent option.

Cooper Kupp Proj. 4.4 Rec. 48 yds 0.21 Td’s

The 2nd option on this team and as long as they are a bit behind in this script these guys will have solid matchups as we have no idea about J. Adams as to whether he can play, we’ll keep our eye on this situation.

John Wolford Proj. 16/27 173 yds 0.82 TD’s

The Rams will be in dire need to have this system work out victory for them in order to get enough from their defense. Don’t look for the backup to do too much unless he has to.

DK Metcalf Proj. 4.8 Rec.  71 yds 0.49 Td’s

As the last guy i’ll go with here, he seems very matchup proof as opposed to Tyler Lockett. Seems like a big day could be in store here for one of them.

TB/WSH

Ronald Jones Proj. 15.6 Car 70 yds 0.55 Td’s

I believe they sort of ground and pound here to take advantage of the defense and avoid the upset and keep them off balance.

Terry McLaurin Proj. 5.3 Rec. 66 yds 0.37 Td’s

Here I believe McLaurin is the premier WR in this game due to his sole usage on his team and the Buccs forcing Wsh. into this situation. Most likely.

Tom Brady Proj. 24/37 271 yds 1.90 TD’s

He’s not projected for a whole load of stats but I believe playoff Brady shows to be more then efficient as needed for this wild card game.

Alex Smith Proj. 23/34 206 yds 1.30 TD’s

Banking on Smith somewhat airing it out in this game as Tampa stuffs the run. The only teams that has less then 1 yd before contact per play is TB.

Leonard Fournette Proj. 5.4 19 yds 0.23 Td’s

I think its likely that Fournette surpasses his projected stats here, as the thing the WSH does allow is yards before contact as the most of the playoff teams. Even after contact the fact that Wsh DOES limit yards in bigger plays and touchdowns should not limit this potential split time share for carries.

Logan Thomas 4.6 Rec. 39 yds 0.46 Td’s

As the 2nd option in this WSH receiver core, he’s been a good sleeper pick all yr in fantasy and is one of best options in playoffs. Smith will look here.

Godwin/Evans/Brown/Gronk

The four headed monster is a headache to try to decide and sift through with pricing on sites and Brady’s possible favorites.

TB DST 3.58 fantasy points 1.15 sacks 0.99 Turnovers

You have to take a defense and this is one of the potentially highering ones.

Antonio Gibson 14.7 Car 55 yds 0.67 Td’s

Gibson can pick his spots in the TB d, if not playing the DST go for him as he gets his share in multiple ways as under-owned.

Balt/Tenn

Lamar Jackson Proj. 18/27 197 yds passing 1.80 Td’s

Not included in these projections are the rushing yards for the QB. Jackson will obviously get some in addition to a favorable matchup for passing the ball. There’s not a lot good about this Ten. pass defense. Fire his ceiling up!

Derrick Henry Proj. 23.5 Car 127 yds 0.71 Td’s

It a appears to be a boom or bust type of a day for Henry, as he will get some yards before contact which is all he need to get a head of steam. Or if he more often get pressured due to a good pressure rate from the Balt. line, he won’t get going. I’ll take the latter as a superstar player that they won’t stop feeding in this game. My 2nd option in the script.

Marquise Brown Proj. 3.9 Rec 52 yds 0.50 Td’s

A disappointing year hopefully has Brown becoming for volume based in opportunities and efficiency. He’s actually been more consistent over the past 5 weeks, due in part to Jackson’s passing.

Mark Andrews Proj. 3.9 Rec 48 yds 0.50 Td’s

The 2nd best option for Jackson to attack this Tennesee defense.

J.K. Dobbins Proj. 12.5 Car 72 yds 0.62 TD’s

We can easily see Dobbins hitting value at the right price getting the projected yards and a TD. Consistent for them.

Ryan Tannehill Proj. 18/28 206 yds 1.60 Td’s

I can see Ryan easily getting some good looks downfield to pay his salary off. Its that kind of underrated offense. His WR’s look to have decent to good matchups in this contest. The pressure from Balt. however will be rough.

Chi/NO

Alvin Kamara

It appears as though Kamara will not play due to C19

Latavius Murray 11.5 Car  49 yds 0.28 TD’s

Murray will surpass the above projected numbers to be the value play of the slate. Take the running yards.

Michael Thomas 6.7 Rec 77 yds 0.46 Td’s

Its a bit tough to decide which direction to go in this offense, but this is the most solid 2nd guy in getting volume.

