How to determine win/loss record in DFS?

If profiting in cash on a site, its considered a win. Based on one main lineup. Simple as that.

For GPP, because the return is so volatile, if hitting any in being profitable, then that’s win. However the winning percentage is much lower, minimizing the importance of win/loss ratio. What is important is simply profitability, therefore no record is needing to be kept in GPP’s, rather the profitability for the season. Which will be recorded here after the fact of releasing them in our discord. Using this app daily will not only give your WFF’s winning record and percentage but will help you daily with lineups for Cash, GPP, Lastest relevant news, Resources, and the important back and forth talk to tweak your process, lineups, and anything else to bring up daily in sports.

Pittsburgh Pirates StatCast & H2H Points Breakdown

Starring Lineup Overview:

  1. Jerrod Dyson: 2006 Draft – Round: 50; Too high SO rate last yr, needs to bring down or Guillermo Heredia: Not drafted; You can only play him against Lefties.
  2. Bryan Reynolds: 2016 Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 18; His BA and SLG should drop down to normal rate unless he really progresses in this short season.
  3. Gregory Polanco: It may be fairly easy for Polanco to bounce back to his 2018 seasonal type numbers.
  4. Josh Bell: 2011 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 1: We’ll hope he gets hot and stays that way, as he’s way out of his usual numbers. Drop down possible.
  5. Adam Frazier: 2013 June Draft – Round: 6, Pick: 13: The Lefty has average numbers all around.
  6. Colin Moran: 2013 June Draft – Round: 1, Pick: 6 , Another league average hitter which is fine.
  7. Kevin Newman: 2015 June Amateur Draft – Round: 1, Pick: 19, Can get on base and steal so use vs. righties. Should be up more in order.
  8. Stalling, Maile, or Murphy splitting time. This lefty can get some SO’s at a low price kind of similar to Archer.

Universal DH: Unknown at this time.

Starting Pitchers:

Trevor Williams RHP: 2013 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 5; If they can get towards max hitting out of their to 5 hitters which is possible Trevor will get you an above average win % for points, DFS, and if he can get back to his 2018 stats he would be a solid option.

Chris Archer RHP: 2006 June Draft – Round: 5, Pick: 25; A high upside SO pitcher who can be taken as a contrarian perhaps on larger slates for that. Gives up too many walks.

Joe Musgrove RHP: 2011 June Draft – Round: CAs, Pick: 13, Overall: 46Decent pitcher but susceptible to Lefties giving up .334 wOBA against.

Mitch Keller RHP: 2014 June Draft – Round: 2, Pick: 23; Went well over 1 IP/SO rate getting 12 K/9. Hot prospect now and upside for DFS. 95 mph high end prospect fastball thrower better vs righties by about an earned run so there’s a spot to attack with lefties.

Steven Brault LHP: 2013 June Draft – Round: 11, Pick: 23 Not really a DFS or Points league option.

Keone Kela: Closer with 24 saves 2 yrs ago.

More Starting lineups notes:

  1. Jerod Dyson Lefty but throws R

30 steals last year unfortunately he can’t get on base with much consistency nearing bottom of league numbers in all categories of batting. Does have an above avg walk rate at 10% avg is 8%. Can play him both vs. lefty and righty.

2. Bryan Reynolds S

.387 BAPIP or batting avg for balls in play. not much of a base stealer but showed good pop with .189 ISO and 16 HR in his rookie yr. Expected BA of .296.

3. Greg Polanco L

Needs the AB’s to back into the swing of being a 20 homer 10 steal a yr guy.

4. Josh Bell S

SlG, Woba Exit Velo and hard contact elite last year. What worries me is if he’s a Jesus Agular. Bell fell badly in the 2nd half of season.

5. Colin Moran L

Improved his batting numbers except declined in OBP. Maintains .277 AVG. line drive rate of about 25%.

6. Kevin Newman R

OBP of .353 resulting in .800 OPS despite lack of power. 16 stolen bases. BA .308

7. Adam Frazier

Played a lot with 608 PA, average hitter in all respects. no upside.

8. Stallings, not a good player, no power spent too much time in minors now 30 yr old.

Gerrimo Herredia R

was batting 1st in LU for Rays in 10 games last yr. mostly bottom of order but Good hitter vs. lefties only.