Mitchell Trubisky 21/34 202 yds 1.30 TD’s

If we can trust him, love the rushing upside/flr. But if he gets pulled, this will be very risky at the same time.

Drew Brees Proj. 23/33 237 yds 2.00 TD’s

Being projected for 2 TD’s is an easy proposition, as Brees seems like he has one more chance to get the team to the promised land.

Taysom Hill Proj. 2/3 21 yds 0.18

I don’t think Hill be breathing down Brees’s neck. Just look for him if getting at a value to fill a lineup. Playoffs are also a good time for his running.

David Montgomery Proj. 17.9 58 yds 0.52 TD’s

We have to include Montgomery on our pools especially in the case they keep this game close. He’s involved in much of the offense.

Allen Robinson Proj. 5.7 72 yds 0.34 TD’s

Lastly, we have to take a serious look at Robinson with this passing game relying on him as the sure #1 guy. Look elseware for gpp deep threats.

Pit/Cleve

Diontae Johnson Proj. 5.4 Rec 62 yds 0.43 Td’s 

This will be the top pick for me on this game with the skill level short to mid range to deep threat, he does it all including the red zone in good matchup.

JuJu Smith-Schuster Proj. 5.8 Rec 58 yds 0.49 Td’s

The 2nd option I say with hesitation, because all 3 guys are gonna get their share in the seemingly Ben led O, leaning on these guys with  no run game.

Chase Claypool Prj. 3.7 Rec 54 yds 0.49 Td’s

Rounding out the super talented slot role with some bones in run game.

Nick Chubb Proj. 17.2 Car 82 yds 0.48 Td’s

The Browns hope to duplicate their efforts from last week on the ground, as their main option here. Steelers will be expecting it.

Kareem Hunt Proj. 10.8 Car 42 yds 0.22 Td’s

Hunt figures to be heavily involved no matter the script, especially if needed more so in the passing game.

Ben Roethlisberger No explanation needed.

Baker Mayfield Proj. 18/31 212 yds 1.10 Td’s

A guy who will TRY to make his mark for his future but he has seemingly come a long way. When forced to throw in pocket is the question.

Jarvis Landry Proj. 4.4 Rec 54 yds 0.20 Td’s

A solid option as the leading pass receive as they need him for the threat of the successful trick plays this year they have run.

Eric Ebron Proj. 2.8 Rec 31 yds 0.28 Td’s

One of my favorite TE’s this week and many weeks of the year.

NFL Core Plays for Week 12: Cash or Tournament DFS Millionaire plays!

Here are your NFL Core palys for week 12 for cash or tornament lines that you may want to employ for this week. Here’s to cutting to the chase for the plays that you want to plug and plays.

Its hard losing when you know you should have won so pivot off these plays to make your own correlated lineups for a champion type win in week 12 of the NFL season.

QB’s: Go with Justin Herbert or Jered Allen for the wining lineups in either cash or gpp. just don’t overthink the guys here in cheaper whoever that is is on fanduel or draftkings.

RB: Go with Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook for the 2 main running backs. IF you can fit him into your flex spot insert Josh Jacobs and don’t worry about the rest of your correlated lineup if you can afford him. If not don’t ever force it. Settle for him in cash. If more so of a gpp player you can insert a WR. Don’t be afraid to pull off someone who will get a a lot of receptions esepcially on draftkings.

WR. Laviska Shenault and/or Keelan Cole Sr. and the Browns #1 CB is out. Even though the Jags #1 and #2 WR’s are are actually out, don’t worry, these guys have high.Uupside and one of them will have a big game, also your oppenent. Also Justin Jeffersaon IF Adam Thielen is out is a big time rookie who can claim his place among the greatest in the game to force the opposition to surrender their offensive team to give up big fantasy production tommorrow. 

TE: Travis Kelce: Give the KC’s highest implied team total to give you the highest scoring game of the week with TB even though it will take a little while for this offense to get going look for offense to take over one of the best in the game on TB defense to get their share of offense on the day as this is not old school football. Rather, the offense will get the best strength on strength matchup and Kelce will score big as well as
Tyreek Hill if you want to use him in GPPS in DFS as both of these guys should have a big score as TB specializes as the #1 defense vs. the run, leaving open passing yards for these suds tomorrow.

Join the team of dominating pros that have the utmost interest in your success today and tomorrow to help you beat your opponent using analytics, film study and intagibles that you can use daily for your lineups in NFL DFS and more sports at WealthyFantasyFootball DFS for a free ebook and more. Be sure to email me at gall79theend@gmail.com so I can know to bring you in once your signee up and have decided to stop losing today in DFS.

College Fantasy Football Picks for Week 10 MAC Slate

This week in college fantasy football you have an option for a Wednesday slate, so instead of watching the election get ready for some MAC football.

Here is the total breakdown of plays I have found. So I’m giving some of it away!

Here are the games in order of highest Over/Under and their associated plays for wednesday.

College Fantasy Football Spreads and DFS Notes

E. Mich @ Kent St. 62.5 total with Kent -6 spread as of Monday. 

This total has since went up to 65 which is very interesting having bettors take the under here including %98 of the cash on tickets.

Recommended DFS Picks

QB Dustin Crum: Proj.: 20/30 com/att 239 yds 2.04 tds 24.6 FPs: Rated best QB in nation according to PFF. Certainly going to be a popular play.

QB Preston Hutchinson: Proj.: 24/33 com/att 309 yds 2.03 tds 22.9 FPs: Had 1 good game. fine D to attack as you may want to run it back with both QBs.

There are certainly a few options in this game to attack with the highest implied team totals. For those college football picks join our dicord which is a partnership for those gaining an edge in DFS.

Join our Discord for more on the best DST and the rest of a possible lineups fill out for the best Cash and GPP lineups for the best DFS plays of the day in week 12 of the NFL season.

Let’s get together here at WealthyFantasyFootball Discord Chat for more on how to Win today and tomorrow in all DFS sports mathes for excitement with a team that lasts for a lifelong membership deal. Email me me at gall79theend@gmail.com right away once you have singed up. (Very Important to join ASAP) No more searching for answers. We have you completely covered. No more fighting agianst yourself. We will make you better today. All for one.

BGreen @ Toledo 61.5 Tol -22

Now at 62.5 total points the cash and tickets are even for bettors.

Recommended DFS Picks

RB Bryant Koback: Proj.: 20 att. 147 yds 2.00 TDs 31 FPs: An above-average rushing attack

WR Bryce Mitchell: Proj.:  74 yds 15.1FPs playing vs. good safeties.

Ohio CMich 59.5 OH -1 CMICH has 37th ranked D.

Now at 57.5 compared to monday all of the cash is on the under here. This makes it sort of a game to stay away from in DFS.

Recommended DFS Picks

RB De`Montre Tuggle Proj.: 8.6 att 53 yds 0.69 6.2 0.06 11.8 FPs should get lot of opportunities.

I would recommend more play here for this game, as there are some higher risk/reward plays for trournaments, check my Free Ebook on the Great Commandments of Fantasy football and other sports for more.

BallSt. @ MiaOH 55.5 Mia -2

With a line staying the same and all of the cash in on the under, its still a close spread, which we like for DFS.

Recommended DFS Picks

WR Justin Hall Proj.: 57 yds 0.43 Tds 12.6 FPs
WR Yo`Heinz Tyler Proj.: 48 yds 0.57 Tds 9.6 FPs

WMich @ Akron WMIch 55.5 -18 Attack the worst D in MAC.

With W. Mich now 19.5 point favorites, look to the W. Mich. ground game.

Recommended DFS Picks

RB Sean Tyler Proj.: 10.6 att 67 yds 0.64 6.3 0.12 13.7 Fps+ as he’s the starter in this backfield behind an experienced O-line with a great matchup vs. Akron who was the worst team in Division 1 football last year.

Buff @ N. Ill Buff 52.5 -11 Buff. has 2X NFL EDGE players.

Of much significance here is the defense with this spread now having went to 13.5 in favor of Buffalo. Once again favor the running game of the favorite.

Recommended DFS Picks

RB Jaret Patterson Proj.: 20.3 att 109 yds 1.02 Tds 18.8 Fps Best RB? He is thet most expensive on draftkings.

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for 2020: 2 QB leagues

When taking a look at a fantasy football draft strategy for leagues that feast on quarterbacks here in 2020 you’ll need solid value at the position in 2 QB leagues.

Taking Young Players?

When you think about the risk in taking certain players that are not proven you want to take those risks later on in the draft, making solid ownership decisions early on in your season long drafts.

In a year of uncertainty for rookies with no mini-camps, OTAs, Pre-Season games, and limited overall training camps these are the highest risk rewards category of players. You want to avoid these players altogether early in the draft.