 

LA Dodgers Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

Possible Batting order and Draft position:

  1. Mookie Betts: Round: 5, Pick: 21 2011 draft. Considered an MVP candidate in this enviroonment and schedule as well as the contract situation, I would like to see him get back to his 2018 numbers with a wOBA more then .100 higher vs. off-speed pitches. Despite this he was top level elite in XOBA and XBA. If successful by his standards he will really increase value of the team.
  2. Gavin Lux: Round: 1, Pick: 20 2016 draft. As a high draft pick, he’s still considered a prospect with only 75 AB’s as he had a %14.2 BB rate in AAA last yr and SLG .719 with a .490 wOBA as a dominant player in 19′ there.  Quite a bit of power to work with.
  3. Max Muncy: Round: 5, Pick: 11 2012 draft with very near elite level XSLG and wOBA and already at elite level %BB you look to capitalize off a payer in his prime with Excellent pwr u can even play him vs. L as a L.
  4. Justin Turner: Round: 7, Pick: 8 2006 draft: Still top %10 of league in XWOBA so has really not regressed in his career yet despite what standard numbers show. His SO/BB rate went down due to taking too many swings, should come back up to normal.
  5. Cody Bellinger: Round: 4, Pick: 18 2013 draft. 100th Percentile in XWOBA and BA, BAPIP was very low vs. L’s so maybe here’s another guy where it may not matter to play L vs. L other then SB’s.
  6. Joc Pederson: Round: 11, Pick: 27 2010 draft. 36 HR’s resulted last yr from an over inflated %SLG, Only play vs. Righties whether LADs’ do or note.
  7. Corey Seager: Round: 1, Pick: 18 2012 draft Not really playable vs. Lefties. Was down in every category in 19′, let’s wait and see if he will bounce back.
  8. Will Smith: Round: 1, Pick: 32 2016 draft. Has power with over .300 ISO in both AAA and majors last yr. Should split time with A. Barnes.
  9. AJ Pollock: Good exit velocity and decent hitter may not play every day on this team.

SP’s:

  1. Kayton Kershaw: Round: 1, Pick: 7 2006: Even though his GB rate was steadily high, his FB rate increased by %5.5. Not as old as you might think at 32, injuries got him. Look for a healthy outlook.
  2. Walker Buehler: Round: 1, Pick: 2015: Allowing .211 BA is about right for his career. 10.6 K/9 last yr. Does a lot of things well, best at curve and fastball spin.
  3. Julio Urias: Not drafted:  We should get enough games started and wins from Urias with this powerful offense and defense that keeps the games low scoring. The Southpaw projects to possibly be an ace this or next yr.
  4. Alex Wood: Round: 2, Pick: 25 in 2012: The big 6’4″ lefty is back in LA after posting a 25-10 record there for 2 years prior to last. Not a fastball pitcher, as he needs the innings and QS’s to be effective.
  5. Round: 2, Pick: 25: Round: 1, Pick: 1 in 2007. The old timer need not pitch a lot of innings to get SO’s.

Closer: Kenley Janson: 33 saves and 5-3 record is what we want to continue into 2020 at that shortened rate. 11.4 K/9s.

Dustin May: Round: 3, Pick: 24 in 2016: Just barely a SO/IP guy as he’s in running for 6th starter role.

Ross Stripling: Round: 5, Pick: 18 in 2012: Started 15 gms but only a 4-4 record. However great GB rate and defiinitely getting 1 SO per inning.

There are a lot more guys to mention including guys who started games, as there is a lot to go around here, in fact too much as the pitching staff as a whole gave up more ER’s last year then they should have. That should be tightened up this year continuing a better tear then last year.

Korean Baseball – Game Time for KBO

Here is a quick guide for the KBO the Top Korean baseball league in south america. If you are a casual observer or a fantasy baseball player, this will help you get up to speed with whats going on and how to get started following in general.

Where to go to watch South Korean Baseball?

As unusual as these times are we have a protected mask oriented league ready to play real regular season baseball. We may even have live and replayed broadcasts on ESPN, for more details on that go to ESPN here. It already appears this is set up.   Korean Baseball KBO

Why would I want to watch KBO?

Well if you are a baseball fan, you will love the fun and excitement that it brings to the table on a daily basis you might love the KBO. There are no games on monday however, monday’s are too busy anyway if working a regular job at home.

The league is really stacked with top talent at all positions and has MLB players who are re-working their game and Korean prospects who will enter the MLB game in the near future. There are even a few pitchers and hitters that you may recognize in the game from previous MLB experience.

Also its an all fun league with total allowances on celebrations with bat flips, dugout celebrations, and other unwritten laws of MLB.

Here are some resources to get you going, too much excitement stirring up.

What is Korean Baseball (KBO) Similar to?