The prime example of that this year is to give caution to the early drafting of Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Drafting a rookie running abck has historically lead to disappointing results. See my Page: Fantasy Football Draft Board 2020 to make an informed decision on your draftees. Make a value pick if he’s available beyond pick 10 or the 2nd round of a 10 team draft. If taking him below that pick it makes the value of the pick uncertain. Whether he turns out to be a stud with the high powered KC offense or not, I believe the real risk in the pick is due to the great potential for injury . Teams likely will blow through several strings of players on various skill and other positions on the field. This entails the soft tissue injuries that especially happen to young players.

You will need successful high risk/high upside strategy to actually win your league but the key may very well be avoiding those over hyped rookies and 2nd year wonders that are not likely to produce just yet.

I know I have been sort of in the rut of drafting these rookie running backs a little early to get my hands on the value, but this is the best year to go ahead and fade that potential value completely. Its too bad too because there is a lot of talent at the skill positions that just won’t be ready.

What is happening now in training camps

There is talk among NFL sources about allowing more reps for the young players. This will help the teams but it will be difficult to simulate real game experience. This lack of real game experience will also contribute to the risk for me. Older players will handle this aspect of taking care of their bodies as well as catching up to full game speed better then their younger teammates.

Sure it would be great if a rookie were put into a position of starter, and you were on that particular player as you WANT to take the coaches word for it on getting the players’ reps in training camps, however this does not translate to to real NFL production early on.

How will this info help me in my fantasy football draft strategy?

When you take all of these offsetting balances into consideration its best not to worry about a lot of it and focus on getting the best value during your draft which depends on your draft format and draftees. I have been in a few 2 QB leagues with mixed results. At times I took more risks as in recent years but many times took them too early to create correlation and upside.

This strategy could keep you competitive but kill you quickly when it amounts to staying competitive through the playoffs.

How to Dominate 2 QB leagues

The only real difference to creating success in 2 QB leagues is going early and often enough on getting QBs on your roster to avoid a problem later on during your fantasy football season. When you are scrambling week to week to find a starter and Taysom Hill is your best option you only getting 6 -9 points for that spot with a touchdown for your ceiling.

If your league is big into trading, these QB’s create a lot more value for your as bargaining pieces. You can really get a high price for your starting QB when you look at those who need the position. This is guaranteed to happen in 12 team leagues as there is not enough QB’s to go around when everyone drafts at least 3, doing the simple math. As many leagues this year have the extra spots with IR slots available, you can save your injured guys or bargain them for whatever position you want or need.

A couple guys I would like to obtain early and late at right spots.

I would love to get Tom Brady for value as he’s getting drafted as the 12th QB off the board and 51st overall in 2 QB leagues. Picture Peyton Manning type numbers in his first season with the Broncos. I believe Brady could successfully be attempting a season like this.

Another guy I love for the season later on to stash is PJ Walker of the Panthers as he’s got to be the guy once Teddy Bridgewater goes down with injury. He has recent game experience as the MVP of the XFL. In this league it does not get any better then that right now.

You also want to pay attention to who others are drafting and when in your draft so that whenever the run on QB’s takes place you can get in on it before they are gone. As in any draft pay attention to ADP, which you will find on my fantasy draft board page above or below or just check fantasy football calculator for the latest in Average Draft Position.

A Unique Season in Fantasy Football for 2010

This season will in fact prove whether the pre-season is really worth it. Look to my own fantasy football draft board, which most experts don’t give away to gauge where you are on how high or low you are on certain players. While this board does not account for the 2 QB format, you can adjust and move up all of the QB’s as most fantasy scoring formats are good to use with this board as its primary for half point PPR. So if your playing in a standard scoring or full point PPR there’s quite honestly not a lot of adjustment this board needs for either scoring format.

Want more expert Analysis? Look to the DFS Army. Click on the picture for the Draft Kit. The Draft Kit includes a write up on every relevant player you may want to draft in 2020.

fantasy football draft strategy

There is a lot more that the DFS Army is offering as well. They cover daily fantasy football and other sports as well so you can always be in on the action. Also pick up my ebook, the Great Process Commandments of Fantasy Football and Other Sports which is very helpful in Fantasy football, baseball, basketball, and hockey

While the DFS Army will give you an array of tools such as research station, domination station optimizer, and cheat sheets, they don’t offer lineups and discussion and chat all in the same basic package. our WFF Discord chat with daily discussion on any of these topics and more visit the Free 7-Day Trial of WFF Discord Channel in addition to your DFS Army Package.

Fantasy Baseball Advice for Opening Day: Atlanta Braves

For the Atlanta Braves opening day on 4/1/21 with the Philadelphia Phillies this fine day in daily fantasy as we run down the probable lineup and taking a look at the starters along with throwing in a reliever or 2 to think about using.

Looking for a unique Fantasy Baseball Format for not season long, not daily, but weekly format payouts? Look to Ownersbox for proven ways of winning which I will share throughout the fantasy baseball season and on into football!

Projected Regulars

C. Travis d’Arnud R: With HH contact thru thru the roof in the short sample, he’s a nice short term target if he starts out hot.

1B. Freddie Freeman: L: Rarely striking out, he’s one of the top 2 at the position probably all year in 21′.

2B: Ozzie Albies: R an average hitter vs. Righties. Nice a number 2 hole hitter getting on base and stealing with surprising consistent power.

3B: Austin Riley R: A liability in the outfield or infield but is versatile. It will be interesting to see if he’s a FB or a GB hitter as he flipped in that area from being a FB hitter in 19′ and his K% Rate went way down in 20′.

SS: Dansby Swanson R: Headed for a regression to what he did last yr however, but still a decent player all around that you could stack.

LF: Ender Inciarte L: Not in there for hitting, should get pinched hit for.

CF: Christian Pache R: Looking for power, he’s has elite speed.

RF: Ronald Acuna R: They are gonna walk him a lot, one of the elite at power and speed, continues to get better. His BABIP was only .302 which is a great indicator that this dominance will continue.

SP 1: Mike Soroka RHP: If Drafting him fill in with Kyle Wright as a handcuff like we do in NFL with RB’s. The Big guy displayed great GB rate.

SP 2: Max Fried RHP: Even with very efficient use of his 3 pitches and a low %3 barrel rate, his can get blown up so is not and ACE pitcher despite skills.

SP 3: Ian Anderson RHP: As a 2 pitch pitcher, we’ll see if he prevent the catchup by hitters as the upside with SO’s seems massive in DFS.

SP 4: Charlie Morton RHP: Not the solid option he used to be as i’ll take sort of a wait and see approach, coming back from an injury.

SP 5: Drew Smyly LHP: A SO pitcher on a really good defensive team makes this a good pitcher option on a 2 start week in season long formats.

RP’s: Interestingly they don’t have a real Closer with Chris Martin and AJ Minter seemingly going for the same spot, with interesting combos of pitch types, they are both very effective in setups.

 

 

LA Dodgers Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible Batting order and Draft position:

Be sure to visit our official daily hub at MLB DFS Picks Today page for daily coverage on each slate for Draftkings and Fanduel. 

  1. Mookie Betts: Round: 5, Pick: 21 2011 draft. Considered an MVP candidate in this environment and schedule as well as the contract situation, I would like to see him get back to his 2018 numbers with a wOBA more then .100 higher vs. off-speed pitches. Despite this he was top level elite in XOBA and XBA. If successful by his standards he will really increase value of the team.
  2. Gavin Lux: Round: 1, Pick: 20 2016 draft. As a high draft pick, he’s still considered a prospect with only 75 AB’s as he had a %14.2 BB rate in AAA last yr and SLG .719 with a .490 wOBA as a dominant player in 19′ there.  Quite a bit of power to work with.
  3. Max Muncy: Round: 5, Pick: 11 2012 draft with very near elite level XSLG and wOBA and already at elite level %BB you look to capitalize off a payer in his prime with Excellent pwr u can even play him vs. L as a L.
  4. Justin Turner: Round: 7, Pick: 8 2006 draft: Still top %10 of league in XWOBA so has really not regressed in his career yet despite what standard numbers show. His SO/BB rate went down due to taking too many swings, should come back up to normal.
  5. Cody Bellinger: Round: 4, Pick: 18 2013 draft. 100th Percentile in XWOBA and BA, BAPIP was very low vs. L’s so maybe here’s another guy where it may not matter to play L vs. L other then SB’s.
  6. Joc Pederson: Round: 11, Pick: 27 2010 draft. 36 HR’s resulted last yr from an over inflated %SLG, Only play vs. Righties whether LADs’ do or note.
  7. Corey Seager: Round: 1, Pick: 18 2012 draft Not really playable vs. Lefties. Was down in every category in 19′, let’s wait and see if he will bounce back.
  8. Will Smith: Round: 1, Pick: 32 2016 draft. Has power with over .300 ISO in both AAA and majors last yr. Should split time with A. Barnes.
  9. AJ Pollock: Good exit velocity and decent hitter may not play every day on this team. Possible DH spot.