Its most comparable to the MLB minor leagues like AA and even AAA, providing some of the highest levels of farm systems prospects there locally and allowing a max of 4 foreign players, meaning most of the time it seems american players reworking their game, as there have been playing hitting 30+ hom runs in the majors after having used these setting, as Eric Thames may come to mind as  popular player.

Opening day Starters:

Here you can find information on the broadcasts, opening day starters, schedule, and stories to follow: Baseball: Naver Sports. You will need to have your computer translate as much of the pages as possible.

Fantasy Baseball anyone?

If you are also a fantasy baseball guy or gal, you will want to jump into the action as you will undoubtedly know several of the players already, I think of it kind of like the XFL but better based on the players and longevity of the league and very similar rules to MLB.

Here is the main place or hub you will find MLB coaching from myself temporarily as we will still focus on baseball at least until the MLB season starts. Check here for updates and resources on how to go about it daily. These games per EST time zone start very early. 1 AM., So whether your considering this night or day for you, I will have my basic take on any given slate given daily as a recap from the games that recently finished or are still going on early in the morning, as well as a projection based lineup you could play in daily fantasy and an idea on how to stack a team to win a tournament. You could easily win some cash using these methods.

IF just starting out playing daily fantasy baseball even for the first time, this daily information will help you start winning in a pandemic shortened MLB season. If you learn from the strategies I am teaching be sure to check here on any day or night you are playing.

I will also continue to recommend all of the best resources in the industry for the sports and slates. I am personally playing for you for Korean baseball in the KBO.

 

 

 

 

Phila Phillies Batting Order STAT Cast Breakdown

  1. Andrew McCuthen L 33yr old OF

McCutchen has generally the same in splits for OPS. However he has much better power vs. Righties with .226 ISO compared to .118

2. Bryce Harper L 27 yrs OF

With a 1.074 OPS at home vs. Lefties this is a guy who has a .354 ISO in that split. Has the upside also for a stolen base vs. Righty if settling for that split you get a .225 ISO. Has stable numbers in putting up 35 HR’s on a regular season. This will be a shortened season.

3. JT Realmuto R 29 yrs C

Has the real power at over .240 ISO in 3 out of 4 splits not including Away vs. Righties. Fine numbers Slugging vs. Lefties at .524. This team has a lot of split adjustments to make and will not have battle the cold weather in Phily.

4. Rhys Hoskins 27 yrs R 1B/OF

A bit too high expectation were created for Rhys in 2017, 18 when he struck with high power numbers. Very nice BB% but very low BAPIP and BA. He created enough barrels to still be considered a nice overall power play.

5. Jean Segura 30 yrs R SS

Very worth playing at a good salary for his .563 SLG .274 ISO for an infielder obviously very good platoon split to take advantage of. Vs. Righties you just hope for a stolen base and/or a ground ball hit.

6.Didi Gregorius 30 yrs L SS

ONLY worth playing away from home last year, especially against lefties. If I was managing this team he would take a seat these days at home as even though he had a .355 OBP vs. Righties, he cannot steal a base. This Away split advantage was backed by a 31% HR/FB rate, even though he hit a lot of ground ballers in this split. We know exactly when to attack however moving forward based on 2018 as he had this outstanding split at home instead of on the road vs. Righties at the same Yankees park. Since the Away split from 2019 was too small, we move forward with the split vs. Righties as I expect his BA to bounce back up no matter where he plays.

7. Scott Kingery

8. Jay Bruce

9. Adam Haseley

 

  1. Odubel Herrera
  2. Roman Quinn

P1: Aaron Nola

P2: Zack Wheeler

P3: Vince Velasquez

P4: Zack Eflin

P5: Jake Arrieta

BP: Hector Heris

Seranthony Dominquez

Prospect: Spencer Howard

Marlins Roster: STAT Cast Batting Order Breakdown

  1.  J. Villar

Good on base stealer

2. Miguel Rojas only 5 hr in 500 AB’s

3. Brian Anderson 20-30 HR, and gets doubles

4. Jesus Aguilar

fresh start bounce back possible.

5. Corey Dickerson

hit over .300 as only guy. 40 extra base hits highest SLG as well value play

6. Jorge Alfaro

18 HR but not very good slugging

7. Lewis Brinson

Gpp play one of best springs hit .173 last year. In minors hit 106 HR.

8. Matt Joyce experiences on base value

9. Garrett Cooper

batted .281

Harold Ramirez

decent numbers overall nothing outstanding

P1: S. Alcantara

all-star: 2 shutouts lots of innings pitched but led in losses. Low price

P2: Caleb Smith aka Dr. K. 10 wins. ERA 4.52.

P3: Pablo Lopez: avg SO numbers. Did not give up too many homers but can attach

P4: Jose Urena: not much innings. Nice spring off speed pitcher no fast ball recovered from serious injury

Andy Gallagher’s 2020 NFL Draft Board Defensive Linemen Rankings

Sod what I wanted to do at least for a typical draft is for go one major position of choice that matters the least in fantasy production whether season long or dfs and that would be the interior lineman. Even though defensive tackles count for points in IDP’s its not a very productive position to play out during the year in a season long fantasy format. However, I could not leave certain guys out of my rankings for our season long IDP or Individual defensive players for 2010 because we may see a scenario in which there is only 1 edge rusher drafted atop all others and then a defensive tackle or 2 may likely come to be drafted in the top ten before another edge rusher who would seem more likely to get sacks then a defensive tackle would. So I just included edge rushers and defensive tackles together here who are likely to get sacks in overall fantasy production for the new rookies as well. Here’s how they rank for the 2020 nfl draft.

  1. Chase Young. Very obvious as he has refined skills in all phases of the rush and pass game.

Cubs Roster: STAT Cast Batting Order Breakdown

  1.  Almora Jr/Steven Souza

Only for speed and defense no batting skill for Almora. Souza had a .810 OPS 30 HR season in 17′, seeing if he can get back to .220 ISO and 16 SB season type with very hard contact which he hit in limited 2018 yr.

2. Rizzo

ISO regularly over 200 high Hr/ FB rate should drop a bit in overall OPS. BA and wOBA guy who has decent upside for homers

3. Bryant  —- Could lead off.

Nice power can produce consistent. STATcast shows decent speed and good xWOBA. Upside is also good for ISO

4. Baez

Stabilizes numbers past few years with ISO of at least 250 past

5. Scharber

Hard contact, Slugging, and Exit Velo beast. Semi consistent power and upside.

6. Happ

Happ flashed excellent plate discipline, proven SLG, and very good barrel, with decent ability to steal, even though speed nor SO rate rates out very good.

7. Contreras

Putting up good numbers as a batter, and an elite catcher. Signs of improvement esp. in ISO on a bounce back year last yr. Stat cast does not really back it up however last yr.

8. Bote

Good hard contact, exit Velo, and did well getting on base. Nice Exit Velo upside here. Can run.

J. Heyward, J. Kipnis? not much consistent production here but these guys can hit at times as veterans.

P1: Yu Darvish  Not quite an ace, first half bad, 2nd half good. Too many walks, high SO upside. ERA under 3 for 2nd half. Despite giving up lot of HR.’s Grounded at better rate then ever before. Was at his career K/9 rate for career at 11-11.5

Cutter (36.5%), Four Seamer (26.8%)

P2: Jose Quintana  L

5.5 innings per game. Rates out low in every STAT cast category. About 8 K/9 with potential to get back to upside of 9.5 from 2017

P3: Kyle Hendricks

One of least hardest throwers in league. Elite control. Look at him as value play vs. weaker LU’s. only 7.6 career K/9 47.5 GB for career.

P4: Jon Lester

Too old, cannot pitch long into games.

P5: Tyler Chatwood

almost a walk per inning. too many.

P6: Jharel Cotton may be given opportunity to take #5.

Bullpen is bad, need Kimbrel to close out like he used to. Attack this pen.

Continue reading “Cubs Roster: STAT Cast Batting Order Breakdown”

Brewers Starting Roster: STAT Cast Breakdown

1. L. Cain

Good hard contact but no ISO low Bapip last year but usually a Elite BA guy

2. C. Yelich

Top 1% in most batting cats can also steal. Amazing even the HR/FB rate was a bit low.

3. K. Hiura

50% hard contact. Top 8% in most stat casts. Impressive rookie with slug, exit Velo and top off speed hitter with .600 slug

4. J. Garcia R

Decent power and OPS improved as base stealer last year with 10. Consistently hitting 40% hard contact with a top 13 max exit Velo

5. J. Smoak S

consistent ISO career 190. Excels At BBs. Xwoba good

6. Ryan Braun

Consistent hitter that can still get you something in DFS for a good price.

7. E. Sogard

had a couple really good OBP yrs

8. O. Navarez

Nice upside but not much to back it up really.

Bench:  O. Arica, M. Pena, B. Holt, Jed Gyorko, Ben Gamel.

P1: Brandon Woodruff

Over 10 K/9, 5.5 IP per game. Nice pitch mix and 94th Percentile Velocity.

Rest of starting pitchers you can attack.

Don’t attack the BP ever.