SP’s:

  1. Kayton Kershaw: Round: 1, Pick: 7 2006: Even though his GB rate was steadily high, his FB rate increased by %5.5. Not as old as you might think at 32, injuries got him. Look for a healthy outlook.
  2. Walker Buehler: Round: 1, Pick: 2015: Allowing .211 BA is about right for his career. 10.6 K/9 last yr. Does a lot of things well, best at curve and fastball spin.
  3. Julio Urias: Not drafted:  We should get enough games started and wins from Urias with this powerful offense and defense that keeps the games low scoring. The Southpaw projects to possibly be an ace this or next yr.
  4. Alex Wood: Round: 2, Pick: 25 in 2012: The big 6’4″ lefty is back in LA after posting a 25-10 record there for 2 years prior to last. Not a fastball pitcher, as he needs the innings and QS’s to be effective.

Closer: Kenley Janson: 33 saves and 5-3 record is what we want to continue into 2020 at that shortened rate. 11.4 K/9s.

Dustin May: Round: 3, Pick: 24 in 2016: Just barely a SO/IP guy as he’s in running for 5th starter role.

Ross Stripling: Round: 5, Pick: 18 in 2012: Started 15 gms but only a 4-4 record. However great GB rate and defiinitely getting 1 SO per inning.

There are a lot more guys to mention including guys who started games, as there is a lot to go around here, in fact too much as the pitching staff as a whole gave up more ER’s last year then they should have. That should be tightened up this year continuing a better tear then last year.

New York Yankees Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

In batting order:

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  1. DJ LeMahieu 2009 2nd pick 30 of Cubs

He has improved his exit velocity, ISO, and is just hitting the ball hard with improvement over the last 5 years. His average exit velocity ranked 19t in MLB last year, so this was better then all of his previous yrs in Col. He has an established track record, and upped his hard contact last year, which was hopefully not only an outlier and still in the top compared to the other hard contact hitters in the league.

2. Aaron Judge: 2013 1st round pick 32 of Yankees

Judge is top of the line in Hard Hit %, Exit Velo, and XSLG, which are all great numbers to be in line with. The ISO I would hope would go back up a bit with a healthy hot start.

3. Gleyber Torres: Not drafted. Came up from Cubs A ball in 2014

Torres has put together 2 solid seasons and showed a lot of improvement over 2018 as he lowered his SO rate, while specializing in Homers.

4. Giancarlo Stanton: 2007 Round 2 pick 12 of Marlins. 

Stanton has had streaks of high BAPIP before in his career with MIA, so this high small sample dosen’t matter for 2019. His HR/FB rate is right in line other then a couple spikes in 15′, and 16′. He’s healthy like all of this roster is putting balls in play for summer.

5. Gary Sanchez: Not drafted. 

For the 2nd year in a row hit as 2nd in all MLB for the Max highest Exit Velocity. Other then being hurt, has produced fine power numbers over his 4 seasons with increased ISO over 2017.

6. Luke Voit: 2013 round 22 pick of STL

It seems he may be able to sustain a high 350+ BABIP. Loved his XSLG in 221 AB’s.

7. Brett Gardner: 2005 round 3 pick 29 of Yankees

The sprint speed specialist had himself a really good XSLG season, interestingly his BABIP was very low for his standards, and is HR/FB rate increased showing nice improvement in his extra base hitting.

8. Gio Urshela: Not drafted been with Indians, and BJ’s. 

Without a lot of history as a rookie, the kid shows a lot of slugging potential. He’s hitting the ball fairly hard with a launch angle comparable to some guys higher up in this order.

DH: Miquel Andujar. Not drfated, only been with Yanks.

Getting HR’s off Garret Cole helps his case during this summer camp in intra squad play.

Reserves when needed:

Thairo Estrada: Certainly the hottest reserve this summer, as he’s hit 3 HR’s that I’m aware of. Fills in nicely in the infield especially at SS when needed.

Aaron Hicks: On a loaded team, he will move up and down this batting order, starting for most teams. Has enough power and speed to get hot early as playing time also permits.

Mike Ford: Another guy that gets line drives and on base with a bit of power.

Matt Duffy: Another guy he fills in nicely when needed, has started on other teams effectively used for value in DFS.

P1: Gerrit Cole 29 R  6.5 IP

ERA right in line with Xfip SOs really increased every year.

Cole has been throwing in the backyard of teammate Adam Ottavino, Brendan Kuty of NJ Advance Media reports. Despite the suspension of spring training and shutdown of team facilities to most players, Cole appears intent on keeping in shape in anticipation of an eventual return to action. The Yankees’ key offseason signing is expected to be the club’s Opening Day starter when the regular season commences. Gave up a few homers but still had an impressive camp as they allowed him to go 5 innings.

P2: Luis Severino 26 R 6 Ip INJURED

GB pitcher giving about 10 K/9

Severino (elbow) is among a group of Yankees eligible to use the Yankees’ facility in Tampa in the midst of Florida’s stay-at-home declaration, George A. King III of the New York Post writes. With Florida’s stay-at-home order set to kick in at 12:01 a. m. ET on Friday, most players will no longer be allowed to gather at George M. Steinbrenner Field. However, the policy makes an exception for players undergoing rehab programs, meaning Severino will be able to continue to use the facility along with a short list of other players including Giancarlo Stanton (calf) and Aaron Judge (rib). Severino underwent Tommy John surgery in late February and is expected to miss the entire 2020 campaign

P2: James Paxton 32 L 5 IP

Should give u 11 K/9 but also 1.3 HR/9 to attack for a sneaky type stack against.

Paxton (back) recently completed his fifth bullpen session since resuming a throwing program in March, Brendan Kuty of NorthJersey.com reports. Yankees manager Aaron Boone provided a positive update about Paxton on Thursday, indicating that he’s “really encouraged” by the southpaw’s progress and that the recovery process from February back surgery has “gone pretty smoothly.” Paxton remains on track to be ready to pitch in games by late May or early June barring any setbacks.

P3: Masahiro Tanaka 31 R 5.8 IP

High GB with 1.3 HR/9  should get back up to 9 K/9 instead of 7 last yr

Tanaka returned to Japan with his family late in March, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports. Many foreign-born players are returning to their countries of origin, so this is not surprising or cause for alarm. The Yankees are not keeping close tabs on Tanaka, as he usually dictates his own preparations during the offseason.

P4: HA Happ 37 L 5.3 IP

Attack with Righties, gave up 28 homers last year very inconsistent

Happ turned heads within the Yankees organization for his performance this spring, Brendan Kuty of NJ Advance Media reports. Yankees vice president of baseball operations Tim Naehring raved about Happ’s showing in Grapefruit League play in an interview with Meredith Marakovits of the YES Network on Wednesday. “Thought he picked up where he left off the last six or seven weeks of last season,” Naehring said. “Thought he came in with what looked to be great laser focus, crisp stuff.” The accolades are no surprise given Happ’s numbers this spring: a 2-0 record, 1.38 ERA and 16:1 K:BB over 13 innings. The southpaw is a lock for a spot in the Yankees’ rotation when the 2020 season gets underway.

Jordan Montgomery: P5 Looks to continue his Summer league play dominance as he performed vs. the Mets not allowing any runs, with a 5/6 IP/SO game. Is an average pitcher who can easily get above average numbers with runn support on this team.

WSH Nationals Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible batting order, changes day to day anyway.

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  1. Adam Eaton: 2010 Draft round 19 pick 6 of Ariz.

I like his numbers as they are reverting back to 15, 16, and 17′ season. Has speed and can get on base. Can do it vs. Lefties as well even though he is a lefty the numbers don’t change. Base stealing better vs. R’s of course. Gets on base .360+ runner and good fielder.

2. Trea Turner: 2014 draft round 1 pick 13 of SD

Had his best hitting season since 16′, as his caliber of player stealing bases as a righty in this lineup is always playable in DFS at the right price. Spring speed maybe best in the league with power for a small lengthy guy at 6’2″. Has green light to steal 3rd creating 10 FP easily. The mindset of possibly in 3 hole instead, shaking this LU up.

3. Juan Soto: Free agent signed to Nats in 2015

Elite at getting on base, SLG, ISO, and nice speed. Can walk with the best of them already, as he should get even better. He is in range with the best hitters in game with 51 barrels. 20% SO rage is fine.

4. Victor Robles: 2014 Free agent with Nats

Got a full season in as a bit more of a ground ball hitter, displaying good speed and base stealing skills. He might be able to improve his power this year. If not he’ll hope to get on base and walk better. Great upside. 23 years old. Great Power/speed potential.

Also having Starline Castro as an option. Decent hitter.

5. Howie Kendrick: 2002 draft round 10 pick 12 of Angels

The savvy veteran jumped up his ISO with the same Bapip. I couldn’t believe his STAT Cast numbers jumping off the screen in X SLG, Xwoba, Hard contact, and SO% along with Velocity. There is no way to go but down.

6. Carter Kieboom : 2016 draft round 1 pick 28 of Nats

Looks like they think he can be a Trau Turner some day, as he would have to develop a lot more power to go along with his potential base steals. Was not a high draft pick but a first rounder several years ago. Not much opportunity. Was a top 10 prospect.

7. A mix of Wilmer Difo, Kurt Suzuki, and Michael Taylor look to try to get on base, and/or pop up a HR every now and then.

8. Swing Option: Eric Thams, looking to hit 5th. Trying to get him in every day.

Astubrel Cabrera. Depding on the split can also use him in DFS. Trying to get the 5th 6th spots in LU here.

9. Yan Gomes: 2009 draft round 10 pick 19 The Catcher had some batting average numbers a lot better vs. Lefties then righties. That’s where he has his power as well at .217 ISO.

DH: Depending on the MU a few guys to use such as

P1: Max Scherzer: 2006 draft round 1 pick 11 of Ariz.

lowest numbers of recent career. Missed a few starts, needs to stay healthy. perrenial Cy young Ace. Hitting upside. still on top of his game. Gave up a couple HR’s vs. the Phillies incl. B. Harper, but lots of swinging strikes, nasty stuff!

P2: Stephen Strausberg: 2009 draft round 1 pick 1 overall of Nats

Healthy world series MVP season. Top 12 Ace in league. injuries have plagued him.

P3:Patrick Corbin: 2009 draft round 2 pick 31 of Angels

The Lefty I recall got really good and consistent with SO upside in the latter half of year. Good K/BB rate at 3.4 despite his SO% down and walks up from 2018 when he had a 5.13 K/BB rate. Expected to be fully stretched out for July 26th start against Yanks at home.

P4: Anibal Sanchez

P5: Erick Fedde

SF Giants Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

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  1. Mike Yastrzemski

An interesting late blooming prospect that has impressive rookie xWOBA, SLG, and pure power. Could be best hitter on the team.

2. Buster Posey Will Not Play this Season.

His SO% went up last year as he provides no value in DFS.

3. Brandon Belt Starting season on injured list.

I was surprised he had a full season of healthy plate appearances and put up this dissapointing season as the prior years he did better in X stats. Has maintained his good walk numbers getting on base.

4. Evan Longoria

Lost his power in recent years, then had a bit of a resuregence in 2019 as he’s improved his xWOBA numbers significantly to .352. SLGing is also well along which is why is getting back up to higher ISO.

5. Alex Dickerson

When a guy who has not played much has high hard contact and strikes out below 20% you may have something if he can keep healthy.

6. Brandon Crawford

Does not exceed anywhere. The savvy veteran is a decent ground ball hitter and fielder. Not much for DFS.

7. Mauricio Dubon

Seemed like he would be a good raw power and speed combo, but not been around too long. We’ll see what he does with an opportunity.

8. Billy Hamilton4

Still a speed sprinter, which shows on his stat cast rankings as #20

9. Jaylin Davis

Has a bit of pop off his bat in only 42 AB’s.

SP1: Johnny Cueto:

Opening day starter should be stretched out to 80 pitches for opening night. We have to remember this was a high GB SP for the Giants in 16′ few HR’s allowed and almost a SO per Inning. Could not keep his HR’s allowed number down in small sample seasons since then.

SP2: Jeff Samardza

An innings guy will get you what you need as the #2 starter in leagues and DFS. Still a decent pitcher overall as he kept his WHIP down to 1.18 and and BB% down to 6. and a 3.5 K/BB over last 3 yrs.

SP3: Kevin Gausman

It looks like Gausman may never develop into and effective pitcher for fantasy other then stacking against on any consistent basis. Has 10K/9 upside for however many innings he can manage before blowup.

SP4: Tyler Beede on 60 day injured. Will miss season.

SP5: Derek Rodriquez

Potential RP spot as nothing has yet been solidified.